{"id":3062,"date":"2026-01-24T12:04:33","date_gmt":"2026-01-24T09:04:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/?p=3062"},"modified":"2026-01-24T12:28:07","modified_gmt":"2026-01-24T09:28:07","slug":"emeklilerin-oy-tercihi-degisiyor-mu-yapilan-en-son-ankette-cikan-birinci-parti-sasirtti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/01\/24\/emeklilerin-oy-tercihi-degisiyor-mu-yapilan-en-son-ankette-cikan-birinci-parti-sasirtti\/","title":{"rendered":"Emeklilerin Oy Tercihi De\u011fi\u015fiyor mu? Yap\u0131lan en son ankette \u00e7\u0131kan birinci parti \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtt\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

ORC Ara\u015ft\u0131rma\u2019n\u0131n Ocak 2026\u2019da \u00fc\u00e7 farkl\u0131 se\u00e7men grubunda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalarda CHP, emeklilerde %34,7<\/strong>, asgari \u00fccretle \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlarda %35,3<\/strong>, 17\u201326 ya\u015f gen\u00e7lerde ise %33,0<\/strong> ile ilk s\u0131rada yer ald\u0131. AK Parti ayn\u0131 gruplarda s\u0131ras\u0131yla %28,2<\/strong>, %29,1<\/strong> ve %25,6<\/strong> \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcrken; CHP\u2013AK Parti fark\u0131 emeklilerde 6,5<\/strong>, asgari \u00fccretlilerde 6,2<\/strong>, gen\u00e7lerde 7,4<\/strong> puana \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00dc\u00e7 grup, \u00fc\u00e7 tablo: \u0130lk 3 parti ve CHP\u2013AK Parti fark\u0131<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Grup<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nTarih \/ \u00f6rneklem<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n1.<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n2.<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n3.<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nCHP\u2013AK Parti fark\u0131<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Emekliler<\/span><\/td>\n20\u201322 Ocak 2026 \/ 1.060<\/span><\/td>\nCHP 34,7<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nAK Parti 28,2<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nMHP 6,8<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n+6,5<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Asgari \u00fccretle \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar<\/span><\/td>\n20\u201322 Ocak 2026 \/ 1.180<\/span><\/td>\nCHP 35,3<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nAK Parti 29,1<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nMHP 6,4<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n+6,2<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Gen\u00e7ler (17\u201326, 26 il)<\/span><\/td>\n11\u201313 Ocak 2026 \/ 980<\/span><\/td>\nCHP 33,0<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nAK Parti 25,6<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nZafer 7,0<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n+7,4<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

(Oranlar ORC\u2019nin payla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131na ve bu payla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131 aktaran haber metinlerine dayanmaktad\u0131r.)<\/span><\/p>\n

Makas neden gen\u00e7lerde daha a\u00e7\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Veri setinin en \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 k\u0131sm\u0131, CHP\u2019nin birinci oldu\u011fu \u00fc\u00e7 grupta da<\/strong> fark\u0131n gen\u00e7lerde daha y\u00fcksek \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclmesi. Gen\u00e7 se\u00e7mende AK Parti\u2019nin %25,6<\/strong>\u2019ya gerilemesi, \u201ciki b\u00fcy\u00fck parti\u201d toplam\u0131n\u0131 da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekiyor:<\/span><\/p>\n

    \n
  • Emeklilerde CHP+AK Parti: %62,9<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n
  • Asgari \u00fccretlilerde CHP+AK Parti: %64,4<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n
  • Gen\u00e7lerde CHP+AK Parti: %58,6<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Bu tablo, gen\u00e7 se\u00e7mende tercihlerin daha par\u00e7al\u0131<\/strong> seyretti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor: \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131rada Zafer Partisi (%7,0)<\/strong> \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken; MHP (%6,5<\/strong>), DEM (%6,4<\/strong>) ve \u0130Y\u0130 Parti (%5,1<\/strong>) birbirine yak\u0131n bir bantta k\u00fcmeleniyor.<\/span><\/p>\n

    \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc parti dinami\u011fi: Emekli ve asgari \u00fccretlide MHP, gen\u00e7lerde Zafer<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

