{"id":9597,"date":"2026-02-28T15:44:03","date_gmt":"2026-02-28T12:44:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/?p=9597"},"modified":"2026-02-28T15:46:20","modified_gmt":"2026-02-28T12:46:20","slug":"analiz-abd-ve-israil-irana-savas-baslatti-piyasalar-nasil-etkilenecek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/02\/28\/analiz-abd-ve-israil-irana-savas-baslatti-piyasalar-nasil-etkilenecek\/","title":{"rendered":"Analiz | ABD ve \u0130srail \u0130ran\u2019a Sava\u015f Ba\u015flatt\u0131: Piyasalar Nas\u0131l Etkilenecek?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>ABD ve \u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131yla ba\u015flayan ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n misillemesiyle derinle\u015fen \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma, yaln\u0131zca Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki g\u00fcvenlik mimarisini de\u011fil, k\u00fcresel ekonominin \u201cfiyatlama motoru\u201d olan enerji ve finans kanallar\u0131n\u0131 da ayn\u0131 anda sars\u0131yor. Piyasalar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan mesele, sava\u015f\u0131n siyasi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131ndan \u00f6nce, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz hatt\u0131 \u00fczerinden petrol ve LNG ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli\u011fi, sigorta-navlun maliyetleri, hava sahas\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlar\u0131 ve tedarik zinciri aksamalar\u0131n\u0131n ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kal\u0131c\u0131la\u015faca\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. Bu nedenle ilk dalgada petrol ve alt\u0131n y\u00fckselirken, dolar g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor; borsalarda risk i\u015ftah\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131yor ve kripto piyasas\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck likiditenin de etkisiyle sert sat\u0131\u015flar ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Bu analizde, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n fiyatlar, faizler ve enflasyon beklentileri \u00fczerindeki etkisini; T\u00fcrkiye, Avrupa ve ABD\u2019de hane halk\u0131na yans\u0131ma kanallar\u0131yla birlikte, k\u0131sa-orta vadeli senaryolar \u00fczerinden ele al\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Fiyatlaman\u0131n Ana Omurgas\u0131: \u201cSava\u015f\u201dtan \u00c7ok \u201cArz ve Ak\u0131\u015f\u201d Konu\u015fulur<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Piyasalar bu t\u00fcr \u015foklar\u0131 duyguyla de\u011fil, d\u00f6rt somut de\u011fi\u015fkenle fiyatlar:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>Enerji ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 kesilecek mi?<\/strong> (H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\/altyap\u0131\/sigorta-navlun)<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u00c7at\u0131\u015fma nereye yay\u0131lacak?<\/strong> (b\u00f6lgesel geni\u015fleme ve vekil hatlar)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Merkez bankalar\u0131 ne yapacak?<\/strong> (enflasyon \u015foku \u2192 indirimler \u00f6telenir)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Lojistik ve hava sahas\u0131 aksamas\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131la\u015facak m\u0131?<\/strong> (tedarik zinciri maliyeti)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6nemi \u201cjeopolitik slogan\u201d de\u011fil, rakamd\u0131r: EIA\u2019ya g\u00f6re 2024\u2019te bo\u011fazdan ge\u00e7en petrol ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00fcnde yakla\u015f\u0131k <strong>20 milyon varil<\/strong>, yani k\u00fcresel t\u00fcketimin yakla\u015f\u0131k <strong>%20\u2019si<\/strong> \u00f6l\u00e7e\u011finde. LNG ticaretinin de yakla\u015f\u0131k <strong>%20\u2019si<\/strong> ayn\u0131 koridordan ge\u00e7iyor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>1) Petrol: Fiyat Aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 Belirleyen \u00dc\u00e7 E\u015fik<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Reuters\u2019\u0131n aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131 Barclays