{"id":6818,"date":"2026-02-13T21:15:48","date_gmt":"2026-02-13T18:15:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/?p=6818"},"modified":"2026-02-13T21:20:18","modified_gmt":"2026-02-13T18:20:18","slug":"9-13-subat-2026-haftalik-piyasa-analizi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/02\/13\/9-13-subat-2026-haftalik-piyasa-analizi\/","title":{"rendered":"9\u201313 \u015eubat 2026 Haftal\u0131k Piyasa Analizi"},"content":{"rendered":"

09 \u015eubat Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f<\/strong> seviyeleri ile 13 \u015eubat Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fcn kapan\u0131\u015f<\/strong> de\u011ferleri baz al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda; hafta, T\u00fcrkiye varl\u0131klar\u0131nda \u201crisk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n\u201d (\u00f6zellikle Borsa taraf\u0131nda) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131; d\u00f6vizde ise s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ama istikrarl\u0131<\/strong> yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn korundu\u011fu; alt\u0131n\u0131n hafta i\u00e7inde sert geri \u00e7ekilip<\/strong> Cuma toparlansa da ba\u015flang\u0131ca g\u00f6re hafif eksi<\/strong> kapatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir resim verdi. K\u00fcreselde ise ABD enflasyon verisi<\/strong> ve Fed faiz patikas\u0131na dair beklentiler; dolar endeksi, emtia ve hisse senedi fiyatlamalar\u0131 \u00fczerinde belirleyici oldu.<\/p>\n

A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki analiz, \u201chaftay\u0131 etkileyen geli\u015fmelerin\u201d fiyatlara nas\u0131l yans\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hem rakamlarla<\/strong> hem de etki kanallar\u0131<\/strong> \u00fczerinden okuyacak \u015fekilde yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n

1) Haftan\u0131n say\u0131larla \u00f6zeti<\/strong><\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye piyasalar\u0131: 09 \u015eub a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f \u2192 13 \u015eub kapan\u0131\u015f<\/strong><\/p>\n

A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki tablo; BIST endeksleri, d\u00f6viz ve gram alt\u0131n i\u00e7in 09.02.2026 a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f<\/strong> ve 13.02.2026 kapan\u0131\u015f<\/strong> baz al\u0131narak haz\u0131rlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
G\u00f6sterge<\/strong><\/td>\n09 \u015eub Pazartesi A\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f<\/strong><\/td>\n13 \u015eub Cuma Kapan\u0131\u015f<\/strong><\/td>\nHaftal\u0131k De\u011fi\u015fim<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
BIST 100<\/strong><\/td>\n13.641,51<\/td>\n14.180,69<\/td>\n+3,95%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
BIST 30<\/strong><\/td>\n14.925,92<\/td>\n15.706,02<\/td>\n+5,23%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
BIST Banka (XBANK)<\/strong><\/td>\n19.113,04<\/td>\n20.299,95<\/td>\n+6,21%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
BIST Sanayi (XUSIN)<\/strong><\/td>\n16.581,78<\/td>\n17.309,12<\/td>\n+4,39%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
BIST Holding (XHOLD)<\/strong><\/td>\n15.492,16<\/td>\n15.245,18<\/td>\n-1,59%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
USD\/TRY<\/strong><\/td>\n43,6024<\/td>\n43,7388<\/td>\n+0,31%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
EUR\/TRY<\/strong><\/td>\n51,5250<\/td>\n51,9677<\/td>\n+0,86%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Gram Alt\u0131n (GAU\/TRY)<\/strong><\/td>\n7.053,660<\/td>\n7.038,903<\/td>\n-0,21%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Okuma notu:<\/strong> BIST taraf\u0131nda y\u00fckseli\u015fin \u201clokomotifi\u201d bankac\u0131l\u0131k olurken (XBANK +%6,21), holding endeksi haftay\u0131 negatifte kapatt\u0131 (-%1,59). Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, hafta boyunca sekt\u00f6rel rotasyon<\/strong> (banka lehine) ve \u201cfaiz\/iskonto oran\u0131\u201d kanal\u0131 \u00fczerinden de\u011ferleme hassasiyetini i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel g\u00f6stergeler ve emtia: 09 \u015eub a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f \u2192 13 \u015eub kapan\u0131\u015f<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bu tablo; se\u00e7ili k\u00fcresel emtia ve g\u00f6stergelerde (dolar endeksi, petrol, bak\u0131r, bu\u011fday) ayn\u0131 hafta penceresinde a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\/kapan\u0131\u015f performans\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6zetler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
G\u00f6sterge<\/strong><\/td>\n09 \u015eub Pazartesi A\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f<\/strong><\/td>\n13 \u015eub Cuma Kapan\u0131\u015f<\/strong><\/td>\nHaftal\u0131k De\u011fi\u015fim<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Alt\u0131n (F) \u2013 $\/ons<\/strong><\/td>\n5.003,60<\/td>\n5.032,74<\/td>\n+0,58%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Dolar Endeksi (DXY)<\/strong><\/td>\n97,70<\/td>\n96,88<\/td>\n-0,84%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Brent Petrol (F) \u2013 $\/varil<\/strong><\/td>\n67,25<\/td>\n67,53<\/td>\n+0,42%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
WTI Ham Petrol (F) \u2013 $\/varil<\/strong><\/td>\n62,99<\/td>\n62,72<\/td>\n-0,43%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Bak\u0131r (F) \u2013 $\/lb<\/strong><\/td>\n5,9000<\/td>\n5,7633<\/td>\n-2,32%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
ABD Bu\u011fday (F) \u2013 cent\/bushel<\/strong><\/td>\n530,50<\/td>\n547,60<\/td>\n+3,22%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

