{"id":47218,"date":"2026-08-30T20:14:35","date_gmt":"2026-08-30T17:14:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/?p=47218"},"modified":"2026-08-30T20:14:35","modified_gmt":"2026-08-30T17:14:35","slug":"almanyada-asiri-sagin-yukselisi-ekonomi-dunyasinda-endise-yaratiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/08\/30\/almanyada-asiri-sagin-yukselisi-ekonomi-dunyasinda-endise-yaratiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Almanya\u2019da a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fi ekonomi d\u00fcnyas\u0131nda endi\u015fe yarat\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Almanya\u2019da eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda yap\u0131lacak kritik eyalet se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde siyasi tansiyon y\u00fckselirken, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011fc\u0131 Almanya i\u00e7in Alternatif\u2019in (AfD) artan oy oranlar\u0131 ekonomi d\u00fcnyas\u0131nda da yak\u0131ndan izleniyor.<\/p>\n

G\u00f6\u00e7men kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 s\u00f6ylemleriyle bilinen AfD\u2019nin \u00f6zellikle do\u011fu eyaletlerinde g\u00fc\u00e7 kazanmas\u0131, \u00fclkenin i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fcme potansiyeli, kamu maliyesi ve Avrupa Birli\u011fi ile ili\u015fkileri konusunda yeni tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 beraberinde getirdi.<\/p>\n

Ekonomistler, Almanya\u2019n\u0131n h\u0131zla ya\u015flanan n\u00fcfusu ve nitelikli i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, g\u00f6\u00e7\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlamaya y\u00f6nelik politikalar\u0131n \u00fcretim kapasitesini ve ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi ciddi bi\u00e7imde etkileyebilece\u011fini de\u011ferlendiriyor.<\/p>\n

Eyl\u00fclde \u00fc\u00e7 kritik se\u00e7im var<\/h2>\n

Almanya\u2019da 6 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de Saksonya-Anhalt\u2019ta, 20 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de ise Berlin ve Mecklenburg-Vorpommern\u2019de eyalet parlamentosu se\u00e7imleri ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilecek.<\/p>\n

Son kamuoyu ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131, \u00f6zellikle AfD ile Sol Parti\u2019nin (Die Linke) baz\u0131 eyaletlerde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sonu\u00e7lar alabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Se\u00e7imlerin yaln\u0131zca eyalet y\u00f6netimlerini de\u011fil, Ba\u015fbakan Friedrich Merz liderli\u011findeki federal h\u00fck\u00fcmetin siyasi g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc de etkileyebilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n

Berlin\u2019de siyasi dengeler de\u011fi\u015febilir<\/h2>\n

Ba\u015fkent Berlin\u2019de 20 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de yap\u0131lmas\u0131 planlanan se\u00e7imler \u00f6ncesinde siyasi kutupla\u015fman\u0131n belirgin bi\u00e7imde artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

Kentte y\u00f6netimde bulunan Hristiyan Demokrat Birlik (CDU) ile Sosyal Demokrat Parti (SPD) koalisyonunun oy kaybetti\u011fi de\u011ferlendirilirken, Berlin Eyalet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kai Wegner\u2019in istifas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan CDU\u2019nun aday\u0131 olan Stefan Evers\u2019in tan\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olmas\u0131n\u0131n se\u00e7im yar\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 daha belirsiz hale getirdi\u011fi ifade ediliyor.<\/p>\n

Se\u00e7imlerin ard\u0131ndan Sol Parti, Ye\u015filler ve SPD\u2019den olu\u015fabilecek \u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir koalisyon ihtimali de siyasi senaryolar aras\u0131nda yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Alman kamuoyu ara\u015ft\u0131rma \u015firketi INSA\u2019n\u0131n son ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131na g\u00f6re AfD, Berlin genelinde y\u00fczde 17 ile \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131rada bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

