{"id":610,"date":"2026-01-11T19:29:43","date_gmt":"2026-01-11T16:29:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/?p=610"},"modified":"2026-01-11T19:58:08","modified_gmt":"2026-01-11T16:58:08","slug":"paksoydan-natosuz-dunya-uyarisi-gronland-krizi-avrupayi-test-ediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/01\/11\/paksoydan-natosuz-dunya-uyarisi-gronland-krizi-avrupayi-test-ediyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Paksoy\u2019dan \u201cNATO\u2019suz d\u00fcnya\u201d uyar\u0131s\u0131: Gr\u00f6nland krizi Avrupa\u2019y\u0131 test ediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

H\u00fcrriyet yazar\u0131 Yunus Paksoy, 11 Ocak 2026 tarihli payla\u015f\u0131m\u0131nda \u201cNATO\u2019suz d\u00fcnyaya haz\u0131r m\u0131s\u0131n\u0131z\u201d ifadesini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kararak, Washington\u2019\u0131n son d\u00f6nemdeki sert d\u0131\u015f politika \u00e7izgisinin Avrupa g\u00fcvenlik mimarisini do\u011frudan etkileyebilece\u011fini dile getirdi.<\/p>\n

Paksoy, de\u011ferlendirmesinde Trump\u2019\u0131n Gr\u00f6nland\u2019a ili\u015fkin s\u00f6zlerini \u201cm\u00fcnferit bir heves\u201d olarak g\u00f6rmenin hata olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131. Yaz\u0131da, Trump\u2019\u0131n NATO\u2019ya bak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6zetleyen \u201cBen yoksam NATO da yok<\/strong>\u201d yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n, ittifak\u0131n gelece\u011fine ili\u015fkin endi\u015feleri b\u00fcy\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc aktar\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Gr\u00f6nland gerilimi t\u0131rman\u0131yor<\/strong><\/p>\n

Paksoy\u2019un \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n geldi\u011fi g\u00fcnlerde, Trump\u2019\u0131n Gr\u00f6nland\u2019la ilgili \u201cisterlerse de istemeseler de<\/strong>\u201d ad\u0131m at\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki s\u00f6zleri uluslararas\u0131 bas\u0131nda geni\u015f yer buldu.
\nAssociated Press\u2019in aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re Danimarka Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Mette Frederiksen<\/strong>, olas\u0131 bir ABD \u201ckontrol\u00fc\/devralmas\u0131\u201d senaryosunun NATO\u2019nun sonu anlam\u0131na gelece\u011fini<\/strong> s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Venezuela ve \u201cenerji masas\u0131\u201d vurgusu<\/strong><\/p>\n

Paksoy\u2019un metninde Gr\u00f6nland ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131, Venezuela ve enerji denklemindeki geli\u015fmelerle birlikte okunuyor. Guardian\u2019\u0131n canl\u0131 aktar\u0131m\u0131nda, Trump\u2019\u0131n petrol y\u00f6neticileriyle toplant\u0131da Venezuela petrol sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne dair mesajlar verdi\u011fi ve g\u00fcndeminde Gr\u00f6nland\u2019\u0131n da yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

Ne s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor, neye i\u015faret ediyor?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Paksoy\u2019un temel iddias\u0131, Gr\u00f6nland tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n bir \u201ctoprak\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p NATO\u2019nun cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcvenlik \u015femsiyesi ve ABD liderli\u011finin rol\u00fc<\/strong> gibi daha geni\u015f bir \u00e7er\u00e7eveye oturdu\u011fu y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. Bu nedenle \u201cNATO\u2019suz bir gelecek\u201d ihtimalinin art\u0131k teorik bir tart\u0131\u015fma olmaktan \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini, \u00f6nemli bir ger\u00e7ekli\u011fe d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fini savunuyor.<\/p>\n

Gr\u00f6nland krizi: \u201cm\u00fcttefikten tehdit\u201d senaryosu NATO\u2019yu nas\u0131l sarsar?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Gr\u00f6nland son haftalarda bir kez daha \u201cbuzlar \u00fclkesi\u201d olmaktan \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; NATO\u2019nun en temel varsay\u0131m\u0131n\u0131, yani m\u00fcttefiklerin birbirine kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7 tehdidi \u00fcretmeyece\u011fi<\/strong> kabul\u00fcn\u00fc test eden bir jeopolitik dosyaya d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n Gr\u00f6nland i\u00e7in \u201cbir \u015fey yapaca\u011f\u0131z\u2026 isterler ister istemesinler<\/strong>\u201d \u00e7izgisindeki ifadeleri, tart\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 yaln\u0131zca Danimarka\u2019n\u0131n egemenlik alan\u0131ndan de\u011fil, ittifak\u0131n me\u015fruiyetinden ve kolektif savunma fikrinin psikolojisinden<\/strong> ge\u00e7iren bir hatta ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n

