{"id":28251,"date":"2026-06-02T17:33:24","date_gmt":"2026-06-02T14:33:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/?p=28251"},"modified":"2026-06-02T17:33:24","modified_gmt":"2026-06-02T14:33:24","slug":"altin-yatirimcisinin-yuzu-uc-aydir-gulmuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/06\/02\/altin-yatirimcisinin-yuzu-uc-aydir-gulmuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcz\u00fc \u00fc\u00e7 ayd\u0131r g\u00fclm\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131nda y\u0131l\u0131n ilk iki ay\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da ya\u015fanan jeopolitik geli\u015fmelerin ard\u0131ndan tersine d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Alt\u0131n\u0131n ons fiyat\u0131, ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda ba\u015flayan sava\u015f\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapanmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7mas\u0131, enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi ve bu geli\u015fmelerin enflasyonist bask\u0131lar\u0131 art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik endi\u015feler nedeniyle \u00fc\u00e7 ay \u00fcst \u00fcste de\u011fer kaybetti.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel piyasalarda y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda g\u00fcvenli liman talebiyle rekor seviyelere ula\u015fan alt\u0131n, mart ay\u0131ndan itibaren ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik faiz beklentilerinin de\u011fi\u015fmesiyle bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan y\u00fckseli\u015f, enflasyon endi\u015felerini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirirken, piyasalar Fed\u2019in faiz indirimine gitmeyece\u011fi, hatta y\u0131l sonuna kadar faiz art\u0131rabilece\u011fi ihtimalini fiyatlamaya ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu tablo, faiz getirisi olmayan alt\u0131n ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere k\u0131ymetli madenler \u00fczerinde sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Sava\u015f ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 piyasalar\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011fi\u015ftirdi<\/h2>\n

ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda \u015fubat ay\u0131n\u0131n son g\u00fcn\u00fc ba\u015flayan ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapanmas\u0131na neden olan sava\u015f, k\u00fcresel varl\u0131k fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fc \u00fczerinde belirleyici oldu. D\u00fcnya enerji ticareti a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik \u00f6neme sahip H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda ya\u015fanan kapanma, petrol, do\u011fal gaz ve rafine yak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n

S\u00fcre\u00e7 boyunca taraflardan gelen a\u00e7\u0131klamalar da piyasalardaki oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. Zaman zaman gerilimi azalt\u0131c\u0131 mesajlar fiyatlamalarda rahatlama sa\u011flarken, riskleri art\u0131ran a\u00e7\u0131klamalar enerji ve emtia piyasalar\u0131nda sert dalgalanmalara yol a\u00e7t\u0131.<\/p>\n

Enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f, \u00f6nde gelen merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n faiz politikalar\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentileri de de\u011fi\u015ftirdi. Sava\u015f \u00f6ncesinde bu y\u0131l faiz indirmesi beklenen ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n, sava\u015f sonras\u0131nda faiz indirimine gitmeyece\u011fi beklentisi g\u00fc\u00e7lendi. Enflasyonist bask\u0131lar\u0131n s\u00fcrmesi halinde, para piyasalar\u0131nda Fed\u2019in y\u0131l sonuna kadar faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na gidebilece\u011fi de tahmin edilmeye ba\u015fland\u0131.<\/p>\n

Fed beklentileri alt\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131lad\u0131<\/h2>\n

Fed\u2019in para politikas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentilerdeki de\u011fi\u015fim, alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fc \u00fczerinde do\u011frudan etkili oldu. Alt\u0131n, faiz getirisi olmayan bir varl\u0131k oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz d\u00f6nemlerinde daha cazip hale geliyor. Ancak faiz indirim beklentilerinin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 ve olas\u0131 faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ihtimalinin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi, alt\u0131na olan talebi s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk aylar\u0131nda alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyen g\u00fcvenli liman talebi, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki sava\u015f\u0131n enerji fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinden enflasyon beklentilerini art\u0131rmas\u0131yla yerini faiz bask\u0131s\u0131na b\u0131rakt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle jeopolitik riskler, klasik d\u00f6nemlerde oldu\u011fu gibi alt\u0131n\u0131 desteklemek yerine, bu kez enerji maliyetleri ve enflasyon kanal\u0131yla alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda rekor k\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131<\/h2>\n

Alt\u0131n\u0131n ons fiyat\u0131, 2026 y\u0131l\u0131na 4 bin 313 dolardan ba\u015flad\u0131. Ocak ve \u015fubat aylar\u0131nda ABD y\u00f6netiminin Gr\u00f6nland\u2019\u0131 sat\u0131n alma giri\u015fimi nedeniyle Avrupa \u00fclkeleriyle ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gerilim, ticaret politikalar\u0131na ili\u015fkin belirsizlikler, teknoloji ve yapay zeka \u015firketlerindeki y\u00fcksek de\u011ferleme endi\u015feleri ve merkez bankalar\u0131ndan gelen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc taleple alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 h\u0131zla y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