AfD, Berlin\u2019de ya\u015fanan konut krizini de g\u00f6\u00e7le ili\u015fkilendirerek sosyal konutlar\u0131n \u00f6ncelikle \u201cyerlilere\u201d verilmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki s\u00f6ylemini se\u00e7im kampanyas\u0131nda \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

AfD\u2019nin ekonomi program\u0131na 5 ba\u015fl\u0131kta ele\u015ftiri<\/h2>\n

Alman ekonomi \u00e7evrelerinde AfD\u2019nin ekonomi program\u0131na y\u00f6nelik tart\u0131\u015fmalar da giderek yo\u011funla\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Alman bas\u0131n\u0131nda yer alan analizlerde, AfD\u2019nin iktidara gelmesi halinde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kabilecek ekonomik riskler a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak 5 ba\u015fl\u0131k alt\u0131nda de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n

Bunlar; ekonomik refah\u0131n daralmas\u0131, g\u00f6\u00e7 politikalar\u0131n\u0131n yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fi i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131, Avrupa Birli\u011fi ve Avro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nden ayr\u0131lma ihtimalinin ihracata etkisi, kamu b\u00fct\u00e7esinde olu\u015fabilecek finansman a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve enerji politikalar\u0131n\u0131n Almanya\u2019n\u0131n d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131 olarak s\u0131ralan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Baz\u0131 ekonomik de\u011ferlendirmelerde, pop\u00fclist h\u00fck\u00fcmetlerin uzun vadeli ekonomi politikalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcretimde ortalama y\u00fczde 10\u2019a varan daralmaya yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fi hesaplan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu oran\u0131n Almanya ekonomisine yans\u0131mas\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 450 milyar avroluk ekonomik kay\u0131p anlam\u0131na gelebilece\u011fi ifade ediliyor.<\/p>\n

\u015eirketlerin y\u00fczde 93\u2019\u00fc hukukun \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6nemsiyor<\/h2>\n

Ekonomi \u00e7evrelerinin \u00fczerinde durdu\u011fu ba\u015fl\u0131klardan biri de yat\u0131r\u0131m ortam\u0131.<\/p>\n

Almanya\u2019daki \u015firketlerin y\u00fczde 93\u2019\u00fcn\u00fcn hukukun \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6nemli yat\u0131r\u0131m kriterlerinden biri olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret edilirken, demokratik kurumlara ili\u015fkin g\u00fcven kayb\u0131n\u0131n uluslararas\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar \u00fczerinde olumsuz etki olu\u015fturabilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6zellikle uzun vadeli yat\u0131r\u0131mlar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan siyasi istikrar\u0131n ve hukuk g\u00fcvenli\u011finin Almanya\u2019n\u0131n rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fcnde \u00f6nemli rol oynad\u0131\u011f\u0131 vurgulan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

G\u00f6\u00e7 durursa 15 y\u0131lda 7 milyonluk i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 riski<\/h2>\n

AfD\u2019nin g\u00f6\u00e7 kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 politikalar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ekonomik ele\u015ftirilerden biri Almanya\u2019n\u0131n i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131ndan geliyor.<\/p>\n

\u00dclkenin n\u00fcfusunun giderek ya\u015flanmas\u0131 ve \u00e7ok say\u0131da \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan\u0131n emeklilik ya\u015f\u0131na yakla\u015fmas\u0131 nedeniyle Almanya halihaz\u0131rda ciddi bir nitelikli i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Uzmanlar\u0131n hesaplamalar\u0131na g\u00f6re g\u00f6\u00e7\u00fcn durmas\u0131 halinde \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 15 y\u0131lda Almanya\u2019da yakla\u015f\u0131k 7 milyon ki\u015filik i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong> ortaya \u00e7\u0131kabilir.<\/p>\n

G\u00f6\u00e7menlerin Almanya ekonomisindeki pay\u0131na ili\u015fkin veriler de tart\u0131\u015fmada \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

