{"id":3355,"date":"2026-01-26T08:27:36","date_gmt":"2026-01-26T05:27:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/?p=3355"},"modified":"2026-01-26T08:37:45","modified_gmt":"2026-01-26T05:37:45","slug":"haftaya-piyasalar-hangi-rakamlarla-basliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/01\/26\/haftaya-piyasalar-hangi-rakamlarla-basliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Haftaya piyasalar hangi rakamlarla ba\u015fl\u0131yor?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Borsa \u0130stanbul, haftaya artan risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n da etkisiyle zirve aray\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek<\/strong> ba\u015flad\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n TL cephesinde kur oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n canl\u0131 kalmas\u0131<\/strong>, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 daha temkinli y\u00f6netmesine neden oluyor. Alt\u0131n taraf\u0131nda ise hem i\u00e7 piyasada kur etkisi hem de k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte belirsizliklerin besledi\u011fi \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d talebi<\/strong> belirginle\u015fiyor. Haftan\u0131n ajandas\u0131nda yurt i\u00e7inde TCMB\u2019nin sekt\u00f6rel enflasyon beklentileri<\/strong> ile piyasan\u0131n fiyatlama davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131na dair verece\u011fi sinyaller, Hazine\u2019nin i\u00e7 bor\u00e7lanma program\u0131<\/strong> ve likidite ko\u015fullar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. D\u0131\u015far\u0131da ise k\u00fcresel varl\u0131k fiyatlamalar\u0131n\u0131 do\u011frudan etkileyebilecek Fed\u2019in 27\u201328 Ocak toplant\u0131s\u0131<\/strong> ve verilecek mesajlar\u0131n dolar\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fc \u00fczerinden geli\u015fen piyasalara yans\u0131mas\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izlenecek. Asya cephesinde ise Japon yeni etraf\u0131nda \u201cm\u00fcdahale\u201d olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair beklentiler, d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131nda dalga boyunu art\u0131rabilecek ba\u015fl\u0131klar aras\u0131nda yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

A\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f rakamlar\u0131: borsa, d\u00f6viz, alt\u0131n, petrol<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Borsa \u0130stanbul (BIST 100):<\/strong> Endeks haftaya %0,57 art\u0131\u015fla 12.740,72 puandan<\/strong> ba\u015flad\u0131; a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f sonras\u0131 i\u015flemlerde rekor tazeleme<\/strong> dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Varl\u0131k<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nHaftaya A\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nK\u0131sa Not<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
BIST 100<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n~11.300\u201311.500<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nTeknik diren\u00e7 11.300\u201311.400; hacim art\u0131\u015f\u0131 takip edilmeli.<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
USD\/TRY<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n~43,4<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nKur bask\u0131s\u0131 devam; TCMB beklentileri ve d\u0131\u015f ak\u0131mlar \u00f6nemli.<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
EUR\/TRY<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n~51,5<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nEuro b\u00f6lgesi verileri ve DXY etkili.<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Gram alt\u0131n<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n~7.080 TL<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nOns alt\u0131n rallisi i\u00e7 piyasaya yans\u0131yor; g\u00fcvenli liman talebi y\u00fcksek.<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Ons alt\u0131n<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n~5.070 USD<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nJeopolitik riskler ve Fed gev\u015feme beklentileriyle rekor seviyeler.<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

D\u00f6viz (sabah erken saatler):<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

    \n
  • Dolar\/TL:<\/strong> 07:15 itibar\u0131yla 43,3816 \/ 43,4003<\/strong> (al\u0131\u015f\/sat\u0131\u015f)<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Euro\/TL:<\/strong> ayn\u0131 saatlerde 51,5483 TL<\/strong><\/span>
    \nNot: Farkl\u0131 veri sa\u011flay\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131nda saat fark\u0131 ve fiyatlama y\u00f6ntemine g\u00f6re ekranlar de\u011fi\u015febiliyor; \u00f6rne\u011fin ba\u015fka bir ak\u0131\u015fta Euro\/TL daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir seviyede g\u00f6r\u00fclebiliyor.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Alt\u0131n:<\/strong> Haftaya \u201crekor\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla giren alt\u0131n taraf\u0131nda;<\/span><\/p>\n

      \n
    • Gram alt\u0131n:<\/strong> 7.077,94 TL<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n
    • \u00c7eyrek alt\u0131n:<\/strong> 11.742 TL<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n
    • Ons alt\u0131n:<\/strong> 5.076,21 dolar<\/strong> <\/span>
      \nK\u00fcresel piyasalarda da ons alt\u0131nda 5.000 dolar \u00fczeri<\/strong> seviyeler, risk alg\u0131s\u0131ndaki bozulmayla birlikte \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Petrol (Brent):<\/strong> Brent sabah saatlerinde 65 dolar band\u0131nda<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n

