{"id":53691,"date":"2026-10-05T09:31:24","date_gmt":"2026-10-05T06:31:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/?p=53691"},"modified":"2026-10-05T09:33:49","modified_gmt":"2026-10-05T06:33:49","slug":"kuresel-piyasalar-haftaya-jeopolitik-gerilim-ve-fed-beklentileriyle-karisik-basladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/10\/05\/kuresel-piyasalar-haftaya-jeopolitik-gerilim-ve-fed-beklentileriyle-karisik-basladi\/","title":{"rendered":"K\u00fcresel piyasalar haftaya jeopolitik gerilim ve Fed beklentileriyle kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k ba\u015flad\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\">K\u00fcresel piyasalar yeni haftaya ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (Fed) para politikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentiler ile Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da giderek artan jeopolitik risklerin kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya geldi\u011fi kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmle ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>ABD\u2019de ge\u00e7en hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanan istihdam verilerinin i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda so\u011fumaya i\u015faret etmesi ve Fed yetkililerinin faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda duraklama mesajlar\u0131 vermesi, bankan\u0131n ekim toplant\u0131s\u0131nda yeni bir s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma ad\u0131m\u0131 ataca\u011f\u0131 beklentilerini \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde azaltt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Para piyasalar\u0131ndaki fiyatlamalarda Fed\u2019in bu ayki toplant\u0131s\u0131nda politika faizini sabit b\u0131rakma ihtimali y\u00fczde 80\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k bankan\u0131n aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilecek y\u0131l\u0131n son toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na gitme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 95 civar\u0131nda fiyatlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Piyasalar\u0131n bu haftaki \u00f6nemli g\u00fcndem maddelerinden biri Fed\u2019in son toplant\u0131s\u0131na ili\u015fkin yay\u0131mlanacak tutanaklar olacak. Tutanaklarda bankan\u0131n gelecek d\u00f6nem para politikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin mesajlar aran\u0131rken d\u00fcnya genelinde a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Sat\u0131nalma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi (PMI) verileri de ekonomik aktivitenin seyrine ili\u015fkin \u00f6nemli sinyaller verecek.<\/p>\n<h2>Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi petrol\u00fc yeniden 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131<\/h2>\n<p>Fed\u2019in k\u0131sa vadede faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na ara verebilece\u011fi beklentisi riskli varl\u0131klar\u0131 desteklerken Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki geli\u015fmeler piyasalardaki iyimserli\u011fi s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Yemen\u2019de h\u00fck\u00fcmet g\u00fc\u00e7leri ile Husiler aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u015fiddetlenmesi b\u00f6lgede risk alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. \u0130ran destekli Husiler, Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n ulusal petrol \u015firketi Aramco\u2019nun Riyad ve Hureys b\u00f6lgesindeki tesislerini f\u00fcze ve insans\u0131z hava ara\u00e7lar\u0131yla hedef ald\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 duyurdu.<\/p>\n<p>Enerji tesislerinin hedef al\u0131nmas\u0131 petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n kesintiye u\u011frayabilece\u011fine ili\u015fkin endi\u015feleri art\u0131r\u0131rken Brent petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131 yeniden 100 dolar seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00f6lgede gerilimin geni\u015fleyebilece\u011fine ili\u015fkin haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 da yak\u0131ndan izleniyor. \u0130srail bas\u0131n\u0131nda ABD\u2019nin olas\u0131 yeni bir b\u00f6lgesel gerilime kar\u015f\u0131 \u0130srail\u2019e ek asker ve sava\u015f u\u00e7a\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6ndermeye haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130srail ordusunun \u0130ran ile yeni bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma veya b\u00f6lgede h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde t\u0131rmanabilecek bir gerilim ihtimaline kar\u015f\u0131 haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, olas\u0131 geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmada \u0130ran\u2019da hedef al\u0131nabilecek noktalar \u00fczerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bildirildi.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130srail ile ABD Merkez Kuvvetler Komutanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki askeri koordinasyonun, \u0130ran\u2019dan gelebilecek muhtemel f\u00fcze sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 dahil farkl\u0131 senaryolar kapsam\u0131nda s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n<h2>Dolar Nisan 2025\u2019ten bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeyi g\u00f6rd\u00fc<\/h2>\n<p>Jeopolitik gerilimlerin enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckselterek k\u00fcresel enflasyonist bask\u0131lar\u0131 art\u0131rabilece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik endi\u015feler dolara olan talebi g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.<\/p>\n<p>Dolar endeksi haftan\u0131n ilk i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 0,5 y\u00fckselerek <strong>102,5<\/strong> seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131 ve Nisan 2025\u2019ten bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyesini test etti.