G\u00f6\u00e7menlerin Do\u011fu Almanya\u2019n\u0131n Gayri Safi Yurt \u0130\u00e7i Has\u0131las\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 11\u2019ini, yakla\u015f\u0131k 68 milyar avroluk b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc olu\u015fturdu\u011fu belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

Almanya genelinde ise g\u00f6\u00e7menlerin ekonomik \u00fcretime katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 14, yakla\u015f\u0131k 572 milyar avro seviyesinde oldu\u011fu ifade ediliyor.<\/p>\n

AB\u2019den ayr\u0131l\u0131k senaryosu 700 milyar avroluk kay\u0131p yaratabilir<\/h2>\n

AfD\u2019nin Avrupa Birli\u011fi ve Avro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ne ili\u015fkin yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 da Alman ekonomi \u00e7evrelerinin en fazla tart\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 ba\u015fl\u0131klardan biri.<\/p>\n

Partinin Brexit benzeri bir s\u00fcre\u00e7le Avrupa Birli\u011fi ve Avro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nden ayr\u0131lmay\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getirebilecek politikalar\u0131n\u0131n, ihracata dayal\u0131 Alman ekonomik modelini olumsuz etkileyebilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n

Yap\u0131lan hesaplamalara g\u00f6re olas\u0131 bir ayr\u0131l\u0131k senaryosu 5 y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6nemde 700 milyar avroya kadar ekonomik kayba<\/strong> ve yakla\u015f\u0131k 2,5 milyon istihdam\u0131n riske girmesine<\/strong> yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n

Bu senaryonun Saksonya-Anhalt eyaletindeki etkisinin de belirgin olabilece\u011fi, b\u00f6lgedeki hane halk\u0131 gelirlerinin y\u00fczde 6\u2019dan fazla gerileyebilece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n

AfD\u2019nin vaatleri b\u00fct\u00e7ede 180 milyar avroluk a\u00e7\u0131k olu\u015fturabilir<\/h2>\n

Partinin vergi ve emeklilik alan\u0131ndaki vaatleri de mali a\u00e7\u0131dan ele\u015ftiriliyor.<\/p>\n

Ekonomi \u00e7evrelerinde yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmelerde, AfD\u2019nin vergi ve emeklilik politikalar\u0131n\u0131n uygulanmas\u0131 durumunda kamu b\u00fct\u00e7esinde yakla\u015f\u0131k 180 milyar avroluk finansman a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong> olu\u015fabilece\u011fi \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6nerilen vergi sisteminin \u00f6zellikle y\u00fcksek gelirli gruplara daha fazla avantaj sa\u011flayabilece\u011fi de ele\u015ftiriler aras\u0131nda yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Enerji politikas\u0131na da ele\u015ftiri<\/h2>\n

AfD\u2019nin yenilenebilir enerji politikalar\u0131na mesafeli yakla\u015fmas\u0131 ve yeniden Rus gaz\u0131na a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k verilmesini savunan politikalar\u0131 da Almanya\u2019n\u0131n enerji g\u00fcvenli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan tart\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Ele\u015ftirilerde, bu yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n Almanya\u2019n\u0131n enerji alan\u0131nda d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve jeopolitik geli\u015fmelere kar\u015f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rabilece\u011fi savunuluyor.<\/p>\n

Ekonomist Gropp: \u201cB\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi y\u00fczde 0,5 ile y\u00fczde 1 aras\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrebilir\u201d<\/h2>\n

Halle Ekonomik Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (IWH) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Reint Gropp, AfD\u2019nin bir eyalette y\u00f6netime gelmesinin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fczerinde \u00f6nemli etkiler yaratabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Yabanc\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fman\u0131 politikalar\u0131n ekonomi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olumsuz sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Gropp, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmeyi yapt\u0131:<\/p>\n