      Akaryak\u0131t (yurt i\u00e7i):<\/strong> 26 Ocak itibar\u0131yla pompada \u201cbug\u00fcn\u201d i\u00e7in zam\/indirim g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor; b\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehir fiyatlar\u0131 payla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131. \u00d6te yandan baz\u0131 kaynaklar sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fcnden itibaren benzinde ~1,11 TL zam beklentisini<\/strong> g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n
      Emtialarda sabah ekran\u0131 (26 Ocak 2026 \u2013 TS\u0130)<\/strong><\/p>\n

      De\u011ferli metaller<\/strong><\/p>\n

      Ons alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD):<\/strong> 5.060,13 $<\/p>\n

      Gram alt\u0131n (serbest piyasa):<\/strong> 7.067,85 TL (al\u0131\u015f) \/ 7.068,80 TL (sat\u0131\u015f)<\/p>\n

      Ons g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f (XAG\/USD):<\/strong> 107,7665 $<\/p>\n

      Platin (ons):<\/strong> 2.846,54 $ (al\u0131\u015f) \/ 2.855,58 $ (sat\u0131\u015f)<\/p>\n

      Paladyum (ons):<\/strong> 2.058,89 $ (al\u0131\u015f) \/ 2.068,08 $ (sat\u0131\u015f)<\/p>\n

      Enerji<\/strong><\/p>\n

      Brent petrol:<\/strong> 65,81 $\/varil<\/p>\n

      WTI (ABD ham petrol):<\/strong> 61,01 $\/varil<\/p>\n

      Do\u011fal gaz (Henry Hub vadeli):<\/strong> 3,757 $\/MMBtu<\/p>\n

      Sanayi metali<\/strong><\/p>\n

      Bak\u0131r (vadeli):<\/strong> 5,9563 $\/lb (26 Ocak i\u015flemleri)<\/p>\n

      Tar\u0131m<\/strong><\/p>\n

      ABD bu\u011fday (vadeli):<\/strong> 532,10 (USD\/bu\u015fel birimiyle)<\/p>\n

      ABD m\u0131s\u0131r (vadeli):<\/strong> 430,88<\/p>\n

      ABD kahve (Coffee C vadeli):<\/strong> 350,90 (\u00a2\/lb ekran\u0131yla)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

      Bu haftan\u0131n ana ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131: T\u00fcrkiye<\/strong><\/p>\n

      1) Para politikas\u0131 ve enflasyon beklentileri<\/strong><\/p>\n

      Yurt i\u00e7inde haftan\u0131n ana ekseni, para politikas\u0131 beklentileri ile enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/strong> aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fki olacak. TCMB\u2019nin ge\u00e7en hafta politika faizini 100 baz puan indirerek %37\u2019ye \u00e7ekmesi<\/strong>, karar metninde \u00f6zellikle beklentiler ve fiyatlama davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131<\/strong> vurgusunu \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede piyasa; enflasyon beklentilerinin y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc, \u00fccret\u2013maliyet kanal\u0131yla fiyatlara yans\u0131ma h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 ve bunun kur\u2013alt\u0131n\u2013borsa<\/strong> denklemine etkisini okumaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015facak.<\/p>\n

      \u00d6zetle: Beklentilerde bozulma sinyali, k\u0131sa vadede TL varl\u0131klar\u0131nda dalga boyunu<\/strong> art\u0131rabilir; beklentilerde sakinle\u015fme ise risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 destekleyebilir.<\/p>\n

      2) Veri ajandas\u0131 ve bor\u00e7lanma takvimi: 26\u201330 Ocak haftas\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

      Haftan\u0131n ilk g\u00fcn\u00fcnden itibaren veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u201cfiyatlama davran\u0131\u015f\u0131\u201d a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