<\/p>\n<p>Dolardaki g\u00fc\u00e7lenme de\u011ferli metal fiyatlar\u0131nda ise farkl\u0131 bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ortaya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Alt\u0131n\u0131n ons fiyat\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar ve Fed\u2019in aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na devam edebilece\u011fi beklentileriyle y\u00fczde 0,2 gerileyerek <strong>4 bin 134 dolar<\/strong> seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ons fiyat\u0131 ise teknoloji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 ve elektrifikasyon s\u00fcrecinin k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte h\u0131z kazanaca\u011f\u0131 beklentilerinin deste\u011fiyle y\u00fczde 1,1 artarak <strong>61 dolara<\/strong> \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>ABD\u2019nin 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi haftaya yatay bir seyirle y\u00fczde <strong>5,27<\/strong> seviyesinde ba\u015flarken, Fed politikalar\u0131na daha duyarl\u0131 olan 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle y\u00fczde <strong>4,82<\/strong> seviyesinde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n<p>Aral\u0131k vadeli Brent petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 0,4 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle <strong>101,8 dolar<\/strong> civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc New York borsas\u0131nda S&amp;P 500 endeksi y\u00fczde 0,70, Nasdaq endeksi y\u00fczde 1,19 ve Dow Jones endeksi y\u00fczde 0,49 de\u011fer kazanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. ABD endeks vadeli kontratlar\u0131 yeni haftaya kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k seyirle ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n<h2>Fransa-Almanya tahvil fark\u0131 2012\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyede<\/h2>\n<p>Avrupa borsalar\u0131 cuma g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fle tamamlarken yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanacak \u00fcretici enflasyonu ve PMI verileri bulunuyor.<\/p>\n<p>Enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki geli\u015fmelerin Avrupa\u2019daki enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc \u00fczerindeki etkisi yak\u0131ndan takip edilirken a\u00e7\u0131klanacak \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131nda enerji kaleminin seyri, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n gelecek d\u00f6nem politikalar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Fransa\u2019daki mali sorunlar, siyasi belirsizlikler ve devam eden toplumsal hareketlilik ise Avrupa piyasalar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ayr\u0131 bir risk unsuru olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n<p>Fransa ile Almanya aras\u0131ndaki 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faiz fark\u0131 <strong>141 baz puana<\/strong> y\u00fckselerek 2012 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana ilk kez bu seviyeye ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Fransa\u2019n\u0131n y\u00fckselen bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerinin di\u011fer Avro B\u00f6lgesi \u00fclkelerine yay\u0131lma ihtimalinin artmas\u0131 halinde Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fcdahalede bulunabilece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik beklentiler de piyasalarda tart\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130ngiltere\u2019de FTSE 100 y\u00fczde 0,32, \u0130talya\u2019da FTSE MIB 30 y\u00fczde 0,49, Fransa\u2019da CAC 40 y\u00fczde 0,79 ve Almanya\u2019da DAX 40 y\u00fczde 1,17 y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n<p>Avrupa endeks vadeli kontratlar\u0131nda ise yeni haftan\u0131n ilk i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcnde kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm hakim.<\/p>\n<h2>Asya\u2019da Japonya y\u00fckseldi, Hong Kong geriledi<\/h2>\n<p>Asya piyasalar\u0131nda \u00c7in ve G\u00fcney Kore\u2019de piyasalar\u0131n tatil nedeniyle kapal\u0131 olmas\u0131 i\u015flem hacimlerinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalmas\u0131na neden oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Japonya\u2019da eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc PMI <strong>51,3<\/strong>, bile\u015fik PMI ise <strong>52,3<\/strong> seviyesine geriledi. Veriler ekonomik aktivitenin bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re h\u0131z kaybetti\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n<p>Japonya t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi ise eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda <strong>35,4<\/strong> ile beklentilerin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>Ekonomik aktivitenin yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eden verilerin ard\u0131ndan Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n politikalar\u0131na duyarl\u0131 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getirisi yakla\u015f\u0131k 10 baz puan gerileyerek y\u00fczde <strong>1,90<\/strong> seviyesine indi.