D\u00fcnya borsas\u0131 i\u00e7in h\u0131zl\u0131 referans:<\/strong> S&P 500 ayn\u0131 aral\u0131kta 09 \u015eubat a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f 6.917,26 \u2192 13 \u015eubat kapan\u0131\u015f 6.864,25<\/strong> ile yakla\u015f\u0131k -%0,77<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

2) Haftan\u0131n ana g\u00fcndemi: \u201cMerkez Bankas\u0131 enflasyon tahmini ka\u00e7t\u0131 ka\u00e7?\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 12 \u015eubat\u2019taki Enflasyon Raporu ileti\u015fimi; haftan\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye fiyatlamalar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan en kritik ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n

    \n
  • TCMB, 2026 y\u0131l sonu enflasyon tahmin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131<\/strong> \u00f6nceki rapordaki %13\u2013%19 band\u0131ndan %15\u2013%21 band\u0131na<\/strong> y\u00fckseltti; buna kar\u015f\u0131n 2026 ara hedefini %16<\/strong> seviyesinde korudu.<\/li>\n
  • 2027<\/strong> i\u00e7in tahmin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 %6\u2013%12<\/strong>, ara hedef %9<\/strong> olarak korundu; 2028 i\u00e7in ise uzun d\u00f6nem patika vurgusu raporlamada yer ald\u0131.<\/li>\n
  • Reuters\u2019\u0131n aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131 piyasa beklentisi taraf\u0131nda, 2026 enflasyon beklentisinin TCMB band\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde<\/strong> seyretti\u011fi (\u00f6r. yakla\u015f\u0131k %23,23<\/strong>) vurgusu, beklenti\/ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme makas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren \u00f6nemli bir veri noktas\u0131 oldu.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Bu revizyon piyasaya nas\u0131l yans\u0131d\u0131?<\/strong>
    \nTeorik olarak enflasyon tahmin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n yukar\u0131 revizyonu \u201cs\u0131k\u0131l\u0131k ihtiyac\u0131\u201d sinyali ta\u015f\u0131r ve risk primini yukar\u0131 itebilir. Ancak ayn\u0131 anda ara hedefin korunmas\u0131<\/strong> ve ileti\u015fimde dezenflasyon patikas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131l\u0131k<\/strong> mesaj\u0131; \u00f6zellikle Borsa\u2019da \u201cfaiz indirimi d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc tamamen bitmiyor\u201d okumas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirerek k\u0131sa vadede risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 destekledi. Nitekim 12 \u015eubat\u2019ta BIST 100\u2019\u00fcn %2,85<\/strong> y\u00fckseli\u015fle 14.180,48<\/strong> seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, bu okuman\u0131n fiyatlamaya yans\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcn olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

