Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da pe\u015f pe\u015fe ya\u015fanan sava\u015flar, Gazze\u2019nin gelece\u011fine ili\u015fkin anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar ve M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n Sina Yar\u0131madas\u0131\u2019ndaki askeri faaliyetleri, Kahire ile Tel Aviv aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilerin yeniden sorgulanmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u0130srail bas\u0131n\u0131nda son g\u00fcnlerde yay\u0131mlanan haberlerde M\u0131s\u0131r ve \u0130srail ordular\u0131n\u0131n asker say\u0131lar\u0131, sava\u015f u\u00e7aklar\u0131, tanklar\u0131, donanma unsurlar\u0131, hava savunma sistemleri ve savunma b\u00fct\u00e7eleri kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmaya ba\u015fland\u0131. Bu yay\u0131nlar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan sosyal medyada ve baz\u0131 haber platformlar\u0131nda \u201cNetanyahu M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019a m\u0131 sald\u0131racak?\u201d sorusu g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131nd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bununla birlikte mevcut bilgiler, iki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda do\u011frudan bir sava\u015f haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan \u00e7ok, kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 g\u00fcvensizli\u011fin ve b\u00f6lgesel g\u00fc\u00e7 m\u00fccadelesinin b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
\u0130branice yay\u0131n yapan Natsiv Net platformunda yer alan de\u011ferlendirmede, M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n asker say\u0131s\u0131 ve konvansiyonel askeri ara\u00e7 envanteri bak\u0131m\u0131ndan \u0130srail\u2019den daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir g\u00fcce sahip oldu\u011fu \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Haberde M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 450 bin aktif askeri, 4 bin muharebe tank\u0131, 650 askeri u\u00e7a\u011f\u0131 ve 220 sava\u015f gemisi bulundu\u011fu iddia edildi. M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k savunma b\u00fct\u00e7esinin ise yakla\u015f\u0131k 11,4 milyar dolar oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n
\u0130srail\u2019in ise yakla\u015f\u0131k 170 bin aktif askeri, bin 800 tank\u0131, 600 askeri u\u00e7a\u011f\u0131 ve 65 sava\u015f gemisine sahip oldu\u011fu ileri s\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc. \u0130srail\u2019in savunma b\u00fct\u00e7esi yakla\u015f\u0131k 24,6 milyar dolar olarak g\u00f6sterildi.<\/p>\n
Ancak askeri personel, ara\u00e7 ve b\u00fct\u00e7e rakamlar\u0131; kullan\u0131lan hesaplama y\u00f6ntemi, aktif ya da depoda bulunan ara\u00e7lar\u0131n dahil edilmesi ve a\u00e7\u0131klanmayan harcamalar nedeniyle farkl\u0131 veri tabanlar\u0131nda ciddi \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde de\u011fi\u015febiliyor. Bu nedenle s\u00f6z konusu rakamlar\u0131n resm\u00ee ve kesin veriler olarak de\u011fil, \u0130srail medyas\u0131nda yay\u0131mlanan tahminler olarak de\u011ferlendirilmesi gerekiyor.<\/p>\n
\u0130srail medyas\u0131ndaki analizlerde M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n personel, tank, u\u00e7ak ve gemi say\u0131s\u0131yla \u00f6nemli bir say\u0131sal \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 ancak envanterinin farkl\u0131 \u00fclkelerden temin edilmi\u015f \u00e7ok say\u0131da eski sistemi de bar\u0131nd\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 savunuldu.<\/p>\n
Bu durumun bak\u0131m, m\u00fchimmat tedariki, komuta-kontrol ve farkl\u0131 sistemlerin birlikte \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan M\u0131s\u0131r ordusuna baz\u0131 zorluklar \u00e7\u0131karabilece\u011fi ileri s\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n
\u0130srail\u2019in ise daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir orduya sahip olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen geli\u015fmi\u015f istihbarat kapasitesi, elektronik harp sistemleri, hassas g\u00fcd\u00fcml\u00fc m\u00fchimmatlar\u0131, insans\u0131z hava ara\u00e7lar\u0131, f\u00fcze savunma sistemleri ve modern sava\u015f u\u00e7aklar\u0131yla teknolojik \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck kurdu\u011fu belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n
Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla yaln\u0131zca tank, u\u00e7ak veya asker say\u0131s\u0131na bak\u0131larak yap\u0131lacak bir kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n iki \u00fclkenin ger\u00e7ek askeri kapasitesini tam olarak yans\u0131tmayaca\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n