<\/p>\n<p>Kapan\u0131\u015fa yak\u0131n Japonya\u2019da Nikkei 225 endeksi y\u00fczde <strong>2,2 y\u00fckselirken<\/strong>, Hong Kong\u2019da Hang Seng endeksi y\u00fczde <strong>0,3 geriledi<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h2>Yurt i\u00e7inde g\u00f6zler enflasyon verilerinde<\/h2>\n<p>Borsa \u0130stanbul\u2019da BIST 100 endeksi cuma g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fczde 0,17 y\u00fckseli\u015fle <strong>12.270,18 puandan<\/strong> tamamlad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Vadeli \u0130\u015flem ve Opsiyon Piyasas\u0131\u2019nda BIST 30 endeksine dayal\u0131 ekim vadeli kontrat ise cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ak\u015fam seans\u0131nda normal seans kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0,05 y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n<p>Yurt i\u00e7inde haftan\u0131n ilk i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fcn en \u00f6nemli g\u00fcndem maddesini eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 enflasyon rakamlar\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n<p>Ekonomistlerin beklentilerine g\u00f6re T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi\u2019nin eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda ayl\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde <strong>2,18<\/strong> artmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Bu tahminin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi halinde a\u011fustosta y\u00fczde <strong>31,51<\/strong> olan y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonun eyl\u00fclde y\u00fczde <strong>30,16\u2019ya<\/strong> gerilemesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Dolar\/TL cuma g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fc <strong>49,1280<\/strong> seviyesinden tamamlad\u0131. Kur, haftan\u0131n ilk i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcnde bankalararas\u0131 piyasan\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0,1 art\u0131\u015fla <strong>49,1600<\/strong> seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>BIST 100 endeksinde teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan <strong>12.100 ve 12.000 puan destek<\/strong>, <strong>12.400 ve 12.500 puan ise diren\u00e7<\/strong> seviyeleri olarak takip ediliyor.<\/p>\n<h3>Piyasalarda bug\u00fcn takip edilecek veriler<\/h3>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th>Saat<\/th>\n<th>\u00dclke\/B\u00f6lge<\/th>\n<th>Veri<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>10.00<\/td>\n<td>T\u00fcrkiye<\/td>\n<td>Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 T\u00dcFE<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>10.00<\/td>\n<td>T\u00fcrkiye<\/td>\n<td>Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 Y\u0130-\u00dcFE<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>10.55<\/td>\n<td>Almanya<\/td>\n<td>Eyl\u00fcl hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc\/bile\u015fik PMI<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11.00<\/td>\n<td>Avro B\u00f6lgesi<\/td>\n<td>Eyl\u00fcl hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc\/bile\u015fik PMI<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11.30<\/td>\n<td>\u0130ngiltere<\/td>\n<td>Eyl\u00fcl hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc\/bile\u015fik PMI<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11.30<\/td>\n<td>Avro B\u00f6lgesi<\/td>\n<td>Ekim Sentix yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 g\u00fcven endeksi<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>12.00<\/td>\n<td>Avro B\u00f6lgesi<\/td>\n<td>A\u011fustos \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>16.45<\/td>\n<td>ABD<\/td>\n<td>Eyl\u00fcl hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc\/bile\u015fik PMI<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>17.00<\/td>\n<td>ABD<\/td>\n<td>Eyl\u00fcl ISM hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fc PMI<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>\u00c7in ve G\u00fcney Kore piyasalar\u0131 ise tatil nedeniyle bug\u00fcn kapal\u0131 olacak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ABD\u2019de zay\u0131flayan istihdam verileri ve Fed\u2019in ekim ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ara verebilece\u011fi beklentileri k\u00fcresel piyasalarda risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 desteklerken, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da t\u0131rmanan gerilim ve enerji arz\u0131na y\u00f6nelik endi\u015feler yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n temkinli hareket etmesine neden oldu. Brent petrol 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kal\u0131rken dolar endeksi Nisan 2025\u2019ten bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyesini test etti. Yurt i\u00e7inde ise g\u00f6zler eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 enflasyon verilerine \u00e7evrildi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":39042,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[5002,488,5065],"class_list":["post-53691","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-borsa-istanbul","tag-fed","tag-kuresel-piyasalar"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>K\u00fcresel piyasalar haftaya jeopolitik gerilim ve Fed beklentileriyle kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k ba\u015flad\u0131 - Merceknet Haber<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/10\/05\/kuresel-piyasalar-haftaya-jeopolitik-gerilim-ve-fed-beklentileriyle-karisik-basladi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"K\u00fcresel piyasalar haftaya jeopolitik gerilim ve Fed beklentileriyle kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k ba\u015flad\u0131 - Merceknet Haber\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"ABD\u2019de zay\u0131flayan istihdam verileri ve Fed\u2019in ekim ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ara verebilece\u011fi beklentileri k\u00fcresel piyasalarda risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 desteklerken, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da t\u0131rmanan gerilim ve enerji arz\u0131na y\u00f6nelik endi\u015feler yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n temkinli hareket etmesine neden oldu. Brent petrol 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kal\u0131rken dolar endeksi Nisan 2025\u2019ten bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyesini test etti. 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