    3) Borsa \u0130stanbul: Haftan\u0131n \u201cb\u00fcy\u00fck\u201d resmi ve i\u00e7 dinamikler<\/strong><\/p>\n

    3.1 Endeks performans\u0131: bankac\u0131l\u0131k liderli\u011finde y\u00fckseli\u015f<\/strong><\/p>\n

    Hafta boyunca BIST 100 +%3,95<\/strong>, BIST 30 +%5,23<\/strong> ile daha kuvvetli bir ana endeks performans\u0131 \u00fcretirken; sekt\u00f6r k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131nda:<\/p>\n

      \n
    • Bankac\u0131l\u0131k (XBANK) +%6,21<\/strong>: Faiz indirimi patikas\u0131n\u0131n \u201ctamamen kesilmedi\u011fi\u201d alg\u0131s\u0131 ve bilan\u00e7o de\u011ferlemelerinde iskonto oran\u0131 etkisi bankalar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.<\/li>\n
    • Sanayi (XUSIN) +%4,39<\/strong>: Risk i\u015ftah\u0131 ve i\u00e7 talep\/kur istikrar\u0131 beklentisi sanayi endeksini destekledi.<\/li>\n
    • Holding (XHOLD) -%1,59<\/strong>: Genel y\u00fckseli\u015fe ra\u011fmen holdinglerin negatif ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131; se\u00e7ici realizasyon ve \u201csekt\u00f6rel rotasyon\u201du i\u015faret ediyor.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      3.2 Haftal\u0131k \u201czaman \u00e7izgisi\u201d: as\u0131l hareket Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc<\/strong><\/p>\n

      BIST 100\u2019\u00fcn g\u00fcnl\u00fck ak\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kritik k\u0131r\u0131lma; 12 \u015eubat Per\u015fembe\u2019deki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f oldu: endeksin g\u00fcn i\u00e7i en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck 13.784,80<\/strong>, en y\u00fcksek 14.196,85<\/strong> g\u00f6rmesi ve kapan\u0131\u015fta %2,85<\/strong> artmas\u0131, haftan\u0131n momentumu a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan belirleyiciydi.<\/p>\n

      Analitik yorum:<\/strong><\/p>\n

        \n
      • Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc s\u0131\u00e7rama, bir yandan TCMB raporu ile \u201cpolitika patikas\u0131\u201d beklentilerinin yeniden fiyatlanmas\u0131na; di\u011fer yandan k\u00fcreselde ABD enflasyon verisi<\/strong> beklentilerinin risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 canl\u0131 tutmas\u0131na ba\u011flanabilir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

        4) D\u00f6viz: kontroll\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f, dar bantta oynakl\u0131k<\/strong><\/p>\n

        4.1 USD\/TRY<\/strong><\/p>\n

        USD\/TRY, 43,6024 \u2192 43,7388<\/strong> ile haftay\u0131 +%0,31<\/strong> y\u00fckseli\u015fle kapatt\u0131. Haftan\u0131n dikkat \u00e7eken k\u0131sm\u0131, y\u00fckseli\u015fin \u201csert bir k\u0131r\u0131lma\u201d yerine dar bantta<\/strong> s\u00fcrmesiydi.<\/p>\n

        USD\/TRY\u2019de haftal\u0131k bant (se\u00e7ili g\u00fcnler) incelendi\u011finde:<\/p>\n

          \n
        • Haftan\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesi: 43,8043<\/strong> (12 \u015eubat)<\/li>\n
        • Haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi: 43,3208<\/strong> (09 \u015eubat)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