\u201cAfD\u2019nin y\u00f6netece\u011fi bir eyalette y\u0131ll\u0131k ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 0,5 ile y\u00fczde 1 aras\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015febilir. \u0130nsanlar ekonomik ger\u00e7eklerle de\u011fil, art\u0131k var olmayan hayali bir \u2018mavi g\u00f6zl\u00fc, sar\u0131\u015f\u0131n Alman d\u00fcnyas\u0131\u2019 \u00f6zlemiyle bu partiye oy veriyor.\u201d<\/p>\n

Saksonya-Anhalt\u2019ta baz\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerde g\u00f6\u00e7menlerin pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 40\u2019a ula\u015f\u0131yor<\/h2>\n

Almanya\u2019da \u00f6zellikle do\u011fu eyaletlerinde g\u00f6\u00e7men i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn ekonomik faaliyetler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli bir konumda bulundu\u011fu belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

Saksonya-Anhalt\u2019ta g\u0131da \u00fcretimi, in\u015faat, gastronomi ve lojistik sekt\u00f6rlerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n y\u00fczde 33 ile y\u00fczde 40\u2019\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6\u00e7menlerden olu\u015ftu\u011fu ifade ediliyor.<\/p>\n

Bu sekt\u00f6rlerde g\u00f6\u00e7men i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde azalmas\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fletmelerin \u00fcretim ve hizmet kapasitesi \u00fczerinde ciddi bask\u0131 yaratabilece\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

Her 5 doktordan biri yabanc\u0131<\/h2>\n

G\u00f6\u00e7men i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn Almanya\u2019daki rol\u00fc yaln\u0131zca sanayi ve hizmet sekt\u00f6rleriyle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Saksonya-Anhalt\u2019ta sa\u011fl\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki yabanc\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n oran\u0131 da dikkati \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n

Eyalette g\u00f6rev yapan her 5 doktordan birinin yabanc\u0131 uyruklu oldu\u011fu<\/strong> belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle g\u00f6\u00e7\u00fc \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde azaltacak politikalar\u0131n, \u00f6zellikle sa\u011fl\u0131k hizmetlerinde personel a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 daha da b\u00fcy\u00fctebilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n

Saksonya-Anhalt\u2019ta AfD y\u00fczde 42 ile \u00f6nde<\/h2>\n

Almanya\u2019da eyl\u00fcl se\u00e7imlerinin en yak\u0131ndan takip edilece\u011fi eyaletlerden biri Saksonya-Anhalt olacak.<\/p>\n

6 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de sand\u0131k ba\u015f\u0131na gitmesi planlanan eyalette yap\u0131lan son anketlerde AfD y\u00fczde 42 ile ilk s\u0131rada yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

AfD\u2019yi y\u00fczde 22 ile CDU ve y\u00fczde 13 ile Sol Parti takip ediyor.<\/p>\n

SPD, Ye\u015filler, H\u00fcr Demokrat Parti (FDP) ve Sahra Wagenknecht \u0130ttifak\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BSW) ise y\u00fczde 5 se\u00e7im baraj\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131nda bulundu\u011fu ve parlamentoya girememe riskiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

Meclisteki di\u011fer siyasi partilerin AfD\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201csiyasi tecrit\u201d politikas\u0131n\u0131n devam etti\u011fi bir d\u00f6nemde AfD, Saksonya-Anhalt\u2019ta tek ba\u015f\u0131na h\u00fck\u00fcmet kurabilecek sonuca ula\u015fmay\u0131 hedefliyor.<\/p>\n

\u00c7al\u0131\u015fma \u00e7a\u011f\u0131ndaki n\u00fcfus y\u00fczde 13 azalabilir<\/h2>\n

Saksonya-Anhalt, Almanya\u2019n\u0131n ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan daha dezavantajl\u0131 b\u00f6lgeleri aras\u0131nda g\u00f6steriliyor.<\/p>\n

Eyalette ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fen Gayri Safi Yurt \u0130\u00e7i Has\u0131lan\u0131n \u00fclke ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 14 alt\u0131nda oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