        \n
      • 26 Ocak Pazartesi:<\/strong>\n
          \n
        • TCMB Sekt\u00f6rel Enflasyon Beklentileri (10:00):<\/strong> Hanehalk\u0131, reel sekt\u00f6r ve piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 cephesinde beklentilerin hangi y\u00f6nde ilerledi\u011fi, fiyatlama davran\u0131\u015f\u0131 tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n merkezinde olacak.<\/li>\n
        • Hazine\u2019nin alt\u0131n tahvili & alt\u0131na dayal\u0131 kira sertifikas\u0131 do\u011frudan sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131:<\/strong> Hem bor\u00e7lanma kompozisyonu hem de i\u00e7 piyasada likidite alg\u0131s\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yak\u0131ndan izlenecek.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n
        • 29 Ocak Per\u015fembe:<\/strong>\n
            \n
          • \u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc istatistikleri ve Ekonomik G\u00fcven Endeksi (10:00):<\/strong> \u0130\u00e7 talep\u2013istihdam dengesi ve g\u00fcven kanal\u0131 \u00fczerinden b\u00fcy\u00fcme anlat\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 besleyebilecek veri seti.<\/li>\n
          • TCMB haftal\u0131k verileri (rezervler d\u00e2hil) (14:30):<\/strong> Kur beklentileri ve d\u0131\u015f finansman alg\u0131s\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan haftan\u0131n kritik ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131 aras\u0131nda.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

            Bu hafta veri setleri, \u201cb\u00fcy\u00fcme mi, dezenflasyon mu?\u201d tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131nda piyasaya y\u00f6n verecek. \u00d6zellikle k\u0131sa vadede fiyatlamay\u0131 belirleyen; beklentiler, likidite ve risk primi<\/strong> hatt\u0131 olacak.<\/p>\n

            3) Siyaset\u2013ekonomi etkile\u015fimi: g\u00fcndemin \u201chassas hatt\u0131\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

            Ekonomide ana tart\u0131\u015fma ekseni yine hayat pahal\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u00fccretler ve enerji\/akaryak\u0131t<\/strong> ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131 etraf\u0131nda \u015fekilleniyor. Bu kalemler, hem hanehalk\u0131 alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 hem de \u015firketlerin maliyet\u2013fiyatlama zincirini do\u011frudan etkiliyor.
            \nSiyaset taraf\u0131nda ise deprem b\u00f6lgesi<\/strong>, sosyal politika ve b\u00fct\u00e7e y\u00fck\u00fc ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken; yap\u0131lacak a\u00e7\u0131klamalar ve olas\u0131 yeni ad\u0131mlar, piyasa taraf\u0131ndan risk primi<\/strong> ve beklenti y\u00f6netimi<\/strong> a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yak\u0131ndan izlenecek.<\/p>\n

            K\u00fcresel g\u00fcndem: piyasay\u0131 en \u00e7ok ne oynat\u0131r?<\/strong><\/p>\n

            1) Fed haftas\u0131 (27\u201328 Ocak)<\/strong><\/p>\n

            Haftan\u0131n d\u0131\u015f g\u00fcndeminde ilk s\u0131rada, Fed\u2019in 27\u201328 Ocak toplant\u0131s\u0131<\/strong> var. Karar\u0131n kendisinden \u00e7ok, Fed\u2019in verece\u011fi mesajlar\u0131n tonu; dolar\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc, ABD tahvil faizlerini ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla geli\u015fen \u00fclke varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 etkileyebilir.
            \nPiyasan\u0131n ana sorusu: \u201c\u0130ndirime alan var m\u0131?\u201ddan ziyade \u201cEnflasyonla m\u00fccadelede ne kadar temkinli kal\u0131nacak?\u201d olacak.<\/p>\n

            2) Yen ve \u201cm\u00fcdahale\u201d fiyatlamas\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

            Asya\u2019da yen cephesindeki sert hareketler ve \u201cm\u00fcdahale olur mu?\u201d beklentisi, k\u00fcresel d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131nda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu dalga, risk i\u015ftah\u0131nda ani de\u011fi\u015fimlere yol a\u00e7abildi\u011fi i\u00e7in geli\u015fen \u00fclke kurlar\u0131na da yans\u0131yabiliyor.<\/p>\n

            3) ECB: bir sonraki durak \u015eubat ba\u015f\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

            Avrupa taraf\u0131nda piyasan\u0131n g\u00f6z\u00fc \u015fimdiden ECB\u2019nin 4\u20135 \u015eubat<\/strong> toplant\u0131s\u0131na d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015f durumda. Euro\u2019nun seyri, Avrupa borsalar\u0131 ve risk i\u015ftah\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu toplant\u0131ya giden ileti\u015fim dili yak\u0131ndan izlenecek.<\/p>\n

            4) ABD veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 (30 Ocak: \u00dcFE)<\/strong><\/p>\n

            Haftan\u0131n sonuna do\u011fru ABD\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak \u00dcFE gibi veriler, Fed mesajlar\u0131n\u0131n fiyatlamas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir ya da zay\u0131flatabilir. \u00d6zellikle \u201cenflasyon diren\u00e7li mi?\u201d sorusu k\u00fcresel fiyatlaman\u0131n temel ekseni.<\/p>\n

