{"id":9747,"date":"2026-03-01T14:08:24","date_gmt":"2026-03-01T11:08:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/?p=9747"},"modified":"2026-03-01T14:08:24","modified_gmt":"2026-03-01T11:08:24","slug":"altin-ve-gumuste-savas-primi-jeopolitik-gerilim-ve-tarife-belirsizligi-piyasalari-sarsiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/03\/01\/altin-ve-gumuste-savas-primi-jeopolitik-gerilim-ve-tarife-belirsizligi-piyasalari-sarsiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n ve G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte Sava\u015f Primi: Jeopolitik Gerilim ve Tarife Belirsizli\u011fi Piyasalar\u0131 Sars\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"

ABD-\u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131yla t\u0131rmanan b\u00f6lgesel gerilim, k\u00fcresel piyasalar\u0131 hafta sonuna \u201criskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u201d modunda ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Enerji arz\u0131na ili\u015fkin endi\u015felerin, \u00f6zellikle H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinden sevkiyat\u0131n sekteye u\u011frayabilece\u011fi kayg\u0131s\u0131yla b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi; alt\u0131n, \u0130svi\u00e7re frang\u0131 ve ABD tahvilleri gibi g\u00fcvenli limanlara y\u00f6nelimi h\u0131zland\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n

G\u00fcvenli Liman Dalgas\u0131: Alt\u0131n Ve G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f Neden H\u0131zland\u0131?<\/h3>\n

Hafta boyunca risk alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 iki ana ba\u015fl\u0131k belirledi:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. \n

    Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da t\u0131rmanan sava\u015f riski<\/strong> (enerji ve lojistik kanal\u0131yla k\u00fcresel enflasyon\/arz \u015foku olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131),<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  2. \n

    ABD\u2019nin tarife rejimi<\/strong> (hukuki zemin tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ve yeni tarife mekanizmas\u0131na ge\u00e7i\u015f).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Reuters\u2019\u0131n piyasa analizinde, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n derinle\u015fmesi halinde Brent petrol\u00fcn 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fi; bu senaryonun enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n faiz patikas\u0131n\u0131 daha karma\u015f\u0131k hale getirebilece\u011fi vurguland\u0131. Bu beklenti, de\u011ferli metallerde \u201csava\u015f primi\u201dni g\u00fc\u00e7lendiren ana fakt\u00f6rlerden biri olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

    ABD Tarifeleri: Belirsizlik Kanad\u0131 Yeniden A\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131<\/h3>\n

    ABD Y\u00fcksek Mahkemesi\u2019nin, Trump y\u00f6netiminin geni\u015f kapsaml\u0131 tarifeleri dayand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 Uluslararas\u0131 Acil Ekonomik G\u00fc\u00e7ler Yasas\u0131 (IEEPA)<\/strong> \u00fczerinden y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen tarife kurgusunu ge\u00e7ersiz saymas\u0131, piyasalarda \u201cyeni tarife mimarisi\u201d tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fctt\u00fc.
    Bu karar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan y\u00f6netimin 1974 Ticaret Yasas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 122. maddesi<\/strong> gibi alternatif bir yasal kanala y\u00f6neldi\u011fi ve burada 150 g\u00fcn s\u00fcreyle %15\u2019e kadar<\/strong> tarife imk\u00e2n\u0131n\u0131n bulundu\u011fu aktar\u0131ld\u0131.
    Sonu\u00e7: Jeopolitik risklerin \u00fczerine bir de ticaret politikas\u0131 belirsizli\u011fi eklenince, g\u00fcvenli liman talebi daha \u201ckal\u0131c\u0131\u201d bir tona b\u00fcr\u00fcnd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