de\u011ferlendirmesi, <strong>arzda 1 milyon varil\/g\u00fcn d\u00fczeyinde<\/strong> bir aksaman\u0131n bile fiyatlar\u0131 yukar\u0131 itebilece\u011fini ve Brent\u2019in <strong>80 dolar\/varil<\/strong> band\u0131na t\u0131rmanabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<br \/>\nReuters\u2019\u0131n bir di\u011fer haberine g\u00f6re, sald\u0131r\u0131 sonras\u0131 OPEC+ cephesinde \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015f\u0131 se\u00e7ene\u011finin g\u00fcndeme gelmesi de, piyasadaki \u201carz \u015foku\u201d korkusunu s\u0131n\u0131rlama \u00e7abas\u0131 olarak okunuyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bu tabloyla <strong>fiyat haritas\u0131<\/strong> \u015f\u00f6yle:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Baz senaryo (ak\u0131\u0219 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor, risk primi var):<\/strong> Brent 70\u2019lerin \u00fcst\u00fc\u201380\u2019e yak\u0131n bir bantta dalgalan\u0131r. (Zaten Reuters ak\u0131\u015f\u0131nda 73 dolar civar\u0131 \u201ctansiyon primi\u201d g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Orta stres (sigorta\/navlun art\u0131\u015f\u0131 + k\u0131smi aksamalar):<\/strong> 80\u2013100 band\u0131, \u201chaber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131\u201d de\u011fil <strong>fizik\u00ee ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k maliyeti<\/strong> \u00fczerinden test edilir.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Y\u00fcksek stres (bo\u011faz\/altyap\u0131 hedefi, ciddi arz kesintisi):<\/strong> 100+ seviyeler, tarihte g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr; bu durumda tart\u0131\u015fma \u201cfiyat\u201dtan \u201cresesyon\u201da d\u00f6ner. (EIA\u2019n\u0131n 2025\u2019te benzer bir gerilimde Brent\u2019in 80\u2019e s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6rnek, \u015foklar\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in kritik not:<\/strong> Petrol\u00fcn kal\u0131c\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fi, sadece akaryak\u0131t de\u011fil; elektrik \u00fcretim maliyetleri, lojistik, g\u0131da ve sanayide girdi kanal\u0131yla yay\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><strong>2) Dolar: K\u00fcresel \u201cS\u0131\u011f\u0131nak\u201d ve Geli\u015fen Piyasalarda Kur Bask\u0131s\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Sava\u015f\u0131n ilk fiyatlamas\u0131nda dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi iki nedene dayan\u0131r:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>K\u00fcresel fonlama paras\u0131 olmas\u0131<\/li>\n<li>Riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015fta h\u0131zl\u0131 likidite sunmas\u0131<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Bu, geli\u015fen \u00fclkelerde (T\u00fcrkiye dahil) <strong>kur oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131<\/strong> art\u0131r\u0131r. USD\/TRY\u2019nin 43,9 civar\u0131 seyretti\u011fine dair piyasa verileri ekranlarda g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; sava\u015f\u0131n devam\u0131 halinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risk, \u201ctek hamle\u201d de\u011fil <strong>kademeli<\/strong> olur (haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u2192 risk primi \u2192 kur bask\u0131s\u0131).<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i kur beklentisi nas\u0131l kurulmal\u0131?<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>E\u011fer petrol 80\u201390 band\u0131na yerle\u015fir ve hava\/lojistik k\u0131s\u0131tlar\u0131 s\u00fcrerse, TL\u2019de bask\u0131 \u201cg\u00fcn i\u00e7i s\u0131\u00e7rama\u201ddan ziyade <strong>birka\u00e7 hafta i\u00e7inde kademeli<\/strong> g\u00fc\u00e7lenir.