Gerilimi art\u0131ran geli\u015fmelerden biri de M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n Rusya\u2019dan ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 S-300VM Antey-2500 uzun menzilli hava savunma sistemlerini kamuoyuna a\u00e7\u0131k bi\u00e7imde sergilemesi oldu.<\/p>\n
M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n yeni Stratejik Komuta Merkezi\u2019nin a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131nda S-300VM sistemlerinin g\u00f6r\u00fcnmesi, \u00fclkenin uzun menzilli hava savunma kapasitesine ili\u015fkin tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 yeniden g\u00fcndeme getirdi. S\u00f6z konusu sistem; sava\u015f u\u00e7aklar\u0131, seyir f\u00fczeleri ve baz\u0131 balistik f\u00fcze tehditlerine kar\u015f\u0131 kullan\u0131lmak \u00fczere tasarlanm\u0131\u015f hareketli bir hava savunma sistemi olarak biliniyor.<\/p>\n
\u0130srail merkezli baz\u0131 yay\u0131nlarda, M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n bu sistemleri aktif bi\u00e7imde kullanmas\u0131n\u0131n \u0130srail Hava Kuvvetleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yeni bir planlama ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131 savunuldu. Ayn\u0131 yay\u0131nlarda \u0130srail\u2019in elektronik harp, istihbarat ve uzun menzilli hassas vuru\u015f kapasitesi sayesinde S-300 sistemlerine kar\u015f\u0131 koyabilecek imk\u00e2nlara sahip oldu\u011fu iddia edildi.<\/p>\n
Ancak bir hava savunma sisteminin envantere al\u0131nmas\u0131 tek ba\u015f\u0131na sald\u0131r\u0131 haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelmiyor. Bu t\u00fcr sistemler \u00f6ncelikle hava sahas\u0131n\u0131n, askeri \u00fcslerin ve stratejik tesislerin korunmas\u0131 amac\u0131yla kullan\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\u0130srail Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Binyamin Netanyahu\u2019nun \u015eubat 2026\u2019da kapal\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen bir parlamento komisyonu toplant\u0131s\u0131nda M\u0131s\u0131r ordusunun g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi\u011fi \u0130srail bas\u0131n\u0131na yans\u0131m\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
Haberlere g\u00f6re Netanyahu, \u0130srail ile M\u0131s\u0131r aras\u0131nda ortak \u00e7\u0131karlar ve devam eden ili\u015fkiler bulundu\u011funu kabul etmekle birlikte, M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n askeri kapasitesinin yak\u0131ndan takip edilmesi gerekti\u011fini savundu.<\/p>\n
Netanyahu\u2019nun 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda da ABD y\u00f6netiminden M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n Sina\u2019daki askeri faaliyetleri konusunda Kahire\u2019ye bask\u0131 yapmas\u0131n\u0131 istedi\u011fi \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u0130srail taraf\u0131 baz\u0131 pistlerin ve yer alt\u0131 tesislerinin 1979 tarihli bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenlik h\u00fck\u00fcmlerine ayk\u0131r\u0131 olabilece\u011fini iddia etmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
Ancak konuya ili\u015fkin haberlerde, M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n s\u00f6z konusu tesislerde f\u00fcze depolad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair do\u011frulanm\u0131\u015f bir kan\u0131t bulunmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 da \u00f6zellikle belirtilmi\u015fti. M\u0131s\u0131r taraf\u0131 ise Sina\u2019daki askeri \u00f6nlemlerin Gazze\u2019deki Filistinlilerin zorla M\u0131s\u0131r topraklar\u0131na s\u00fcr\u00fclmesini engellemek ve \u00fclkenin s\u0131n\u0131r g\u00fcvenli\u011fini korumak amac\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
Sina Yar\u0131madas\u0131, \u0130srail ile M\u0131s\u0131r aras\u0131ndaki askeri dengenin en hassas noktalar\u0131ndan biri olmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
M\u0131s\u0131r ve \u0130srail aras\u0131nda 26 Mart 1979\u2019da imzalanan bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131, Sina\u2019daki \u0130srail g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin \u00e7ekilmesinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra b\u00f6lgede bulundurulabilecek asker ve askeri ara\u00e7lara da s\u0131n\u0131rlamalar getirdi. Sina, anla\u015fma kapsam\u0131nda farkl\u0131 g\u00fcvenlik b\u00f6lgelerine ayr\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Anla\u015fman\u0131n g\u00fcvenlik h\u00fck\u00fcmlerinin uygulanmas\u0131, \u00c7ok Uluslu G\u00fc\u00e7 ve G\u00f6zlemciler adl\u0131 uluslararas\u0131 yap\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan denetleniyor. MFO\u2019nun resm\u00ee bilgilerine g\u00f6re Sina\u2019da \u00fc\u00e7, \u0130srail taraf\u0131nda ise bir g\u00fcvenlik b\u00f6lgesi bulunuyor ve her b\u00f6lgede konu\u015fland\u0131r\u0131labilecek personel ile askeri ekipman i\u00e7in ayr\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamalar uygulan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