Ocak ay\u0131nda alt\u0131n\u0131n onsu 5 bin 600 dolar\u0131 test ederek rekor k\u0131rd\u0131. Ay sonunda alt\u0131n\u0131n ons fiyat\u0131 y\u00fczde 12,4 de\u011fer kazanc\u0131yla 4 bin 849 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Y\u00fckseli\u015f \u015fubat ay\u0131nda da s\u00fcrd\u00fc. Alt\u0131n\u0131n onsu \u015fubat ay\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 8,5 art\u0131\u015fla 5 bin 263 dolardan tamamlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ancak Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmelerin ard\u0131ndan alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131nda y\u00f6n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Martta 2008\u2019den bu yana en sert ayl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131<\/h2>\n

Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki sava\u015f\u0131n etkisiyle de\u011fer kaybetmeye ba\u015flayan alt\u0131n\u0131n onsu, mart ay\u0131nda 4 bin 99 dolara kadar geriledi. Ay sonunda ise y\u00fczde 11,32 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 4 bin 667 dolara indi.<\/p>\n

Mart ay\u0131nda ya\u015fanan bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, 2008 krizinden bu yana alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen en sert ayl\u0131k gerileme olarak kay\u0131tlara ge\u00e7ti.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f nisanda da devam etti. Ons alt\u0131n nisan ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1 de\u011fer kaybetti. May\u0131s ay\u0131nda ise y\u00fczde 1,77 gerileyerek ay\u0131 4 bin 540 dolardan tamamlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

B\u00f6ylece alt\u0131n\u0131n ons fiyat\u0131 mart, nisan ve may\u0131s aylar\u0131nda \u00fcst \u00fcste de\u011fer kaybetmi\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n

G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte iki ayl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f serisi sona erdi<\/h2>\n

Alt\u0131nda oldu\u011fu gibi g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f fiyatlar\u0131 da Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki sava\u015f, enerji fiyatlar\u0131, Fed beklentileri ve k\u00fcresel risk alg\u0131s\u0131ndan etkilendi. Ancak g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn hem finansal bir varl\u0131k hem de sanayi metali olmas\u0131, fiyatlardaki oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n daha da artmas\u0131na neden oldu.<\/p>\n

G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, g\u00fcne\u015f paneli \u00fcretimi ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok end\u00fcstriyel alanda \u00f6nemli role sahip. Bu nedenle k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme, enerji maliyetleri ve sanayi \u00fcretimine ili\u015fkin beklentiler g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinde belirleyici oluyor.<\/p>\n

Y\u0131la 71 dolardan ba\u015flayan g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn onsu, ocak ay\u0131nda 121,7 dolara kadar \u00e7\u0131karak rekor k\u0131rd\u0131. Ocak ay\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 17,2 art\u0131\u015fla 83,3 dolardan tamamlayan ons g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, \u015fubat ay\u0131nda da y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\u015eubat ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 12,6 de\u011fer kazanan g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn onsu 93,8 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ancak Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki sava\u015f\u0131n etkisiyle mart ay\u0131nda sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. Martta 61 dolara kadar gerileyen g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn onsu, ay\u0131 y\u00fczde 19,9 azal\u0131\u015fla 75,1 dolardan tamamlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Nisan ay\u0131nda da y\u00fczde 1,8 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fayan ons g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, 73,7 dolara indi. May\u0131s ay\u0131nda ise yeniden toparlanan g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, y\u00fczde 2,1 art\u0131\u015fla 75,3 dolara y\u00fckseldi. B\u00f6ylece g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte iki ayl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f serisi may\u0131s itibar\u0131yla sona erdi.<\/p>\n

Enerji fiyatlar\u0131 enflasyon endi\u015felerini art\u0131rd\u0131<\/h2>\n

Saxo Capital Emtia Strateji Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Ole Hansen, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki geli\u015fmelerin alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131nda beklendi\u011fi gibi klasik bir g\u00fcvenli liman etkisi yaratmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Hansen\u2019e g\u00f6re H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan yap\u0131lan gemi trafi\u011findeki uzun s\u00fcreli aksama, petrol, do\u011fal gaz ve rafine yak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcksek seviyede tutarak alt\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan daha az destekleyici bir piyasa ortam\u0131 olu\u015fturdu.<\/p>\n