<\/li>\n<li>\u015eok b\u00fcy\u00fcr ve enerji faturas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr bi\u00e7imde artarsa, kurun y\u00f6n\u00fc sadece jeopolitikle de\u011fil, i\u00e7eride <strong>enflasyon beklentisi ve para politikas\u0131<\/strong> alg\u0131s\u0131yla birlikte belirlenir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>3) Alt\u0131n: G\u00fcvenli Liman Talebi Kal\u0131c\u0131la\u015fabilir<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Alt\u0131nda fiyat\u0131 yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yan dinamik \u201ckorku\u201d de\u011fil, <strong>belirsizli\u011fin s\u00fcreklili\u011fi<\/strong>. Sava\u015f\u0131n uzamas\u0131 halinde alt\u0131n, portf\u00f6ylerde hedge talebiyle y\u00fcksek kal\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Kripto cephesindeki haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131, alt\u0131n benzeri bir refleksin \u201cdijital varl\u0131klarda\u201d otomatik \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor: baz\u0131 alt\u0131n temal\u0131 tokenlar y\u00fckselirken, ana kriptolarda riskli varl\u0131k sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p><strong>4) Kripto: \u201c\u00c7ak\u0131lma\u201d Neden Oldu ve Devam Riski Nerede?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Bu hafta sonu kripto, geleneksel piyasalar kapal\u0131yken ilk tepkiyi verdi: Bloomberg\u2019e g\u00f6re Bitcoin <strong>%3,8\u2019e kadar<\/strong> d\u00fc\u015ferek <strong>63.038<\/strong> seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc; Ether <strong>%4,5<\/strong> d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle <strong>1.836<\/strong> civar\u0131n\u0131 test etti ve toplam piyasa de\u011ferinden yakla\u015f\u0131k <strong>128 milyar dolar<\/strong> silindi.<\/p>\n<p>Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn mekanizmas\u0131 \u201cpanik\u201dten \u00e7ok teknik:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Hafta sonu likiditesi daha zay\u0131f \u2192 fiyat daha sert oynar<\/li>\n<li>Kald\u0131ra\u00e7l\u0131 pozisyonlar \u2192 stop ve tasfiye zinciri<\/li>\n<li>Jeopolitik \u015fokta kripto, \u00e7o\u011fu kez \u201calt\u0131n\u201d de\u011fil <strong>NASDAQ benzeri riskli varl\u0131k<\/strong> gibi davran\u0131r<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Devam riski:<\/strong> \u00c7at\u0131\u015fma geni\u015fler, petrol sert y\u00fckselir ve k\u00fcresel risk i\u015ftah\u0131 bozulursa, kriptoda \u201cikinci dalga sat\u0131\u015f\u201d ihtimali artar.<\/p>\n<p><strong>5) Emtia ve Reel Ekonomi: Zincirleme Maliyet \u015eoku<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Sava\u015f\u0131n emtia sepetine etkisi petrol\u00fcn \u00f6tesine ta\u015far:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Petrokimya\/Plastik:<\/strong> enerji + hammadde maliyeti<\/li>\n<li><strong>G\u00fcbre:<\/strong> do\u011falgaz\/petrokimya ba\u011f\u0131 \u2192 tar\u0131m maliyeti<\/li>\n<li><strong>Navlun\/sigorta:<\/strong> deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 pahalan\u0131r \u2192 ithal girdi maliyeti<\/li>\n<li><strong>Sanayi metallerinde oynakl\u0131k:<\/strong> talep resesyon korkusuyla azal\u0131rsa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f; arz\/lojistik bozulursa y\u00fckseli\u015f<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Avrupa \u00f6zelinde \u201cenerji hassasiyeti\u201d daha y\u00fcksek: TTF do\u011fal gaz vadeli kontratlar\u0131nda \u0130ran gerilimiyle <strong>%4 civar\u0131<\/strong> yukar\u0131 tepki kaydedildi\u011fine dair piyasa notlar\u0131 var.<\/p>\n<p><strong>6) Hava Sahas\u0131 ve Lojistik: Vatanda\u015f\u0131n Cebine En H\u0131zl\u0131 Buradan Dokunur<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Reuters ve AP\u2019nin aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re b\u00f6lge hava sahalar\u0131nda kapanmalar, iptaller ve rota de\u011fi\u015fimleri geni\u015fledi; \u00e7ok say\u0131da k\u00fcresel havayolu seferleri ask\u0131ya ald\u0131\/iptal etti.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Halklar baz\u0131nda<\/strong> en h\u0131zl\u0131 hissedilen etkiler:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Bilet fiyatlar\u0131 ve gecikmeler:<\/strong> rota uzamas\u0131 + yak\u0131t + sigorta<\/li>\n<li><strong>Turizm gelirleri:<\/strong> b\u00f6lgeye yak\u0131n \u00fclkelerde talep daralmas\u0131<\/li>\n<li><strong>Kargo maliyetleri:<\/strong> e-ticaret ve ithal t\u00fcketim \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinde fiyat bask\u0131s\u0131<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>7) B\u00f6lgelere G\u00f6re \u201cHalk Etkisi\u201d