          4.2 EUR\/TRY<\/strong><\/p>\n

          EUR\/TRY, 51,5250 \u2192 51,9677<\/strong> ile haftay\u0131 +%0,86<\/strong> ile tamamlad\u0131. Euro taraf\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n USD\/TRY\u2019den daha y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131; \u00e7apraz kanal\u0131 (EUR\/USD) ve Avrupa fiyatlamalar\u0131n\u0131n TL\u2019ye yans\u0131mas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n

          Etki kanal\u0131 (k\u0131sa):<\/strong> Kurun \u201ckontroll\u00fc yukar\u0131\u201d seyri; enflasyon beklentileri ve ithalat maliyetleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan izlenirken, ayn\u0131 zamanda Borsa i\u00e7in \u201ckur \u015foku yok\u201d alg\u0131s\u0131 yaratmas\u0131 nedeniyle risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 da destekleyebilir.<\/p>\n

          5) Alt\u0131n: \u201cd\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f seyri\u201d ne s\u00f6yledi, ne olu\u015fturdu?<\/strong><\/p>\n

          5.1 Gram alt\u0131n: sert dalga, zay\u0131f haftal\u0131k kapan\u0131\u015f<\/strong><\/p>\n

          Gram alt\u0131n (GAU\/TRY) haftaya 7.053,660<\/strong> a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015fla ba\u015flay\u0131p 7.038,903<\/strong> kapan\u0131\u015fla bitirdi (-%0,21<\/strong>).<\/p>\n

          Burada kritik nokta, haftal\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fimin k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck olmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n hafta i\u00e7i volatilitenin y\u00fcksek<\/strong> olmas\u0131:<\/p>\n

            \n
          • 12 \u015eubat\u2019ta gram alt\u0131nda -%2,60<\/strong> gibi sert bir g\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, \u201cd\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f seyri\u201d ifadesinin temelini olu\u015fturuyor.<\/li>\n
          • 13 \u015eubat\u2019ta +%1,75<\/strong> toparlanma g\u00f6r\u00fclse de, haftaya g\u00f6re h\u00e2l\u00e2 hafif eksi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

            Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ne olu\u015fturdu? (piyasa davran\u0131\u015f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan)<\/strong><\/p>\n

              \n
            • K\u0131sa vadede: alt\u0131n taraf\u0131nda pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131yanlar i\u00e7in zarar-kes\/teminat<\/strong> davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 tetikleyebilecek bir \u201ch\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fczeltme\u201d penceresi olu\u015ftu.<\/li>\n
            • Portf\u00f6y dinami\u011finde: ayn\u0131 hafta BIST\u2019in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc performans\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan g\u00fcvenli limandan riskli varl\u0131\u011fa ge\u00e7i\u015f (rotasyon)<\/strong> etkisi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr h\u00e2le geldi. (Bu yorum, fiyat hareketlerinin ortak okunmas\u0131na dayal\u0131d\u0131r.)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

              5.2 Ons alt\u0131n ve k\u00fcresel makro ba\u011flam<\/strong><\/p>\n

              Ons alt\u0131n vadeli kontrat\u0131nda haftal\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm +%0,58<\/strong> ile hafif art\u0131ya i\u015faret ederken, esas hik\u00e2ye k\u00fcresel faiz\/dolar beklentileriydi.<\/p>\n

              ABD\u2019de Ocak T\u00dcFE\u2019nin beklentiden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck<\/strong> gelmesi (0,2% ayl\u0131k; 2,4% y\u0131ll\u0131k) Fed\u2019in 2026\u2019da faiz indirimlerine alan\u0131 oldu\u011funa dair beklentileri g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi; bu da k\u00fcresel \u00e7apta risk varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 desteklerken, dolar ve tahvil faizleri kanal\u0131ndan alt\u0131n fiyatlamas\u0131n\u0131 da etkiledi.<\/p>\n

              6) Emtia: Enerji gev\u015fek, sanayi metalleri bask\u0131l\u0131, tar\u0131m emtias\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc<\/strong><\/p>\n

              6.1 Petrol: OPEC+ sinyali ve jeopolitik risk fiyatlamas\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

              Brent ve WTI\u2019da hafta i\u00e7inde sert hareketler g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. \u00d6zellikle 12 \u015eubat\u2019ta Brent\u2019te -%2,71<\/strong>, WTI\u2019da -%2,77<\/strong> g\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n