Eski Do\u011fu Almanya\u2019n\u0131n di\u011fer eyaletlerinde oldu\u011fu gibi Saksonya-Anhalt da n\u00fcfusun ya\u015flanmas\u0131 ve \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma \u00e7a\u011f\u0131ndaki n\u00fcfusun azalmas\u0131 problemiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya.<\/p>\n

Yap\u0131lan projeksiyonlara g\u00f6re eyaletin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 10 y\u0131lda \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma \u00e7a\u011f\u0131ndaki n\u00fcfusunun yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 13\u2019\u00fcn\u00fc kaybetmesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde 67 ya\u015f \u00fczerindeki n\u00fcfusun ise y\u00fczde 8 artaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n

Bu tablo, b\u00f6lge ekonomisinin gelece\u011finde g\u00f6\u00e7men i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn rol\u00fcn\u00fc daha da \u00f6nemli hale getiriyor.<\/p>\n

Se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 Merz h\u00fck\u00fcmeti \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratabilir<\/h2>\n

Saksonya-Anhalt ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere \u00fc\u00e7 eyalette yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imlerin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n yaln\u0131zca b\u00f6lgesel y\u00f6netimleri etkilemeyece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n

Federal h\u00fck\u00fcmetin se\u00e7imlerden olumsuz sonu\u00e7larla \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 halinde Ba\u015fbakan Friedrich Merz \u00fczerindeki parti i\u00e7i bask\u0131n\u0131n artabilece\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

Bu durumun Berlin\u2019de siyasi t\u0131kan\u0131kl\u0131\u011fa ve Almanya\u2019n\u0131n Avrupa Birli\u011fi i\u00e7indeki siyasi a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 etkileyebilecek tart\u0131\u015fmalara yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fi ifade ediliyor.<\/p>\n

Brzeski: \u201cAlmanya\u2019n\u0131n s\u0131cak siyasi sonbahar\u0131\u201d<\/h2>\n

ING K\u00fcresel Makro Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve Almanya Ba\u015fekonomisti Carsten Brzeski de eyalet se\u00e7imlerinin federal siyaset a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemine dikkati \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n

Brzeski, yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 analizde se\u00e7im s\u00fcrecini \u201cAlmanya\u2019n\u0131n s\u0131cak siyasi sonbahar\u0131\u201d olarak nitelendirdi.<\/p>\n

Eyalet se\u00e7imlerinin hem yerel y\u00f6netimlerin belirlenmesi hem de federal h\u00fck\u00fcmetin kamuoyu deste\u011finin \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclmesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu belirten Brzeski, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmede bulundu:<\/p>\n

\u201c\u00dc\u00e7 eyaletteki se\u00e7imlerin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131, Berlin’deki siyasi iklimi belirleyecek, hatta mevcut koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin vaktinden \u00f6nce sonunu getirebilecek g\u00fc\u00e7te.\u201d<\/p>\n

H\u00fck\u00fcmetin durgunla\u015fan ekonomiyi canland\u0131racak yap\u0131sal reformlar\u0131 hayata ge\u00e7irmekte yava\u015f kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunan Brzeski, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f\u0131n bu ortamdan siyasi destek kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n

\u201cAfD’nin ekonomi politikas\u0131 s\u00fcrpriz torbas\u0131 gibi\u201d<\/h2>\n

Brzeski, i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 ve finans piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n AfD\u2019nin y\u00fckseli\u015fini daha yak\u0131ndan takip etmesi gerekti\u011fini belirterek partinin ekonomi program\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u015fu ifadeleri kulland\u0131:<\/p>\n

\u201cAfD’nin ekonomi politikas\u0131 hala ne \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131 belli olmayan bir s\u00fcrpriz torbas\u0131 gibi. Ger\u00e7ekte ne istedikleri belirsiz ve vaatleri aras\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7eli\u015fkiler var. Parti programlar\u0131 incelendi\u011finde, b\u00fct\u00e7ede en b\u00fcy\u00fck finansman a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131na sahip olan yap\u0131n\u0131n AfD oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cVadedilen her avronun 10 sentinden daha az\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lanabiliyor\u201d<\/h2>\n