Haritas\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>T\u00fcrkiye<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Akaryak\u0131t\u2013g\u0131da\u2013lojistik zinciri:<\/strong> petrol art\u0131\u015f\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 ge\u00e7i\u015fkenlik yarat\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>TCMB\u2019nin 2025 tarihli analizinde, ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda <strong>%10 art\u0131\u015f\u0131n<\/strong> enflasyonu toplamda yakla\u015f\u0131k <strong>1 puan<\/strong> art\u0131rabilece\u011fi; etkinin \u00f6nemli k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyreklerde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 vurgulan\u0131yor.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Kur + enerji faturas\u0131:<\/strong> cari denge ve enflasyon beklentileri \u00fczerinden hane halk\u0131na \u201cfiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131\u201d olarak d\u00f6ner.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Avrupa<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Do\u011falgaz hassasiyeti:<\/strong> TTF\u2019de yukar\u0131 tepkiler, elektrik fiyat\u0131 ve sanayi maliyeti kanal\u0131yla yay\u0131l\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Enflasyonun inat\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131:<\/strong> enerji \u015foku, faiz indirimi beklentilerini t\u00f6rp\u00fcleyebilir; bu da b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 demektir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>ABD<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Benzin fiyat\u0131 ve enflasyon alg\u0131s\u0131:<\/strong> ABD\u2019de enerji fiyat\u0131, t\u00fcketici enflasyon beklentisini h\u0131zl\u0131 etkiler. Bu da Fed patikas\u0131na dair fiyatlamay\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirebilir (indirimin \u00f6telenmesi gibi).<\/li>\n<li><strong>Savunma\/enerji \u015firketleri lehine ayr\u0131\u015fma:<\/strong> hisse piyasas\u0131nda sekt\u00f6rler aras\u0131 makas a\u00e7\u0131labilir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>8) \u00dc\u00e7 Senaryo: \u201cNe Olursa Ne G\u00f6r\u00fcr\u00fcz?\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Senaryo A \u2013 H\u0131zl\u0131 de-eskalasyon (g\u00fcnler):<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Petrol: risk primi geri verir (70\u2019ler)<\/li>\n<li>Dolar: g\u00fc\u00e7lenme s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kal\u0131r<\/li>\n<li>Alt\u0131n: k\u0131smi geri \u00e7ekilme<\/li>\n<li>Kripto: kay\u0131plar\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 toparlar<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Senaryo B \u2013 Uzayan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma (haftalar) + k\u0131smi lojistik\/ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k maliyeti:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Petrol: 80\u2013100 band\u0131 g\u00fcndemde kal\u0131r<\/li>\n<li>Dolar: geli\u015fen piyasalarda kademeli bask\u0131<\/li>\n<li>Alt\u0131n: y\u00fcksek seviye \u201ckal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k\u201d<\/li>\n<li>Kripto: zay\u0131f ve dalgal\u0131 seyir<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Senaryo C \u2013 Enerji ak\u0131\u015f\u0131na fiil\u00ee darbe (bo\u011faz\/altyap\u0131):<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Petrol: 100+ stres fiyatlamas\u0131<\/li>\n<li>ABD\/Avrupa: enflasyon + b\u00fcy\u00fcme ayn\u0131 anda bozulur (stagflasyon tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131)<\/li>\n<li>T\u00fcrkiye: kur\u2013enflasyon\u2013enerji faturas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7l\u00fcs\u00fcnde bask\u0131 belirginle\u015fir<\/li>\n<li>Kripto: ikinci dalga sat\u0131\u015f riski artar<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Bu senaryolar\u0131n tetikleyicisi tek ba\u015f\u0131na \u201c\u00e7at\u0131\u015fma s\u00fcr\u00fcyor\u201d de\u011fil; <strong>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019den ak\u0131\u015f<\/strong>, sigorta\/navlun ve altyap\u0131 haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki tabloda, \u00fc\u00e7 ana senaryoya g\u00f6re