              Reuters\u2019a g\u00f6re petrol taraf\u0131nda fiyatlamay\u0131 etkileyen ba\u015fl\u0131klar aras\u0131nda:<\/p>\n

                \n
              • OPEC+\u2019\u0131n \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 Nisan gibi<\/strong> yeniden ba\u015flatabilece\u011fine dair haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131,<\/li>\n
              • ABD enflasyon verisinin risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 toparlamas\u0131,<\/li>\n
              • ABD\u2013\u0130ran geriliminin yumu\u015famas\u0131 ihtimali ve Venezuela enerji yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesi yer ald\u0131.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye yans\u0131mas\u0131:<\/strong> Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck\/denge aray\u0131\u015f\u0131nda olmas\u0131; T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de enerji ithalat faturas\u0131 ve maliyet enflasyonu kanal\u0131 \u00fczerinden, orta vadede dezenflasyon hik\u00e2yesine destek olabilecek bir d\u0131\u015f de\u011fi\u015fken olarak izlenir.<\/p>\n

                6.2 Bak\u0131r: \u201cstok bollu\u011fu\u201d anlat\u0131s\u0131 ve fiyat bask\u0131s\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

                Bak\u0131r vadeli fiyat\u0131 hafta genelinde -%2,32<\/strong> geriledi.
                \nReuters\u2019\u0131n de\u011ferlendirmesi; bak\u0131rda \u201ck\u0131tl\u0131k fiyatlamas\u0131\u201d yap\u0131l\u0131rken, borsa depolar\u0131ndaki stoklar\u0131n artmas\u0131n\u0131n (k\u00fcresel envanterlerde belirgin y\u00fckseli\u015f) bu anlat\u0131y\u0131 zorlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurguluyor.<\/p>\n

                Okuma:<\/strong> Bu t\u00fcr bir zay\u0131flama, k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme\/imalat beklentilerinde se\u00e7ici bir temkinin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret edebilir.<\/p>\n

                6.3 Bu\u011fday: k\u00fcresel kontratlar yukar\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

                ABD bu\u011fday vadeli kontrat\u0131 hafta boyunca +%3,22<\/strong> art\u0131\u015fla \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.
                \nTar\u0131m emtias\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u00f6zellikle g\u0131da enflasyonu kanal\u0131 nedeniyle yak\u0131ndan izlenir; ancak yerel fiyatlar\u0131n olu\u015fumu (TMO politikalar\u0131, i\u00e7 arz-talep, kalite s\u0131n\u0131flar\u0131, lojistik) nedeniyle birebir e\u015fle\u015fme beklenmez.<\/p>\n

                7) Konya Ticaret Borsas\u0131: se\u00e7ili hububatta haftal\u0131k y\u00f6n<\/strong><\/p>\n

                Konya \u00f6zelinde, TR Hububat B\u00fclteni<\/strong> verilerinin iki u\u00e7 g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fc (09 \u015eubat ve 13 \u015eubat) esas alarak se\u00e7ili kalemlerde \u201chaftaya giri\u015f \u2013 haftadan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u201d resmini \u015f\u00f6yle okuyabiliriz:<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
                Konya Ticaret Borsas\u0131 (se\u00e7ili \u00fcr\u00fcnler)<\/strong><\/td>\n09 \u015eub (Ort.)<\/strong><\/td>\n13 \u015eub (Ort.)<\/strong><\/td>\nHaftal\u0131k De\u011fi\u015fim<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
                K\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 Sert Bu\u011fday (1.derece) \u2013 TL\/kg<\/strong><\/td>\n13,964<\/td>\n14,140<\/td>\n+1,26%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                Beyaz Arpa (2.grup) \u2013 TL\/kg<\/strong><\/td>\n14,0159<\/td>\n13,8510<\/td>\n-1,18%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck Vas. K\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 Ekmeklik Bu\u011fday \u2013 TL\/kg<\/strong><\/td>\n14,481<\/td>\n13,201<\/td>\n-8,84%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