Danimarka cephesinin alarm\u0131 da bu y\u00fczden y\u00fcksek perdeden: Ba\u015fbakan Mette Frederiksen\u2019in, olas\u0131 bir ABD \u201cdevralma\u201d senaryosunun NATO\u2019nun gelece\u011fini temelden sarsaca\u011f\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fck uyar\u0131lar\u0131, tart\u0131\u015fman\u0131n art\u0131k \u201csert retorik\u201d s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131 a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

1) Gr\u00f6nland neden bu kadar kritik?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Gr\u00f6nland\u2019\u0131n stratejik de\u011feri iki ba\u015fl\u0131kta toplan\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

(a) Co\u011frafya ve erken uyar\u0131 zinciri:<\/strong> Ada, Kuzey Atlantik ile Arktik ge\u00e7i\u015finin kilit noktas\u0131. Buradaki Pituffik Space Base<\/strong> (eski Thule), ABD\u2019nin balistik f\u00fcze erken uyar\u0131\/izleme mimarisinde \u00f6nemli bir halka. ABD Uzay Kuvvetleri\u2019nin birimleri, Pituffik\u2019teki erken uyar\u0131 radar\u0131n\u0131n f\u00fcze f\u0131rlatmalar\u0131na ili\u015fkin erken ikaz a\u011f\u0131n\u0131n par\u00e7as\u0131 oldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a belirtiyor. CSIS\u2019in yak\u0131n tarihli de\u011ferlendirmeleri de Pituffik\u2019in \u201cmissile detection\u201d kapasitesini ve Arktik g\u00fcvenlik denklemindeki yerini \u00f6zellikle vurguluyor.<\/p>\n

(b) Kaynaklar ve Arktik rekabeti:<\/strong> Gr\u00f6nland, kritik mineraller\/rare earths tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n da merkezinde. B\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7 rekabetinde bu t\u00fcr kaynaklar \u201ctedarik zinciri g\u00fcvenli\u011fi\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda stratejik de\u011fere sahip. CSIS, Gr\u00f6nland\u2019\u0131n kritik mineraller ve Arktik g\u00fcvenlik ba\u011flam\u0131nda artan \u00f6nemine dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n

Bu tablo, Washington\u2019da Gr\u00f6nland\u2019\u0131 \u201culusal g\u00fcvenlik\u201d \u00e7er\u00e7evesine oturtan arg\u00fcmanlar\u0131n neden siyasette kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k buldu\u011funu anlat\u0131yor. Ama bu, bir NATO \u00fcyesinin topra\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in \u201ckontrol\u201d dilinin normalle\u015febilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelmiyor.<\/p>\n

2) Krizin as\u0131l tehlikesi: NATO\u2019nun \u201ci\u00e7 hukukuna\u201d \u00e7arpmas\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

NATO\u2019nun kalbi, Madde 5<\/strong> (kolektif savunma) vaadi. NATO\u2019nun resmi anlat\u0131m\u0131, silahl\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n \u201cbir \u00fcyeye yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015fsa hepsine yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015f say\u0131laca\u011f\u0131\u201d ilkesini ittifak\u0131n temel ta\u015f\u0131 olarak tan\u0131mlar.<\/p>\n

Fakat Gr\u00f6nland geriliminde tuhaf bir k\u0131r\u0131lma var: Senaryonun merkezindeki akt\u00f6rlerin ikisi de NATO m\u00fcttefiki<\/strong> (ABD ve Danimarka). Yani ittifak\u0131n \u201cd\u0131\u015far\u0131dan gelen sald\u0131r\u0131\u201d i\u00e7in tasarlanm\u0131\u015f refleksleri, \u201ci\u00e7eriden gelen bask\u0131\u201d kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda do\u011fal olarak kilitleniyor. Financial Times\u2019\u0131n haberine g\u00f6re Avrupal\u0131 m\u00fcttefikleri as\u0131l sarsan \u015fey, NATO\u2019nun kamuoyu \u00f6n\u00fcnde sessiz kalmas\u0131 ve bu sessizli\u011fin ittifak\u0131n cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flatma ihtimali.<\/p>\n

