{"id":6929,"date":"2026-02-14T14:07:19","date_gmt":"2026-02-14T11:07:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/?p=6929"},"modified":"2026-02-14T14:10:39","modified_gmt":"2026-02-14T11:10:39","slug":"imften-turkiye-ekonomisine-dezenflasyon-notu-buyume-suruyor-riskler-masada","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/02\/14\/imften-turkiye-ekonomisine-dezenflasyon-notu-buyume-suruyor-riskler-masada\/","title":{"rendered":"IMF\u2019ten T\u00fcrkiye Ekonomisine Dezenflasyon Notu: B\u00fcy\u00fcme S\u00fcr\u00fcyor, Riskler Masada"},"content":{"rendered":"

Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF) \u0130cra Direkt\u00f6rleri Kurulu, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ili\u015fkin 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 4. Madde Kons\u00fcltasyonu<\/strong> s\u00fcrecini tamamlad\u0131. IMF\u2019nin bilgilendirmesinde, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc mali konsolidasyon<\/strong>, temkinli gelir politikalar\u0131<\/strong> ve s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 duru\u015fu<\/strong> sayesinde enflasyonda gerileme g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ise 2024 ortas\u0131nda ya\u015fanan ge\u00e7ici ivme kayb\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrini korudu\u011fu ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

Enflasyon: 49,4\u2019ten 30,9\u2019a<\/h2>\n

IMF a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda, enflasyonun Eyl\u00fcl 2024\u2019te y\u0131ll\u0131k %49,4<\/strong> seviyesinden Aral\u0131k 2025\u2019te %30,9\u2019a<\/strong> geriledi\u011fi kaydedildi. Kurul metninde \u201c2024 4. Madde kons\u00fcltasyonundan bu yana T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin dezenflasyon program\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131lar g\u00f6sterdi\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesine yer verildi.<\/p>\n

B\u00fcy\u00fcme ve i\u00e7 dinamikler: 2025 i\u00e7in %4,1 tahmini<\/h2>\n

IMF, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2025\u2019te %4,1<\/strong> d\u00fczeyinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc. A\u00e7\u0131klamada, T\u00fcrk liras\u0131na ilginin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131, bunun rezerv birikimine katk\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong> ve cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n yeterli finansman bulmaya devam etti\u011fi<\/strong> belirtildi.<\/p>\n

\u201cS\u0131k\u0131 politika\u201d vurgusu: Para politikas\u0131, \u00fccretler ve maliye dengesi<\/h2>\n

Kurul de\u011ferlendirmesinde, s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131<\/strong>, \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131<\/strong> ve genel olarak n\u00f6tr maliye politikas\u0131<\/strong> bile\u015fiminin kademeli dezenflasyon s\u00fcrecini desteklemesinin beklendi\u011fi ifade edildi. IMF, mevcut politika bile\u015fiminin \u201cdezenflasyon ile istikrarl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme aras\u0131nda denge kurmaya devam etti\u011fini\u201d kaydetti.<\/p>\n

IMF, i\u00e7 talebin canl\u0131 kalmas\u0131 halinde enflasyonun kademeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fini, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin de politika bile\u015fimi ve g\u00fcven kanal\u0131 \u00fczerinden etkilenebilece\u011fini aktard\u0131.<\/p>\n

Riskler: D\u0131\u015f \u015foklar, enerji fiyatlar\u0131 ve iklim etkisi<\/h2>\n

IMF, enflasyondaki gerileme ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmedeki g\u00f6rece dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011fa ra\u011fmen d\u0131\u015f risklerin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne<\/strong> dikkat \u00e7ekti. K\u00fcresel ticarette belirsizlikler ve b\u00f6lgesel gerilimlerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda olas\u0131 art\u0131\u015flar<\/strong> veya olumsuz iklim ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n<\/strong> enflasyonist bask\u0131lar\u0131 uzatabilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131 yap\u0131ld\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca dezenflasyonda izlenen kademeli yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fc \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratabilece\u011fi ve verimlilik art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendirmesi payla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