                7.1 Konya\u2019da bu\u011fday yukar\u0131, arpa a\u015fa\u011f\u0131: ne anlat\u0131yor?<\/strong><\/p>\n

                  \n
                • Bu\u011fdayda (K\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 Sert 1.derece)<\/strong> ortalamadaki art\u0131\u015f (+%1,26), haftan\u0131n sonuna do\u011fru bu\u011fday fiyatlamas\u0131nda g\u00f6rece s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma<\/strong> i\u015fareti verir.<\/li>\n
                • Arpada<\/strong> ortalama geri \u00e7ekilme (-%1,18), yem piyasas\u0131 talebi\/arz dengesi ya da kalite\/teslim ko\u015fullar\u0131 gibi mikro fakt\u00f6rlerin daha bask\u0131n olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret eder.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                  7.2 \u0130\u015flem miktar\u0131 uyar\u0131s\u0131: \u201cfiyat\u201d kadar \u201clikidite\u201d de \u00f6nemli<\/strong><\/p>\n

                  Konya kalemlerinde i\u015flem miktarlar\u0131 g\u00fcnlere g\u00f6re belirgin farkl\u0131la\u015fabiliyor. \u00d6rnek:<\/p>\n

                    \n
                  • 09 \u015eubat\u2019ta K\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 Sert Bu\u011fday (1.derece) miktar\u0131 98 ton<\/strong>, Beyaz Arpa (2.grup) 166 ton<\/strong> iken;<\/li>\n
                  • 13 \u015eubat\u2019ta K\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 Sert Bu\u011fday (1.derece) Konya s\u00fctununda miktar 13 ton<\/strong>, arpa taraf\u0131nda 27 ton<\/strong> g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                    Bu, \u015fu anlama gelir: Hafta sonu g\u00f6r\u00fclen ortalamalar<\/strong>, baz\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnlerde daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck hacim nedeniyle \u201ctekil i\u015flemlere\u201d daha duyarl\u0131 olabilir; dolay\u0131s\u0131yla haftal\u0131k yorumda \u201cy\u00f6n\u201d kadar \u201chacim\u201d de birlikte okunmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

                    8) Haftay\u0131 etkileyen geli\u015fmeler: fiyatlara etkisi (nedensellik haritas\u0131)<\/strong><\/p>\n

                    A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki ba\u015fl\u0131klar, 09\u201313 \u015eubat haftas\u0131nda fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc belirleyen ana temaslar\u0131 \u00f6zetliyor:<\/p>\n

                      \n
                    1. TCMB Enflasyon Raporu (12 \u015eubat)<\/strong>\n
                        \n
                      • 2026 tahmin band\u0131 yukar\u0131 revize edildi (%15\u2013%21<\/strong>), ara hedef %16<\/strong> korundu.<\/li>\n
                      • Piyasa, bu ileti\u015fimi \u201cdezenflasyon patikas\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor ama riskler (\u00f6zellikle g\u0131da) g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc\u201d \u015feklinde okudu.<\/li>\n
                      • BIST\u2019te 12 \u015eubat\u2019ta g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f (%2,85) g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi, beklenti kanal\u0131n\u0131n (faiz patikas\u0131) hisse de\u011ferlemelerine h\u0131zl\u0131 yans\u0131mas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n
                      • ABD enflasyonu ve Fed beklentileri (13 \u015eubat)<\/strong>\n
                          \n
                        • Ocak T\u00dcFE\u2019nin beklenenden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelmesi; 2026\u2019da faiz indirimleri beklentisini destekledi, k\u00fcresel risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 canl\u0131 tuttu.<\/li>\n
                        • Bu atmosfer; geli\u015fen piyasalar, dolar endeksi, emtia ve hisse senetleri \u00fczerinde e\u015fanl\u0131 bir etki yaratt\u0131.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n
                        • Petrol arz\u0131\/jeopolitik ba\u015fl\u0131klar (OPEC+, \u0130ran, Venezuela)<\/strong>\n
                            \n
                          • OPEC+ \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve jeopolitik risk alg\u0131s\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fim, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n hafta boyunca dalgalanmas\u0131na neden oldu.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n
                          • Sanayi metalleri (bak\u0131r) taraf\u0131nda stok anlat\u0131s\u0131<\/strong>\n
                              \n
                            • Stoklar\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi ve talep taraf\u0131nda soru i\u015faretleri, bak\u0131rda bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n
                            • T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de dezenflasyon s\u00f6ylemi ve i\u00e7 politika \u00e7er\u00e7evesi<\/strong>\n
                                \n
                              • Ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015f\/fiskal disiplin vurgusu, dezenflasyon anlat\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n siyasi\/kurumsal sahipleni\u015fini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiren bir \u00e7er\u00e7eve sundu.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