            Kripto: Bitcoin\u2019de g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm (k\u0131sa not)<\/strong><\/p>\n

            Bitcoin, haftaya 87.600 dolar<\/strong> civar\u0131nda ba\u015flarken, g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 88.904 dolar<\/strong> zirvesi ile 86.126 dolar<\/strong> dibi g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Kripto cephesinde ana tema; y\u00fcksek volatilite nedeniyle k\u0131sa vadede risk y\u00f6netimi<\/strong> ve pozisyon boyutu disiplininin daha belirleyici h\u00e2le gelmesi.<\/p>\n

            Bu hafta yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131ya notlar (genel \u00e7er\u00e7eve)<\/strong><\/p>\n

            (Genel bilgilendirmedir; ki\u015fiye \u00f6zel yat\u0131r\u0131m dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011fildir.)<\/em><\/p>\n

            Borsa<\/strong><\/p>\n

              \n
            • Rekor\/zirve b\u00f6lgelerinde k\u00e2r realizasyonu<\/strong> ihtimali artar; bu nedenle haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve kur oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyon boyutu<\/strong> kritik h\u00e2le gelir.<\/li>\n
            • \u201cFaiz\u2013enflasyon beklentisi\u2013kur\u201d \u00fc\u00e7l\u00fcs\u00fcnde y\u00f6n arayan piyasada, bilan\u00e7o beklentileri<\/strong> ve sekt\u00f6r ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131<\/strong> daha g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr olabilir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

              D\u00f6viz<\/strong><\/p>\n

                \n
              • Fed haftas\u0131 ve yen kaynakl\u0131 oynakl\u0131k, geli\u015fen \u00fclke para birimlerinde dalgalanmay\u0131 art\u0131rabilir.<\/li>\n
              • Tek y\u00f6ne y\u0131\u011f\u0131lmak yerine sepet yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131<\/strong> ve nakit y\u00f6netimi, bu t\u00fcr haftalarda daha korumac\u0131 bir \u00e7er\u00e7eve sunar.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                Alt\u0131n<\/strong><\/p>\n

                  \n
                • G\u00fcvenli liman talebi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc; ancak psikolojik e\u015fik seviyelerde sert g\u00fcnl\u00fck dalgalar<\/strong> g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/li>\n
                • Kademeli i\u015flem ve tek fiyata ba\u011flamadan ilerleme, risk da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan daha dengeli olabilir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                  Enerji\u2013akaryak\u0131t<\/strong><\/p>\n

                    \n
                  • Brent 65 dolar band\u0131nda; yurt i\u00e7inde pompa fiyatlar\u0131 hem petrol hem d\u00f6vizden etkileniyor. Bu alanda olu\u015facak beklentiler, enflasyon alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 da besleyebilir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                    Bug\u00fcn izleme listesi (26 Ocak)<\/strong><\/p>\n

                      \n
                    • BIST\u2019te zirve b\u00f6lgesi: hacim\u2013sekt\u00f6r ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131\u2013k\u00e2r sat\u0131\u015f\u0131<\/strong> sinyalleri<\/li>\n
                    • D\u00f6vizde g\u00fcn i\u00e7i ekran farkl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 ve oynakl\u0131k<\/li>\n
                    • 10:00 TCMB Sekt\u00f6rel Enflasyon Beklentileri<\/strong> (piyasa alg\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in ana veri)<\/li>\n
                    • K\u00fcreselde Fed \u00f6ncesi fiyatlama ve yen ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n dalga boyu<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                      Haftal\u0131k makro \u00f6zet: \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kanlar<\/strong><\/p>\n

                        \n
                      • Ulusal:<\/strong> TCMB beklenti g\u00f6stergeleri + Hazine bor\u00e7lanma ad\u0131mlar\u0131 + T\u00dc\u0130K g\u00fcven\/istihdam verileri.<\/li>\n
                      • Uluslararas\u0131:<\/strong> Fed\u2019in mesajlar\u0131, ABD tahvil faizleri ve jeopolitik riskler; risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 belirleyen ana set.<\/li>\n
                      • Siyaset:<\/strong> TBMM g\u00fcndemi ve sosyal politika ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131; k\u0131sa vadede risk primi ve beklenti y\u00f6netimi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan izlenecek.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                         <\/p>\n

                         <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

                        BIST 100 haftaya ~11.300\u201311.500 band\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131yor; USD\/TRY ~43,4, EUR\/TRY ~51,5; gram alt\u0131n ~7.080 TL, ons alt\u0131n ~5.070 USD. 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