Burada mesele \u201cNATO ABD\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 m\u0131 pozisyon alacak?\u201d ikilemi de\u011fil; daha temel bir sorun var: \u0130ttifak, bir \u00fcyesinin ba\u015fka bir \u00fcyenin egemenli\u011fini hedef alan s\u00f6ylemi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda hangi siyasi dili kurabilir?<\/strong> Bu soruya net yan\u0131t \u00fcretilememesi, cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n zeminini a\u015f\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

3) \u201cRusya-\u00c7in tehdidi\u201d iddias\u0131 ve kan\u0131t tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

Trump\u2019\u0131n s\u00f6yleminde Gr\u00f6nland, \u00e7o\u011fu zaman \u201cRusya ve \u00c7in gelmeden biz girelim\u201d mant\u0131\u011f\u0131yla sunuluyor. Ancak bug\u00fcn (11 Ocak 2026) Reuters\u2019in aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re Nordik diplomatlar, Trump\u2019\u0131n \u201cGr\u00f6nland \u00e7evresinde \u00c7in\/Rus gemileri-denizalt\u0131lar\u0131 var\u201d iddias\u0131n\u0131 reddediyor; NATO istihbarat\u0131na eri\u015fimi olan kaynaklar ortada kan\u0131t olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor.<\/p>\n

Bu ayr\u0131nt\u0131 kritik, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc s\u00f6ylemin g\u00fcvenlik gerek\u00e7esi zay\u0131flad\u0131k\u00e7a kriz \u201csert pazarl\u0131k\u201dtan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p \u201cme\u015fruiyet\u201d tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na kay\u0131yor. Ve me\u015fruiyet tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, NATO\u2019nun siyasi tutkal\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zla gev\u015feten bir \u015fey.<\/p>\n

4) Danimarka\u2019n\u0131n \u201czor savunmas\u0131\u201d: Toprak, kimlik, ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kopenhag a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan tablo \u00e7ift katmanl\u0131: Bir yandan \u201cegemenlik\u201d ve \u201ctoprak b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc\u201d refleksi; \u00f6te yandan Gr\u00f6nland toplumunda uzun s\u00fcredir var olan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k<\/strong> arzusu. Reuters\u2019in d\u00fcnk\u00fc analizinde Danimarka\u2019n\u0131n, n\u00fcfusunun \u00f6nemli b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k istedi\u011fi bir b\u00f6lgeyi korumaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken Avrupa\u2019dan destek toplamas\u0131n\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7eli\u015fkiye dikkat \u00e7ekiliyor.<\/p>\n

Bu \u00e7eli\u015fki, Washington\u2019\u0131n elini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiren bir gri alan da \u00fcretebilir: \u201cKopenhag- Nuuk\u201d hatt\u0131ndaki her gerilim, d\u0131\u015f akt\u00f6rlerin \u201cm\u00fczakere muhatab\u0131 kim?\u201d sorusunu manip\u00fcle etmesine kap\u0131 aralayabilir.<\/p>\n

5) \u201cNATO sessizli\u011fi\u201d ne anlat\u0131yor?<\/strong><\/p>\n

NATO\u2019nun kamuoyuna yans\u0131yan sessizli\u011fi iki t\u00fcrl\u00fc okunabilir:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Kriz b\u00fcy\u00fcmeden s\u00f6ns\u00fcn<\/strong> diye y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen kapal\u0131 diplomasi (\u00f6zellikle iki m\u00fcttefik aras\u0131ndaki dosyalarda s\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr).<\/li>\n
  2. Daha risklisi: \u0130ttifak\u0131n siyasi refleks kayb\u0131<\/strong> ve Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n \u201cABD i\u00e7 siyasetinin dalgalar\u0131yla\u201d savruldu\u011fu hissi.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    FT\u2019nin aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7eve, Avrupal\u0131 ba\u015fkentlerde bu sessizli\u011fin \u201ccezas\u0131zl\u0131k\u201d alg\u0131s\u0131 \u00fcretebilece\u011fi endi\u015fesinin b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

    6) \u00dc\u00e7 senaryo: Nereye evrilebilir?<\/strong><\/p>\n

    Senaryo A | Retorik + pazarl\u0131k:<\/strong> Dosya y\u00fcksek sesle a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131r, sonra savunma harcamalar\u0131\/Arktik konu\u015flanmalar\u0131\/ekonomik anla\u015fmalar gibi ba\u015fl\u0131klarda \u201cal\u0131p verme\u201dye d\u00f6ner. En olas\u0131 senaryo budur; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc fiili ad\u0131m, NATO i\u00e7inde e\u015fi g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f bir k\u0131r\u0131lma do\u011furur.<\/p>\n