                                9) D\u00fcnya\u2013T\u00fcrkiye\u2013Konya: ayn\u0131 haftay\u0131 tek \u00e7er\u00e7evede okumak<\/strong><\/p>\n

                                Bu hafta, \u00fc\u00e7 \u00f6l\u00e7ekli (k\u00fcresel\u2013ulusal\u2013yerel) okuma yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u015fu tablo \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131:<\/p>\n

                                  \n
                                • D\u00fcnya:<\/strong> ABD enflasyon verisinin \u201c\u0131l\u0131ml\u0131\u201d gelmesiyle Fed indirim beklentileri canl\u0131 kald\u0131; dolar endeksi haftal\u0131k bazda gerilerken, emtia fiyatlar\u0131 ayr\u0131\u015ft\u0131 (petrolde arz beklentisi, bak\u0131rda stok tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, bu\u011fdayda y\u00fckseli\u015f).<\/li>\n
                                • T\u00fcrkiye:<\/strong> TCMB\u2019nin tahmin band\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekmesi, enflasyonda risklerin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc teyit etti; buna ra\u011fmen BIST\u2019te g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f, piyasan\u0131n \u201cfaiz patikas\u0131 tamamen kapanmad\u0131\u201d \u015feklindeki okumas\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131tt\u0131.<\/li>\n
                                • Konya:<\/strong> Bu\u011fdayda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n korunurken, arpa taraf\u0131nda geri \u00e7ekilme; yerel arz-talep ve kalite s\u0131n\u0131flar\u0131n\u0131n fiyat olu\u015fumunda belirleyici oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi. Hacim dalgalanmas\u0131 da yorumun \u00f6nemli bir par\u00e7as\u0131.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                                  Kaynak notu<\/strong><\/p>\n

                                  Bu haber\/analizdeki fiyatlar; ilgili enstr\u00fcmanlar\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u201cge\u00e7mi\u015f veri\u201d sayfalar\u0131ndan (a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f-kapan\u0131\u015f) ve Konya i\u00e7in TR Hububat b\u00fcltenlerinden derlenmi\u015ftir. Konya taraf\u0131nda g\u00fcn i\u00e7i seans\/hacim etkisi nedeniyle \u201cortalama\u201d de\u011ferler, \u00f6zellikle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck hacimli g\u00fcnlerde daha oynak olabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

                                  BIST\u2019te g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc toparlanma, kurda kontroll\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f, alt\u0131nda sert dalga sonras\u0131 zay\u0131f kapan\u0131\u015f, emtiada ayr\u0131\u015fma; Konya hububatta bu\u011fday yukar\u0131 \u2013 arpa a\u015fa\u011f\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":6821,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[1770,570,721,266,750,1114,1771,571],"class_list":["post-6818","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-alti","tag-borsaistanbul","tag-dolartl","tag-emtia","tag-eurotl","tag-haftalikanaliz","tag-konyaticaretborsasi-hububat-tcmb-enflasyonraporu","tag-piyasa"],"yoast_head":"\n9\u201313 \u015eubat 2026 Haftal\u0131k Piyasa Analizi - Merceknet Haber<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/02\/13\/9-13-subat-2026-haftalik-piyasa-analizi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"9\u201313 \u015eubat 2026 Haftal\u0131k Piyasa Analizi - 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