M\u0131s\u0131r D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 da Ocak 2026\u2019da MFO\u2019nun Sina\u2019daki varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n b\u00f6lgesel g\u00fcvenlik ve istikrar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan temel bir unsur oldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u0130ki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki mevcut gerilimin en \u00f6nemli nedenlerinden birini Gazze olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n
Kahire y\u00f6netimi, Gazze\u2019de ya\u015fayan Filistinlilerin Sina\u2019ya zorla g\u00f6nderilmesi ihtimalini kesin bir dille reddediyor. M\u0131s\u0131r, b\u00f6yle bir geli\u015fmenin Filistin meselesinin tasfiyesi anlam\u0131na gelece\u011fini, kendi ulusal g\u00fcvenli\u011fini tehdit edece\u011fini ve b\u00f6lgede yeni bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma dalgas\u0131 yarataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunuyor.<\/p>\n
\u0130srail\u2019in Gazze\u2019nin M\u0131s\u0131r s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131ndaki Refah ve Philadelphi Koridoru\u2019na y\u00f6nelik politikalar\u0131 da Kahire\u2019de tepkiye neden oldu. M\u0131s\u0131r, s\u0131n\u0131r hatt\u0131ndaki geli\u015fmeler nedeniyle askeri ve diplomatik \u00f6nlemlerini art\u0131r\u0131rken, \u0130srail taraf\u0131 da Sina\u2019daki M\u0131s\u0131r birliklerinin b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc tart\u0131\u015fmaya a\u00e7t\u0131.<\/p>\n
M\u0131s\u0131r Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Abdulfettah es-Sisi, \u00fclkesinin Filistinlilerin yerlerinden edilmesini \u201ck\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 \u00e7izgi\u201d olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve b\u00f6lgesel sorunlar\u0131n sava\u015f yerine m\u00fczakere yoluyla \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi gerekti\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n
M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n temmuz ay\u0131nda \u201cOctagon\u201d ad\u0131 verilen yeni Stratejik Komuta Merkezi\u2019ni hizmete a\u00e7mas\u0131 da \u0130srail\u2019de yak\u0131ndan takip edildi.<\/p>\n
Kahire yak\u0131nlar\u0131ndaki yeni idari ba\u015fkentte kurulan merkez; komuta, kontrol, ileti\u015fim, kriz y\u00f6netimi ve yapay zek\u00e2 destekli karar sistemlerini tek \u00e7at\u0131 alt\u0131nda toplamay\u0131 ama\u00e7l\u0131yor. Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Sisi a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015fta, merkezin M\u0131s\u0131r ordusunun operasyon y\u00f6netimi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
\u0130srailli baz\u0131 analistler bu yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n uzun vadeli askeri modernizasyon program\u0131n\u0131n par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirirken, baz\u0131 uzmanlar ise M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n g\u00fcvenlik tehditlerinin yaln\u0131zca \u0130srail\u2019le s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n
M\u0131s\u0131r; Libya\u2019daki istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k, Sudan\u2019daki sava\u015f, K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz\u2019deki g\u00fcvenlik sorunlar\u0131, Etiyopya ile Nil sular\u0131 anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131, ter\u00f6r \u00f6rg\u00fctleri ve Gazze s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131ndaki geli\u015fmeler nedeniyle ayn\u0131 anda birden fazla g\u00fcvenlik riskiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya bulunuyor. Bu nedenle M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n askeri modernizasyonunun do\u011frudan \u0130srail\u2019e sald\u0131r\u0131 haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 olarak yorumlanmas\u0131n\u0131n do\u011fru olmayaca\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor. \u0130srail bas\u0131n\u0131ndaki g\u00fcncel analizlerde de iki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda g\u00fcvensizlik bulunmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen sava\u015f ihtimalinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu vurgulan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Mevcut bilgiler \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bu soruya verilebilecek yan\u0131t, \u015fu anda b\u00f6yle bir sald\u0131r\u0131 haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 do\u011frulayan somut bir kan\u0131t bulunmad\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong> y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n \u0130srail h\u00fck\u00fcmeti M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 askeri operasyon ba\u015flat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin resm\u00ee bir a\u00e7\u0131klama yapmad\u0131. \u0130srail ordusunun M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019a y\u00f6nelik bir sald\u0131r\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6zel olarak y\u0131\u011f\u0131nak yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131na, operasyon emri ald\u0131\u011f\u0131na veya bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 sona erdirmeye haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin do\u011frulanm\u0131\u015f bir bilgi de kamuoyuna yans\u0131mad\u0131.