{"id":41077,"date":"2026-08-01T10:50:33","date_gmt":"2026-08-01T07:50:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/?p=41077"},"modified":"2026-08-01T10:50:33","modified_gmt":"2026-08-01T07:50:33","slug":"altinda-yukselis-surecek-mi-ons-icin-4-bin-dolar-kritik-esik","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/08\/01\/altinda-yukselis-surecek-mi-ons-icin-4-bin-dolar-kritik-esik\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131nda y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u00fcrecek mi? Ons i\u00e7in 4 bin dolar kritik e\u015fik"},"content":{"rendered":"

K\u00fcresel piyasalarda alt\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fc, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n faiz karar\u0131, ABD\u2019den a\u00e7\u0131klanan enflasyon verileri, dolar endeksindeki hareketlilik ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 talebiyle \u015fekillendi.<\/p>\n

Ahlatc\u0131 Yat\u0131r\u0131m\u2019\u0131n haftal\u0131k alt\u0131n analizinde, Fed\u2019in politika faizini beklentiler do\u011frultusunda sabit b\u0131rakmas\u0131n\u0131n ve enflasyon g\u00f6stergelerinde ya\u015fanan yava\u015flaman\u0131n ons alt\u0131n\u0131 destekledi\u011fi belirtildi. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar ile Fed \u00fcyelerinin s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131ndan yana mesajlar\u0131n\u0131n ise y\u00fckseli\u015fleri s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

Jeopolitik geli\u015fmeler alt\u0131na destek verdi<\/h2>\n

Analize g\u00f6re haftan\u0131n ilk i\u015flem g\u00fcnlerinde jeopolitik risklerin azalmas\u0131 piyasalardaki iyimserli\u011fi art\u0131rd\u0131. ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n durmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ve ABD tahvil faizlerinde gerileme g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Bu geli\u015fmelerin g\u00fcvenli liman talebini destekledi\u011fi ve ons alt\u0131n\u0131n haftaya g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k dolar endeksinin son bir ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine yakla\u015fmas\u0131 ve Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde faiz art\u0131r\u0131m ihtimalinin fiyatlanmas\u0131, haftan\u0131n ikinci i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcnde alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu.<\/p>\n

Fed faizleri de\u011fi\u015ftirmedi<\/h2>\n

Fed, temmuz ay\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131nda politika faizini piyasa beklentileri do\u011frultusunda y\u00fczde 3,50-3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit b\u0131rakt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Karar\u0131n 9\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 3 oyla al\u0131nmas\u0131 dikkati \u00e7ekerken, \u00fc\u00e7 Fed \u00fcyesinin 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan yana oy kullanmas\u0131, enflasyon konusunda banka i\u00e7erisindeki hassasiyetin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n

Ahlatc\u0131 Yat\u0131r\u0131m\u2019\u0131n de\u011ferlendirmesinde, piyasalar\u0131n toplant\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde Fed\u2019den daha sert mesajlar bekledi\u011fi, ancak beklenen \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde \u015fahin bir duru\u015f sergilenmemesinin alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131na destek verdi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n

Warsh\u2019\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131<\/h2>\n

Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Warsh\u2019\u0131n enflasyonla m\u00fccadeleden taviz verilmeyece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131n, faiz art\u0131r\u0131m ihtimalinin tamamen ortadan kalkmas\u0131n\u0131 engelledi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, Warsh\u2019\u0131n gelecek d\u00f6neme ili\u015fkin net bir y\u00f6nlendirme yapmamas\u0131na ra\u011fmen \u00fc\u00e7 \u00fcyenin faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 savunmas\u0131n\u0131n piyasalardaki iyimserli\u011fi s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve ons alt\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015flerin h\u0131z kesmesine yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

Enflasyondaki yava\u015flama alt\u0131n\u0131 destekledi<\/h2>\n

Haftan\u0131n \u00f6nemli g\u00fcndem maddelerinden biri de ABD\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanan ki\u015fisel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 enflasyon verileri oldu.<\/p>\n

Haziranda man\u015fet PCE ayl\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 0,1 gerilerken, y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 4,1\u2019den y\u00fczde 3,7\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u00c7ekirdek PCE ise ayl\u0131k y\u00fczde 0,1 ve y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 3,3 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Analize g\u00f6re enflasyonda ya\u015fanan yava\u015flama, Fed \u00fczerindeki faiz art\u0131r\u0131m bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 bir miktar azalt\u0131rken alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n toparlanmas\u0131na destek verdi.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n fonlar\u0131na 2,6 milyar dolarl\u0131k giri\u015f<\/h2>\n

Raporda, fiziksel alt\u0131n destekli borsa yat\u0131r\u0131m fonlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik talepte de belirgin bir art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 bildirildi.<\/p>\n

24 Temmuz haftas\u0131nda k\u00fcresel alt\u0131n ETF\u2019lerine toplam 2,6 milyar dolarl\u0131k net giri\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Fonlar\u0131n alt\u0131n varl\u0131klar\u0131 ise 18,1 ton artt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
B\u00f6lge<\/th>\nNet para giri\u015fi<\/th>\nAlt\u0131n varl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Kuzey Amerika<\/td>\n1,6 milyar dolar<\/td>\n11,9 ton<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Avrupa<\/td>\n400 milyon dolar<\/td>\n1,5 ton<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Asya<\/td>\n600 milyon dolar<\/td>\n4,4 ton<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Toplam<\/strong><\/td>\n2,6 milyar dolar<\/strong><\/td>\n18,1 ton<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