    Senaryo B | Bask\u0131 kampanyas\u0131:<\/strong> \u201cKontrol\u201d hedefi fiili ilhak diline varmadan; yat\u0131r\u0131m, maden ruhsatlar\u0131, altyap\u0131 projeleri, yerel siyaset \u00fczerinde etki gibi ara\u00e7larla ilerler. Bu, Danimarka\u2019n\u0131n elini en \u00e7ok zorlayan senaryo olur.<\/p>\n

    Senaryo C | Kurumsal k\u0131r\u0131lma:<\/strong> NATO i\u00e7inde a\u00e7\u0131k bir \u201cm\u00fcttefikler aras\u0131 egemenlik krizi\u201d ya\u015fan\u0131rsa, ittifak\u0131n cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6z\u00fc tart\u0131\u015fmaya a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131r. Bu senaryonun maliyeti yaln\u0131z Kopenhag\u2019a de\u011fil, t\u00fcm NATO co\u011frafyas\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kar.<\/p>\n

    7) T\u00fcrkiye a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ne anlama gelir?<\/strong><\/p>\n

    Gr\u00f6nland, haritada uzak g\u00f6r\u00fcnebilir ama NATO\u2019nun siyasi kredisi<\/strong> tek bir dosyada zedelendi\u011finde bunun etkisi Karadeniz\u2019den Do\u011fu Akdeniz\u2019e kadar hissedilir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k sadece askeri kapasite de\u011fil; \u201cm\u00fcttefiklik\u201d fikrine duyulan g\u00fcvendir.<\/p>\n

    Bu nedenle T\u00fcrkiye a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik soru \u015fu: NATO i\u00e7indeki g\u00fcven bunal\u0131m\u0131 derinle\u015firse, Avrupa savunma mimarisi daha h\u0131zl\u0131 \u201c\u00f6zerkle\u015fme\u201d aray\u0131\u015f\u0131na girer mi? Girerse, bu yeni mimarinin T\u00fcrkiye ile ili\u015fki zemini nas\u0131l kurulur? Bu sorular\u0131n yan\u0131t\u0131, Ankara\u2019n\u0131n Bat\u0131 ile ili\u015fkilerinde yaln\u0131z askeri de\u011fil, diplomatik esneklik de gerektirir.<\/p>\n

    Son s\u00f6z<\/strong><\/p>\n

    Gr\u00f6nland krizi, \u201ckim kime ne dedi\u201d tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok \u00f6tesinde: NATO\u2019nun i\u00e7 b\u00fct\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc<\/strong>, egemenlik ilkesi<\/strong> ve Arktik rekabetinin<\/strong> birle\u015fti\u011fi bir test alan\u0131. \u0130ttifak\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck zaaf\u0131, d\u0131\u015f tehdide g\u00f6re tasarlanm\u0131\u015f bir yap\u0131n\u0131n \u201ci\u00e7 gerilim\u201d \u00fcretmesi halinde nas\u0131l konu\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bilmemesi.<\/p>\n

    Ve belki de en temel not: Bu dosyada Gr\u00f6nland\u2019\u0131n kendisi (Nuuk ve Gr\u00f6nland toplumu) \u00e7o\u011fu zaman bir \u201cnesne\u201d gibi ele al\u0131n\u0131yor. Oysa krizin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc, ada halk\u0131n\u0131n iradesini yok sayan herhangi bir form\u00fclle de\u011fil; me\u015fruiyeti y\u00fcksek, \u015feffaf ve uluslararas\u0131 hukukla uyumlu bir \u00e7er\u00e7eveyle m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    H\u00fcrriyet yazar\u0131 ve ABD temsilcisi Yunus Paksoy, X hesab\u0131ndan yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 payla\u015f\u0131mda Trump\u2019\u0131n Gr\u00f6nland \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n yaln\u0131zca \u201cada\u201d meselesi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savundu; \u201cABD\u2019nin 1945 sonras\u0131 kurdu\u011fu d\u00fczenin\u201d yeniden yaz\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek Avrupa\u2019ya \u201cNATO\u2019suz senaryoya\u201d haz\u0131rl\u0131k \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":611,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-610","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dunya"],"yoast_head":"\nPaksoy\u2019dan \u201cNATO\u2019suz d\u00fcnya\u201d uyar\u0131s\u0131: Gr\u00f6nland krizi Avrupa\u2019y\u0131 test ediyor - Merceknet 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