Hansen, jeopolitik geli\u015fmelerin bu d\u00f6nemde g\u00fcvenli liman talebinden \u00e7ok enflasyon endi\u015felerini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bunun da tahvil getirilerini y\u00fckseltti\u011fini ve dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi\u011fini ifade etti.<\/p>\n

Bu geli\u015fmelerin Fed\u2019in faiz indirimine ili\u015fkin beklentileri azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 aktaran Hansen, faiz beklentilerinin de\u011ferli metal yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nemini korudu\u011funu vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u201cAlt\u0131n, faiz oranlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde daha cazip hale gelir\u201d<\/h2>\n

Ole Hansen, alt\u0131n\u0131n faiz getirisi olmayan bir varl\u0131k oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekerek, faiz oranlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde alt\u0131n\u0131n daha cazip hale geldi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Hansen, \u201cFaiz getirmeyen bir varl\u0131k olarak alt\u0131n, faiz oranlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde daha cazip hale gelir \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc onu elde tutman\u0131n f\u0131rsat maliyeti azal\u0131r. Tersine, piyasalar faiz indirimi beklentilerini geri \u00e7ekti\u011finde alt\u0131n genellikle zorlan\u0131r\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n

Hansen\u2019e g\u00f6re son aylarda ya\u015fanan fiyatlamalar da bu dinami\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131k bi\u00e7imde ortaya koydu. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f ve s\u00fcregelen enflasyon riskleri, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n parasal gev\u015feme beklentilerini azaltmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Bu durum da alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131nda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n talebi alt\u0131n i\u00e7in ana desteklerden biri<\/h2>\n

Hansen, jeopolitik durumun istikrara kavu\u015fmas\u0131 ve enerji \u015foklar\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131 halinde yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yeniden alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131ndaki yap\u0131sal destek unsurlar\u0131na odaklanabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Son y\u0131llarda alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fi destekleyen ana temalardan birinin merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc alt\u0131n talebi oldu\u011funu belirten Hansen, bu talebin alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemini korudu\u011funu ifade etti.<\/p>\n

Hansen, \u00c7in\u2019in alt\u0131n talebinin de piyasada \u00f6nemli bir destek kayna\u011f\u0131 olmaya devam etti\u011fini vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00f6zler Fed ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da<\/h2>\n

Alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131nda bundan sonraki y\u00f6n a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan iki temel ba\u015fl\u0131k \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Bunlardan ilki Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki jeopolitik geli\u015fmeler ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresinde enerji arz\u0131na ili\u015fkin riskler. \u0130kincisi ise Fed\u2019in faiz politikas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentiler.<\/p>\n

Enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131 halinde enflasyonist bask\u0131lar\u0131n devam etmesi ve Fed\u2019in daha \u015fahin bir tutum sergilemesi ihtimali, alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k jeopolitik gerilimin azalmas\u0131, enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n gev\u015femesi ve faiz indirimi beklentilerinin yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi durumunda, alt\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman ve merkez bankas\u0131 talebiyle yeniden destek bulabilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n

Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk iki ay\u0131nda rekor seviyeleri test eden alt\u0131n, marttan bu yana yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131na kaybettirirken, piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131 Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki geli\u015fmeler, enerji fiyatlar\u0131, ABD tahvil getirileri, dolar\u0131n seyri ve Fed\u2019in verece\u011fi mesajlara \u00e7evrilmi\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n\u0131n ons fiyat\u0131, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda ba\u015flayan sava\u015f\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapanmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7mas\u0131, enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltmesi ve enflasyon endi\u015felerini art\u0131rmas\u0131yla \u00fc\u00e7 ay \u00fcst \u00fcste geriledi. Fed\u2019e y\u00f6nelik faiz indirimi beklentilerinin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 ve olas\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalinin g\u00fcndeme gelmesi, faiz getirisi olmayan alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":28252,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,3483],"tags":[265,488,655,573,486],"class_list":["post-28251","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-4-bolge","tag-altin","tag-fed","tag-gumus","tag-hurmuzbogazi","tag-onsaltin"],"yoast_head":"\nAlt\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcz\u00fc \u00fc\u00e7 ayd\u0131r g\u00fclm\u00fcyor - Merceknet Haber<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/06\/02\/altin-yatirimcisinin-yuzu-uc-aydir-gulmuyor\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Alt\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcz\u00fc \u00fc\u00e7 ayd\u0131r g\u00fclm\u00fcyor - Merceknet Haber\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Alt\u0131n\u0131n ons fiyat\u0131, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda ba\u015flayan sava\u015f\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapanmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7mas\u0131, enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltmesi ve enflasyon endi\u015felerini art\u0131rmas\u0131yla \u00fc\u00e7 ay \u00fcst \u00fcste geriledi. 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