T\u00fcm b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6lgelerde e\u015f zamanl\u0131 para giri\u015flerinin g\u00f6r\u00fclmesinin, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 talebindeki toparlanman\u0131n geni\u015f bir tabana yay\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi belirtildi. Bu geli\u015fmenin k\u0131sa vadede alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyen \u00f6nemli unsurlardan biri oldu\u011fu kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

Vadeli piyasalarda uzun pozisyonlar azald\u0131<\/h2>\n

ABD Emtia Vadeli \u0130\u015flemler Komisyonunun yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 COT verilerine g\u00f6re, COMEX alt\u0131n kontratlar\u0131nda ticari olmayan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n uzun pozisyonlar\u0131 2 bin 525 kontrat azalarak 224 bin 785\u2019e geriledi.<\/p>\n

K\u0131sa pozisyonlar ise 247 kontrat art\u0131\u015fla 40 bin 875\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. B\u00f6ylece net uzun pozisyonlar 183 bin 910 kontrata d\u00fc\u015ferken, uzun pozisyonlar\u0131n toplam a\u00e7\u0131k pozisyonlar i\u00e7erisindeki pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 58,6 oldu.<\/p>\n

Ahlatc\u0131 Yat\u0131r\u0131m, verilerin 21 Temmuz tarihli pozisyonlar\u0131 kapsad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bu nedenle Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ve son PCE verilerinin ard\u0131ndan ya\u015fanan fiyat hareketlerini hen\u00fcz yans\u0131tmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi.<\/p>\n

Ons alt\u0131nda 4 bin dolar kritik destek<\/h2>\n

Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde 4 bin dolar seviyesi k\u0131sa vadede en \u00f6nemli destek noktas\u0131 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Analize g\u00f6re ons alt\u0131n\u0131n bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131, sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayabilir. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketin g\u00fc\u00e7lenebilmesi i\u00e7in \u00f6ncelikle 4 bin 100 dolar direncinin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

Bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k sa\u011flanmas\u0131 durumunda 4 bin 195 dolar g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. Daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi i\u00e7in ise 4 bin 380 dolar seviyesi kritik diren\u00e7 olarak g\u00f6steriliyor.<\/p>\n

\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Y\u00f6n<\/th>\n\u0130zlenecek seviye<\/th>\nTeknik anlam\u0131<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Destek<\/td>\n4.000 dolar<\/td>\nK\u0131sa vadeli ana e\u015fik<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Destek<\/td>\n3.959 dolar<\/td>\n\u0130lk a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hedef<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek<\/td>\n3.886 dolar<\/td>\nK\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc zay\u0131flatabilir<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Diren\u00e7<\/td>\n4.100 dolar<\/td>\nY\u00fckseli\u015fin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi i\u00e7in a\u015f\u0131lmal\u0131<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Diren\u00e7<\/td>\n4.195 dolar<\/td>\n\u0130kinci yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hedef<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7<\/td>\n4.380 dolar<\/td>\nG\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi i\u00e7in kritik<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

3 bin 886 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda risk artabilir<\/h2>\n

Olas\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmelerde ilk destek noktas\u0131 olarak 4 bin dolar seviyesi izlenecek. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na inilmesi durumunda 3 bin 959 dolar g\u00fcndeme gelebilir.<\/p>\n

Sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n derinle\u015fmesi halinde 3 bin 886 dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131 belirtilirken, bu seviyenin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmdeki zay\u0131flamay\u0131 belirginle\u015ftirebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131 yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

Orta vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f hen\u00fcz teyit edilmedi<\/h2>\n

Ahlatc\u0131 Yat\u0131r\u0131m\u2019\u0131n analizinde, ons alt\u0131n\u0131n halen 100 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcssel hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne dikkat \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n

Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn orta vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin hen\u00fcz teyit edilmedi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi belirtildi. S\u00f6z konusu hareketli ortalamalar yeniden a\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketlerin kal\u0131c\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015ften \u00e7ok tepki al\u0131m\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilece\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

Yeni haftada yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda 4 bin dolar deste\u011fi ile 4 bin 100 dolar direnci bulunacak. Alt\u0131n\u0131n bu aral\u0131ktan hangi y\u00f6nde \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131, k\u0131sa vadeli fiyat hareketinin y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fcn belirlenmesinde etkili olacak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

K\u00fcresel alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n faiz karar\u0131, enflasyon verilerindeki yava\u015flama ve alt\u0131n fonlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 talebiyle hareketli bir haftay\u0131 geride b\u0131rakt\u0131. Ahlatc\u0131 Yat\u0131r\u0131m\u2019\u0131n analizine g\u00f6re ons alt\u0131nda 4 bin dolar seviyesi kritik destek olurken, y\u00fckseli\u015fin g\u00fc\u00e7 kazanabilmesi i\u00e7in 4 bin 100 dolar direncinin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":41079,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[5063,265,488],"class_list":["post-41077","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-abd-merkez-bankasi","tag-altin","tag-fed"],"yoast_head":"\nAlt\u0131nda y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u00fcrecek mi? Ons i\u00e7in 4 bin dolar kritik e\u015fik - Merceknet Haber<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/08\/01\/altinda-yukselis-surecek-mi-ons-icin-4-bin-dolar-kritik-esik\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Alt\u0131nda y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u00fcrecek mi? Ons i\u00e7in 4 bin dolar kritik e\u015fik - Merceknet Haber\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"K\u00fcresel alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n faiz karar\u0131, enflasyon verilerindeki yava\u015flama ve alt\u0131n fonlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 talebiyle hareketli bir haftay\u0131 geride b\u0131rakt\u0131. 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