<\/p>\n \u0130srail medyas\u0131ndaki askeri kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131n ve Netanyahu\u2019nun a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131n, do\u011frudan sava\u015f ilan\u0131ndan \u00e7ok M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n artan askeri kapasitesine y\u00f6nelik stratejik kayg\u0131lar\u0131 yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n Her iki \u00fclke a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da 1979 tarihli bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n bozulmas\u0131 a\u011f\u0131r askeri, siyasi ve ekonomik sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furabilir. M\u0131s\u0131r ile \u0130srail\u2019in s\u0131n\u0131r g\u00fcvenli\u011fi, Gazze, arabuluculuk \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 ve b\u00f6lgesel istikrar gibi ba\u015fl\u0131klarda birbirleriyle temas h\u00e2linde olmalar\u0131 da do\u011frudan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma se\u00e7ene\u011finin \u00f6n\u00fcnde \u00f6nemli bir engel olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n Sina\u2019daki askeri hareketlilik, M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n savunma sistemlerini modernize etmesi ve \u0130srail medyas\u0131nda yay\u0131mlanan g\u00fc\u00e7 kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 iki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki g\u00fcvensizli\u011fin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n Bununla birlikte askeri kapasitenin tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 ile fiil\u00ee bir sald\u0131r\u0131 haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 aras\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir fark bulunuyor. \u015eimdilik sahadaki geli\u015fmeler, yak\u0131n bir M\u0131s\u0131r-\u0130srail sava\u015f\u0131ndan \u00e7ok taraflar\u0131n birbirlerinin askeri ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 izledi\u011fi, diplomatik bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve olas\u0131 krizlere kar\u015f\u0131 cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k olu\u015fturmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6neme i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n Bu nedenle \u201cNetanyahu M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019a sald\u0131racak\u201d \u015feklindeki kesin ifadeler mevcut verilerle do\u011frulanm\u0131yor. Ancak Gazze\u2019nin gelece\u011fi, Sina\u2019daki birliklerin konumu ve 1979 bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenlik h\u00fck\u00fcmleri \u00fczerindeki anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar, Kahire-Tel Aviv hatt\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde de b\u00f6lgenin en hassas ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131ndan biri olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n Sina Yar\u0131madas\u0131\u2019ndaki askeri varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesi ve geli\u015fmi\u015f hava savunma sistemlerini g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr h\u00e2le getirmesi, \u0130srail\u2019de g\u00fcvenlik tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131 yeniden alevlendirdi. \u0130srail medyas\u0131nda iki \u00fclkenin askeri g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 analizler yay\u0131mlan\u0131rken, Ba\u015fbakan Binyamin Netanyahu\u2019nun daha \u00f6nce M\u0131s\u0131r ordusunun g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesinden duydu\u011fu endi\u015feyi dile getirmesi dikkat \u00e7ekti. Ancak \u015fu ana kadar \u0130srail\u2019in M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019a sald\u0131rmaya haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren resm\u00ee bir a\u00e7\u0131klama, do\u011frulanm\u0131\u015f operasyon emri ya da somut askeri kan\u0131t bulunmuyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":41529,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,3483],"tags":[1566,731],"class_list":["post-41525","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dunya","category-4-bolge","tag-israil","tag-misir"],"yoast_head":"\nGerilim s\u00fcr\u00fcyor, ancak sava\u015f i\u015fareti yok<\/h2>\n