finansal piyasalarda beklenen etkiler \u00f6zetlenmi\u015ftir:<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Finansal Ara\u00e7 \/ Senaryo<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Senaryo A: K\u0131sa S\u00fcreli \u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcm<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Senaryo B: Uzun S\u00fcreli Kriz<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Senaryo C: Kara Sava\u015f\u0131 ve B\u00f6lgesel Geni\u015fleme<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>D\u00fcnya Borsalar\u0131<\/td>\n<td>H\u0131zl\u0131 toparlanma, ralli<\/td>\n<td>Dalgal\u0131, bask\u0131 devam<\/td>\n<td>Sert sat\u0131\u015f, %10-20 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, panik<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>D\u00f6viz Kurlar\u0131 (USD, CHF, JPY)<\/td>\n<td>G\u00fcvenli limanlardan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f<\/td>\n<td>G\u00fcvenli liman talebi s\u00fcrer<\/td>\n<td>Dolar, CHF, JPY\u2019de g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc de\u011ferlenme<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Faiz Oranlar\u0131<\/td>\n<td>Tahvil faizleri y\u00fckselir<\/td>\n<td>D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kal\u0131r, risk primi artar<\/td>\n<td>Ba\u015fta d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, sonra enflasyonla y\u00fckseli\u015f<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Enflasyon<\/td>\n<td>S\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 art\u0131\u015f, h\u0131zla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f<\/td>\n<td>%0,5-1 puan art\u0131\u015f<\/td>\n<td>%1-2 puan art\u0131\u015f, stagflasyon riski<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Petrol (Brent, WTI)<\/td>\n<td>60-70 $\/varil, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f<\/td>\n<td>80-100 $\/varil, oynak<\/td>\n<td>130-150 $\/varil, \u015fok<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Alt\u0131n, G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f<\/td>\n<td>Geri \u00e7ekilme<\/td>\n<td>Y\u00fcksek kal\u0131r<\/td>\n<td>6.000 $ \u00fcst\u00fc, yeni rekorlar<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Kripto Paralar<\/td>\n<td>Toparlanma<\/td>\n<td>Dalgal\u0131, zay\u0131f<\/td>\n<td>Sert sat\u0131\u015f, volatilite rekoru<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>T\u00fcrkiye (BIST, TL, Enflasyon)<\/td>\n<td>H\u0131zl\u0131 toparlanma<\/td>\n<td>BIST bask\u0131, TL zay\u0131f<\/td>\n<td>BIST\u2019te %10+ d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, TL\u2019de sert de\u011fer kayb\u0131<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>Risk Y\u00f6netimi ve Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 Stratejileri<\/h2>\n<h3>Portf\u00f6y Da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 ve \u00c7e\u015fitlendirme<\/h3>\n<p>Uzmanlar, 2026 y\u0131l\u0131nda portf\u00f6ylerde \u00e7e\u015fitlendirme ve risk y\u00f6netiminin kritik \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulamaktad\u0131r. Dengeli bir portf\u00f6y i\u00e7in \u00f6nerilen da\u011f\u0131l\u0131mlar \u015f\u00f6yledir:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>%25-35 hisse senedi (yerel ve k\u00fcresel)<\/li>\n<li>%25-35 sabit getirili menkul k\u0131ymetler (tahvil, mevduat)<\/li>\n<li>%10-15 alt\u0131n ve de\u011ferli metaller<\/li>\n<li>%10-15 d\u00f6viz ve nakit<\/li>\n<li>%5\u2019e kadar kripto para ve alternatif varl\u0131klar<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><strong>G\u00fcncel Veriler ve G\u00f6stergeler<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da, 28 \u015eubat 2026 itibar\u0131yla \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan baz\u0131 g\u00fcncel finansal g\u00f6stergeler sunulmu\u015ftur:<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>G\u00f6sterge<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>De\u011fer<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Y\u0131ll\u0131k De\u011fi\u015fim<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Brent Petrol (varil)<\/td>\n<td>73,12 $<\/td>\n<td>+%3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>WTI