    JPMorgan\u2019dan Yeni Alt\u0131n Senaryosu<\/h3>\n

    G\u00fcvenli liman talebini destekleyen bir di\u011fer ba\u015fl\u0131k ise b\u00fcy\u00fck bankalar\u0131n revizyonlar\u0131. Reuters kaynakl\u0131 haberlere g\u00f6re JPMorgan<\/strong>, alt\u0131n i\u00e7in uzun vadeli<\/strong> fiyat varsay\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 4.500 dolar\/ons<\/strong> seviyesine y\u00fckseltirken, 2026 y\u0131l sonu<\/strong> i\u00e7in 6.300 dolar\/ons<\/strong> tahminini korudu.
    Bu t\u00fcr revizyonlar, piyasan\u0131n \u201cy\u00fcksek risk d\u00f6neminde y\u00fcksek fiyat band\u0131\u201d fikrini daha kolay fiyatlamas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abiliyor.<\/p>\n

    Tahvil Ve Dolar: Klasik \u201cRisk-Off\u201d D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc<\/h3>\n

    Sava\u015f riskinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesiyle ABD tahvillerine talebin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131; hisse senetleriyle tahvillerin yeniden ters korelasyon e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi yorumlar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.
    Dolar taraf\u0131nda ise Reuters\/ING hatt\u0131ndaki de\u011ferlendirmeler, dolar\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman niteli\u011finde son d\u00f6nemde a\u015f\u0131nma ya\u015fasa da k\u00fcresel stres anlar\u0131nda halen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc talep g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

    \ud83d\udcb0 D\u00f6viz Kurlar\u0131<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n

      Dolar (USD\/TRY):<\/strong> ~ 43,92 TL<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

    • \n

      Euro (EUR\/TRY):<\/strong> ~ 51,98 TL<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

    • \n

      Sterlin (GBP\/TRY):<\/strong> ~ 59,25 TL<\/strong>
      Bu veriler TL cinsinden kapan\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      \ud83e\ude99 Alt\u0131n Fiyatlar\u0131<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n

        Gram Alt\u0131n (TL):<\/strong> ~ 7.435 TL<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

      • \n

        Ons Alt\u0131n (USD):<\/strong> ~ 5.263 $\/ons<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

      • \n

        \u00c7eyrek Alt\u0131n (TL):<\/strong> ~ 12.236 TL<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

      • \n

        Yar\u0131m Alt\u0131n (TL):<\/strong> ~ 24.510 TL<\/strong>
        Bu seviyeler g\u00fcncel serbest piyasa kapan\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

        G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f<\/h3>\n
          \n
        • \n

          G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f (TL\/gram):<\/strong> ~ 132,5 TL<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

        • \n

          G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f (USD\/ons):<\/strong> ~ 93,8 $\/ons<\/strong>
          Veriler alt\u0131nla birlikte finans sitelerine g\u00f6re e\u015f zamanl\u0131 g\u00fcncellenmektedir.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

          Petrol, Sevkiyat Ve Enflasyon Zinciri<\/h3>\n

          Reuters\u2019a g\u00f6re, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinden sevkiyata ili\u015fkin endi\u015feler ve baz\u0131 ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131n durmas\u0131 haberleri piyasada arz \u015foku fiyatlamas\u0131n\u0131 tetikledi. Analistler, bo\u011fazda uzun s\u00fcreli bir aksaman\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck 8\u201310 milyon varil<\/strong> \u00f6l\u00e7e\u011finde kay\u0131p riskini g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131yabilece\u011fini; bunun da fiyatlar\u0131 h\u0131zla yukar\u0131 itebilece\u011fini vurguluyor.
          Petrol\u00fcn kal\u0131c\u0131 bi\u00e7imde y\u00fckselmesi, alt\u0131n\/g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fteki y\u00fckseli\u015fi iki kanaldan besliyor:<\/p>\n

            \n
          • \n

            Enflasyon beklentisi<\/strong> (reel getiri bask\u0131s\u0131)<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

          • \n

            Riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f<\/strong> (portf\u00f6y g\u00fcvenli\u011fi)<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