    Emekli ve asgari \u00fccretli gruplarda \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131ray\u0131 MHP<\/strong> al\u0131yor (%6,8<\/strong> ve %6,4<\/strong>).<\/span>
    \nGen\u00e7lerde ise \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcl\u00fck Zafer Partisi<\/strong>ne ge\u00e7iyor (%7,0<\/strong>). Bu, milliyet\u00e7i se\u00e7men havuzunda gen\u00e7 ya\u015f grubunda \u201cyeni adres aray\u0131\u015f\u0131\u201d tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131 yeniden canland\u0131rabilecek bir i\u015faret olarak okunabilir.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Gelir bask\u0131s\u0131 ya\u015fayan iki kesimde ayn\u0131 foto\u011fraf<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

    Emekliler ve asgari \u00fccretle \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u2014ekonomik ko\u015fullardan do\u011frudan etkilenen iki grup\u2014benzer bir s\u0131ralama \u00fcretiyor: CHP birinci, AK Parti ikinci, MHP \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc<\/strong>.<\/span>
    \nBu benzerlik, kampanya g\u00fcndeminin bu iki kesimde \u201cgelir\u2013enflasyon\u2013sosyal destek\u201d ekseninde sertle\u015fti\u011fi bir d\u00f6nemde, tercihlerin de ayn\u0131 eksende yak\u0131nsad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor; ancak burada nedensellik iddias\u0131 kurmak i\u00e7in anketin yay\u0131nlanan \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131lar\u0131 (soru seti, a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kland\u0131rma, hata pay\u0131) yeterli ayr\u0131nt\u0131 sunmuyor.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Tam da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m: \u00dc\u00e7 grupta \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan partiler<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

    Emekliler (20\u201322 Ocak 2026, 1.060 ki\u015fi)<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Parti<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nOy oran\u0131 (%)<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    CHP<\/span><\/td>\n34,7<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    AK Parti<\/span><\/td>\n28,2<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    MHP<\/span><\/td>\n6,8<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    DEM<\/span><\/td>\n6,1<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    \u0130Y\u0130<\/span><\/td>\n5,1<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    ZP<\/span><\/td>\n3,5<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    YRP<\/span><\/td>\n3,2<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    BBP<\/span><\/td>\n2,8<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    YMP<\/span><\/td>\n2,2<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    SP<\/span><\/td>\n1,9<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Di\u011fer<\/span><\/td>\n5,5<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

    Fark: CHP, AK Parti\u2019nin 6,5 puan \u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Yorum: Emeklilerde CHP\u2019nin \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, maa\u015flar\u0131n al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fcndeki erime ve iktidar\u0131n sosyal politikalar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ele\u015ftirilerle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131. AK Parti\u2019nin geleneksel g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tabanlar\u0131ndan biri olan bu grupta ya\u015fanan kay\u0131p, siyasi tablo a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik. MHP ise s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir destekle \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131rada.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Asgari \u00fccretle \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar (20\u201322 Ocak 2026, 1.180 ki\u015fi)<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Parti<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nOy oran\u0131 (%)<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    CHP<\/span><\/td>\n35,3<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    AK Parti<\/span><\/td>\n29,1<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    MHP<\/span><\/td>\n6,4<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    DEM<\/span><\/td>\n5,3<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    \u0130Y\u0130<\/span><\/td>\n4,6<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    ZP<\/span><\/td>\n3,9<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    YRP<\/span><\/td>\n2,9<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    BBP<\/span><\/td>\n2,5<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    YMP<\/span><\/td>\n2,1<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    SP<\/span><\/td>\n1,7<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Di\u011fer<\/span><\/td>\n6,2<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

    Fark: CHP, AK Parti\u2019nin 6,2 puan \u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Yorum: Asgari \u00fccretlilerde CHP\u2019nin \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, ekonomik vaatlerin ve ge\u00e7im s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131na y\u00f6nelik s\u00f6ylemlerin etkili oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Bu kesim, iktidar\u0131n en \u00e7ok ele\u015ftirildi\u011fi alanlardan biri olan ekonomik y\u00f6netimden do\u011frudan etkilendi\u011fi i\u00e7in muhalefete y\u00f6neliyor. MHP burada da \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131rada, ancak oy oran\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Gen\u00e7ler (11\u201313 Ocak 2026, 26 il, 17\u201326 ya\u015f, 980 ki\u015fi)<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Parti<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nOy oran\u0131 (%)<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    CHP<\/span><\/td>\n33,0<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    AK Parti<\/span><\/td>\n25,6<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Zafer<\/span><\/td>\n7,0<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    MHP<\/span><\/td>\n6,5<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    DEM<\/span><\/td>\n6,4<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    \u0130Y\u0130<\/span><\/td>\n5,1<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    T\u0130P<\/span><\/td>\n3,5<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    BBP<\/span><\/td>\n3,2<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    YRP<\/span><\/td>\n2,6<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    YMP<\/span><\/td>\n2,2<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    ANP<\/span><\/td>\n2,0<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Di\u011fer<\/span><\/td>\n2,9<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