Yap\u0131sal reform \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131: Vergi taban\u0131, harcama disiplini, enerji s\u00fcbvansiyonlar\u0131<\/h2>\n

IMF \u0130cra Direkt\u00f6rleri Kurulu, uygulanan politikalarla makroekonomik dengesizliklerin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve g\u00fcven ortam\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fini belirtirken, enflasyonun h\u00e2len hedeflerin \u00fczerinde<\/strong> oldu\u011funu ve ekonominin \u015foklara a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc vurgulad\u0131. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede dezenflasyonun kal\u0131c\u0131 hale gelmesi, d\u0131\u015f tamponlar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi ve kapsay\u0131c\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in daha s\u0131k\u0131 makroekonomik \u00e7er\u00e7eve<\/strong> ve iddial\u0131 yap\u0131sal reformlar<\/strong> \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

IMF metninde \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan \u00f6neriler aras\u0131nda:<\/p>\n

    \n
  • \n

    Mali s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n<\/strong> fiyat istikrar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyecek \u015fekilde s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi,<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    Vergi taban\u0131n\u0131n geni\u015fletilmesi<\/strong> ve uyumun art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131,<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    Enerji s\u00fcbvansiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n<\/strong> a\u015famal\u0131 azalt\u0131lmas\u0131,<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    Harcamalar\u0131n etkin y\u00f6netimi<\/strong> yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Para politikas\u0131 ve finansal \u00e7er\u00e7eve: Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k, ileti\u015fim ve kur esnekli\u011fi<\/h2>\n

    IMF, kararl\u0131 dezenflasyon i\u00e7in para politikas\u0131nda veri odakl\u0131<\/strong> karar alma ve makro-finansal etkileri g\u00f6zetme \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong> ve ileti\u015fim stratejisinin<\/strong> \u00f6nemine i\u015faret edilirken, d\u00f6viz m\u00fcdahalelerinin yaln\u0131zca a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamak<\/strong> amac\u0131yla kullan\u0131lmas\u0131; rezerv tamponlar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendik\u00e7e kurda daha fazla esnekli\u011fe<\/strong> izin verilmesi tavsiye edildi.<\/p>\n

    Orta vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm: 2027\u2019den 2031\u2019e projeksiyonlar<\/h2>\n

    IMF projeksiyonlar\u0131na g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2027\u2019de %4,1<\/strong> b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi, 2028-2031<\/strong> d\u00f6neminde ise y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama %4<\/strong> b\u00fcy\u00fcme patikas\u0131nda seyretmesi bekleniyor. \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n 2026\u2019da %8,3, 2027\u2019de %8,7 ve 2028-2031 y\u0131llar\u0131nda %9,1 seviyelerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor. Enflasyonun gelecek y\u0131l %19\u2019a d\u00fc\u015fmesi, ard\u0131ndan 2031\u2019e kadar %15 d\u00fczeyinde seyretmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n milli gelire oran\u0131n\u0131n da 2026-2028 d\u00f6neminde %1,4, 2029-2031\u2019de %1,5 olmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    IMF, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 4. Madde Kons\u00fcltasyonu\u2019nu tamamlad\u0131. Kurul de\u011ferlendirmesinde dezenflasyon program\u0131nda ilerleme kaydedildi\u011fi belirtilirken, s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 ve mali disiplinin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi gerekti\u011fi vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":6930,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[1707,1838,1839],"class_list":["post-6929","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-cariacik","tag-imf","tag-turkiyeekonomisi"],"yoast_head":"\nIMF\u2019ten T\u00fcrkiye Ekonomisine Dezenflasyon Notu: B\u00fcy\u00fcme S\u00fcr\u00fcyor, Riskler Masada - Merceknet Haber<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/02\/14\/imften-turkiye-ekonomisine-dezenflasyon-notu-buyume-suruyor-riskler-masada\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"IMF\u2019ten T\u00fcrkiye Ekonomisine Dezenflasyon Notu: B\u00fcy\u00fcme S\u00fcr\u00fcyor, Riskler Masada - Merceknet Haber\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"IMF, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 4. 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