Petrol (varil)<\/td>\n<td>67,22 $<\/td>\n<td>+%2,7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Alt\u0131n (ons)<\/td>\n<td>5.330 $<\/td>\n<td>+%8,9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f (ons)<\/td>\n<td>93,8 $<\/td>\n<td>+%10,9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Dolar\/TL<\/td>\n<td>43,93<\/td>\n<td>+%0,43<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Euro\/TL<\/td>\n<td>51,98<\/td>\n<td>+%0,53<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BIST 100<\/td>\n<td>13.717<\/td>\n<td>-%1,55<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ABD 10Y Tahvil Faizi<\/td>\n<td>%3,96<\/td>\n<td>-0,13 puan<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Bitcoin<\/td>\n<td>64.000 $<\/td>\n<td>-%3,8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Ethereum<\/td>\n<td>1.835 $<\/td>\n<td>-%4,5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>ABD ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u0130srail\u2019e sava\u015f ilan etti\u011fi mevcut kriz, k\u00fcresel finansal piyasalar \u00fczerinde \u00e7ok katmanl\u0131 ve senaryoya ba\u011fl\u0131 etkiler yaratmaktad\u0131r. K\u0131sa s\u00fcrede \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi halinde piyasalar h\u0131zla toparlanabilirken, krizin uzamas\u0131 veya kara sava\u015f\u0131na evrilmesi durumunda enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda \u015fok, enflasyonist bask\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fcmede yava\u015flama ve finansal piyasalarda sert dalgalanmalar ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmazd\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye gibi enerji ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 ve geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler, bu \u015foklardan orant\u0131s\u0131z \u015fekilde etkilenmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Bu sava\u015f\u0131n piyasalara etkisi, haberin b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden \u00e7ok <strong>enerji ve lojistikte fiil\u00ee k\u0131r\u0131lma<\/strong> yarat\u0131p yaratmamas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131. \u015eu anki fiyatlama; Brent\u2019te yukar\u0131 risk, dolarda g\u00fc\u00e7lenme e\u011filimi, alt\u0131nda y\u00fcksek seyir ve kriptoda riskli varl\u0131k sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u015feklinde netle\u015fmi\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ABD ve \u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik ortak sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n misilleme hamleleri, piyasalarda \u201criskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u201d refleksini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Fiyatlaman\u0131n merkezinde petrol arz\u0131, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 riskleri, hava trafi\u011fi\/lojistik aksamas\u0131 ve bunun enflasyon\u2013faiz hatt\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 bask\u0131 var. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":9600,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[570,3351,487,577,3350],"class_list":["post-9597","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analiz","tag-borsaistanbul","tag-dovizkurlari","tag-guvenliliman","tag-jeopolitikrisk","tag-petrolfiyatlari"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Analiz | ABD ve \u0130srail \u0130ran\u2019a Sava\u015f Ba\u015flatt\u0131: Piyasalar Nas\u0131l Etkilenecek? - Merceknet Haber<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/02\/28\/analiz-abd-ve-israil-irana-savas-baslatti-piyasalar-nasil-etkilenecek\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Analiz | ABD ve \u0130srail \u0130ran\u2019a Sava\u015f Ba\u015flatt\u0131: Piyasalar Nas\u0131l Etkilenecek? - Merceknet Haber\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"ABD ve \u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik ortak sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n misilleme hamleleri, piyasalarda \u201criskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u201d refleksini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. 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