Brzeski, IWH\u2019nin AfD\u2019nin se\u00e7im program\u0131na y\u00f6nelik maliyet analizine de de\u011findi.<\/p>\n

Analize g\u00f6re partinin vaatlerinin y\u0131ll\u0131k yakla\u015f\u0131k 2,5 milyar avroluk finansman ihtiyac\u0131 yaratabilece\u011fi, buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k somut olarak ortaya konulabilen tasarruf miktar\u0131n\u0131n yaln\u0131zca 243 milyon avro seviyesinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

Brzeski, hesaplamalara ili\u015fkin \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi:<\/p>\n

\u201cVadedilen her bir avronun 10 sentinden daha az\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lanabiliyor. Ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan en az 2,2 milyar avroluk a\u00e7\u0131k, eyaletin toplam vergi gelirlerinin d\u00f6rtte birine denk geliyor. Ancak maliyetlerin ve ekonomik ger\u00e7eklerin tart\u0131\u015fma kazand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131na inananlar i\u00e7in ac\u0131 olan durum \u015fu ki; bu rapor kamuoyuna a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131ktan sonra bile AfD’nin anketlerdeki y\u00fckseli\u015fi devam etti.\u201d<\/p>\n

Almanya\u2019da se\u00e7imlerin ekonomi \u00fczerindeki etkisi yak\u0131ndan izlenecek<\/h2>\n

Almanya\u2019da eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilecek \u00fc\u00e7 eyalet se\u00e7imi, \u00fclkenin siyasi gelece\u011finin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra ekonomik politikalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6zellikle AfD\u2019nin se\u00e7imlerden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 halinde g\u00f6\u00e7 politikalar\u0131, i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131, kamu maliyesi, Avrupa Birli\u011fi ile ili\u015fkiler ve enerji politikalar\u0131n\u0131n daha yo\u011fun bi\u00e7imde tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Ya\u015flanan n\u00fcfus, nitelikli i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme sorunlar\u0131yla m\u00fccadele eden Almanya\u2019da se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n hem \u015firketler hem yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar hem de Avrupa ekonomisi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yak\u0131ndan takip edilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Almanya\u2019da eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda \u00fc\u00e7 eyalette yap\u0131lacak parlamento se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde, g\u00f6\u00e7men kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 s\u00f6ylemleriyle \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan Almanya i\u00e7in Alternatif\u2019in (AfD) anketlerde y\u00fckselmesi ekonomi \u00e7evrelerinde endi\u015fe yarat\u0131yor. Ekonomistler, partinin g\u00f6\u00e7 politikalar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 derinle\u015ftirebilece\u011fi, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi zay\u0131flatabilece\u011fi ve Almanya\u2019n\u0131n ihracat odakl\u0131 ekonomik modelini olumsuz etkileyebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulunuyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":47219,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2535,9],"tags":[15219,667,15220],"class_list":["post-47218","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-3-bolge","category-dunya","tag-afd","tag-almanya","tag-avrupaekonomisi"],"yoast_head":"\nAlmanya\u2019da a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fi ekonomi d\u00fcnyas\u0131nda endi\u015fe yarat\u0131yor - Merceknet Haber<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/08\/30\/almanyada-asiri-sagin-yukselisi-ekonomi-dunyasinda-endise-yaratiyor\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Almanya\u2019da a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fi ekonomi d\u00fcnyas\u0131nda endi\u015fe yarat\u0131yor - Merceknet Haber\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Almanya\u2019da eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda \u00fc\u00e7 eyalette yap\u0131lacak parlamento se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde, g\u00f6\u00e7men kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 s\u00f6ylemleriyle \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan Almanya i\u00e7in Alternatif\u2019in (AfD) anketlerde y\u00fckselmesi ekonomi \u00e7evrelerinde endi\u015fe yarat\u0131yor. 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