    Fark: CHP, AK Parti\u2019nin 7,4 puan \u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Yorum: Gen\u00e7 se\u00e7menlerde CHP\u2019nin \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc daha belirgin. AK Parti\u2019nin gen\u00e7lerdeki deste\u011fi g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. Zafer Partisi\u2019nin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131raya y\u00fckselmesi, gen\u00e7lerin yeni ve farkl\u0131 siyasi akt\u00f6rlere y\u00f6neldi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu durum, gen\u00e7 se\u00e7menlerin siyasette daha radikal de\u011fi\u015fim aray\u0131\u015f\u0131nda oldu\u011funu i\u015faret ediyor.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Not: Bu sonu\u00e7lar \u201cT\u00fcrkiye geneli\u201d de\u011fil, alt-k\u00fcme \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcmleri<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

    Bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma seti, \u00fc\u00e7 ayr\u0131 hedef gruba<\/strong> (emekli \/ asgari \u00fccretli \/ 17\u201326 ya\u015f) odakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in, bulgular\u0131n \u201cgenel se\u00e7men\u201d sonucuna do\u011frudan projeksiyon<\/strong> olarak okunmamas\u0131 gerekiyor. Yine de partilerin, farkl\u0131 sosyo-ekonomik k\u00fcmelerde nerede g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fini veya zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermesi bak\u0131m\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli bir \u201calan foto\u011fraf\u0131\u201d sunuyor.<\/span><\/p>\n

    E\u011filimlerin Siyasi Sonu\u00e7lar\u0131<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

      \n
    • CHP\u2019nin avantaj\u0131: \u00dc\u00e7 farkl\u0131 grupta da AK Parti\u2019nin \u00f6n\u00fcnde olmas\u0131, muhalefetin ekonomik s\u00f6ylemlerle g\u00fc\u00e7 kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor.<\/span>
      \n\u2022 Ekonomi belirleyici: Emekliler ve asgari \u00fccretlilerde ekonomik s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar CHP\u2019ye avantaj sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/span>
      \n\u2022 Gen\u00e7lerde yeni akt\u00f6rler: Zafer Partisi\u2019nin y\u00fckseli\u015fi, gen\u00e7 se\u00e7menlerin farkl\u0131 aray\u0131\u015flara y\u00f6neldi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/span>
      \n\u2022 \u0130ktidar i\u00e7in uyar\u0131: AK Parti\u2019nin geleneksel taban\u0131nda kay\u0131plar ya\u015famas\u0131, se\u00e7im stratejilerinde ciddi revizyon ihtiyac\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/span>
      \n\u2022 Muhalefet i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat: CHP\u2019nin bu \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, muhalefetin se\u00e7im stratejilerini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirecek bir motivasyon kayna\u011f\u0131 olabilir.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

       <\/p>\n

       <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      ORC Ara\u015ft\u0131rma\u2019n\u0131n 20-22 Ocak 2026 tarihlerinde 1.060 emekliyle yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada \u201cBu pazar genel se\u00e7im olsa\u201d sorusuna verilen yan\u0131tlarda CHP y\u00fczde 34,7 ile ilk s\u0131rada yer ald\u0131. AK Parti\u2019nin oy oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 28,2 olarak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc; iki parti aras\u0131ndaki fark 6,5 puan.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3063,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3062","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analiz"],"yoast_head":"\nEmeklilerin Oy Tercihi De\u011fi\u015fiyor mu? Yap\u0131lan en son ankette \u00e7\u0131kan birinci parti \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtt\u0131 - Merceknet Haber<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/01\/24\/emeklilerin-oy-tercihi-degisiyor-mu-yapilan-en-son-ankette-cikan-birinci-parti-sasirtti\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Emeklilerin Oy Tercihi De\u011fi\u015fiyor mu? 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