            Makro G\u00fcndem: Avrupa Ve \u00c7in\u2019den Sinyaller<\/h3>\n

            Piyasalar jeopoliti\u011fe kilitlenmi\u015fken, para politikas\u0131 beklentisini etkileyen a\u00e7\u0131klamalar da yak\u0131ndan izleniyor. ECB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Christine Lagarde, g\u0131da enflasyonunun t\u00fcketici alg\u0131s\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik oldu\u011funu vurgulayarak, g\u0131da enflasyonunun 2026 sonlar\u0131na do\u011fru %2\u2019nin \u201cbir miktar \u00fczerinde\u201d<\/strong> dengelenmesini beklediklerini s\u00f6yledi.
            \u00c7in\u2019de ise PBoC, yuan\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fer kazan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flatma hedefiyle d\u00f6viz vadeli i\u015flemlerinde uygulanan %20 risk rezerv oran\u0131n\u0131 2 Mart itibar\u0131yla s\u0131f\u0131rlayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131<\/strong> a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.
            Bu iki ba\u015fl\u0131k, d\u00f6viz ve faiz kanal\u0131 \u00fczerinden emtia fiyatlamalar\u0131n\u0131n zeminini etkileyen unsurlar olarak masada.<\/p>\n

            Pazartesi A\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Piyasa Ne \u0130zleyecek?<\/h3>\n

            Hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda fiyatlamay\u0131 belirlemesi beklenen ana ba\u015fl\u0131klar:<\/p>\n

              \n
            • \n

              Sava\u015f\u0131n seyri ve diplomasi kanal\u0131<\/strong>: T\u0131rmanma\/ate\u015fkes sinyali risk primini do\u011frudan de\u011fi\u015ftirir.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

            • \n

              H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 ve deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong>: Sevkiyat ak\u0131\u015f\u0131na dair her haber, petrol\u2013enflasyon\u2013alt\u0131n zincirinde \u00e7arpan etkisi \u00fcretir.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

            • \n

              ABD tarifeleri<\/strong>: Yeni mekanizman\u0131n detaylar\u0131 k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve enflasyon beklentilerini oynatabilir.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

            • \n

              G\u00fcvenli liman ak\u0131mlar\u0131<\/strong>: Tahvil, alt\u0131n ve \u201criskli varl\u0131klar\u201d aras\u0131ndaki y\u00f6n ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 derinle\u015febilir.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

              ABD-\u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 sonras\u0131 g\u00fcvenli liman talebi sertle\u015fti; alt\u0131n ve g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f, petrolde ise arz endi\u015fesi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. ABD\u2019de tarife rejimine ili\u015fkin Y\u00fcksek Mahkeme karar\u0131 ve Washington\u2019un yeni tarife ad\u0131mlar\u0131 da k\u00fcresel risk alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 besliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":9748,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[265,655,487,577,751],"class_list":["post-9747","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-altin","tag-gumus","tag-guvenliliman","tag-jeopolitikrisk","tag-petrol"],"yoast_head":"\nAlt\u0131n ve G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte Sava\u015f Primi: Jeopolitik Gerilim ve Tarife Belirsizli\u011fi Piyasalar\u0131 Sars\u0131yor - Merceknet Haber<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/03\/01\/altin-ve-gumuste-savas-primi-jeopolitik-gerilim-ve-tarife-belirsizligi-piyasalari-sarsiyor\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Alt\u0131n ve G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte Sava\u015f Primi: Jeopolitik Gerilim ve Tarife Belirsizli\u011fi Piyasalar\u0131 Sars\u0131yor - Merceknet Haber\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"ABD-\u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 sonras\u0131 g\u00fcvenli liman talebi sertle\u015fti; alt\u0131n ve g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f, petrolde ise arz endi\u015fesi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. ABD\u2019de tarife rejimine ili\u015fkin Y\u00fcksek Mahkeme karar\u0131 ve Washington\u2019un yeni tarife ad\u0131mlar\u0131 da k\u00fcresel risk alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 besliyor.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/03\/01\/altin-ve-gumuste-savas-primi-jeopolitik-gerilim-ve-tarife-belirsizligi-piyasalari-sarsiyor\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Merceknet Haber\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/merceknet\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/merceknet\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-03-01T11:08:24+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/altin-ve-gumuste-savas-primi-jeopolitik-gerilim-ve-tarife-belirsizligi-piyasalari-sarsiyor_f7bb7be.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta 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