{"id":25916,"date":"2026-05-19T11:20:08","date_gmt":"2026-05-19T08:20:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/?p=25916"},"modified":"2026-05-19T11:20:08","modified_gmt":"2026-05-19T08:20:08","slug":"ozgur-ozelin-imamoglu-cikisi-imamoglu-aday-olamazsa-ne-olur-chpde-b-plani-tartismasi-basladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/05\/19\/ozgur-ozelin-imamoglu-cikisi-imamoglu-aday-olamazsa-ne-olur-chpde-b-plani-tartismasi-basladi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00d6zg\u00fcr \u00d6zel\u2019in \u0130mamo\u011flu \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 | \u0130mamo\u011flu aday olamazsa ne olur? CHP\u2019de \u201cB plan\u0131\u201d tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ba\u015flad\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

CHP Genel Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u00d6zg\u00fcr \u00d6zel\u2019in, Bal\u0131kesir’de mitin alan\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada “\u015eimdi buradan sizlere soruyorum, Bal\u0131kesirlilere soruyorum. Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 aday\u0131m\u0131z Ekrem \u0130mamo\u011flu hapiste. B\u0131rakmayabilirler. Onun yerine adaylar\u0131m\u0131z olur, onun yerine elbette m\u00fccadelemiz s\u00fcrer. Herhangi bir Cumhuriyet Halk Partili Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi\u2019nin Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 aday\u0131d\u0131r bir ba\u015f\u0131na. Ben Bal\u0131kesir\u2019deki Cumhuriyet Halk Partililere ve t\u00fcm demokratlara soruyorum. Se\u00e7im sand\u0131\u011f\u0131 gelene kadar her biriniz sabah yataktan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 aday\u0131 olarak kalkmaya haz\u0131r m\u0131s\u0131n\u0131z? Bir Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 aday\u0131 olarak \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya haz\u0131r m\u0131s\u0131n\u0131z? \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki se\u00e7imleri kazanacak m\u0131y\u0131z? Halk\u0131n iktidar\u0131n\u0131 kuracak m\u0131y\u0131z? Emeklinin hakk\u0131n\u0131 verecek miyiz? Emek\u00e7inin hakk\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ke s\u00f6ke alacak m\u0131y\u0131z? \u00c7ift\u00e7inin, gen\u00e7lerin y\u00fcz\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fcld\u00fcrecek miyiz? Bunun i\u00e7in y\u00fcr\u00fcmeye haz\u0131r m\u0131s\u0131n\u0131z? Y\u00fcr\u00fcyecek miyiz birlikte? O zaman yolunuz a\u00e7\u0131k olsun yolumuz a\u00e7\u0131k olsun. Y\u00fcr\u00fcyelim arkada\u015flar, y\u00fcr\u00fcyelim Bal\u0131kesir.\u201d<\/em> <\/strong>dedi. \u00d6zel’in tutuklu yarg\u0131lanan \u0130stanbul B\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehir Belediye Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Ekrem \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019nun adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin bu s\u00f6zleri, muhalefetin cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 stratejisi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yeni bir tart\u0131\u015fma ba\u015flatt\u0131.<\/p>\n

CHP\u2019nin \u00f6n se\u00e7im s\u00fcrecinin ard\u0131ndan \u201ccumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 aday\u0131\u201d olarak ilan etti\u011fi Ekrem \u0130mamo\u011flu hakk\u0131nda kesinle\u015fmi\u015f bir h\u00fck\u00fcm bulunmuyor. Ancak \u00d6zel\u2019in, \u201cB\u0131rakmayabilirler. Onun yerine adaylar\u0131m\u0131z olur. Herhangi bir CHP\u2019li, CHP\u2019nin aday\u0131d\u0131r\u201d anlam\u0131na gelen a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131, parti i\u00e7inde ve siyasi kulislerde \u201cCHP, \u0130mamo\u011flu d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bir senaryoya m\u0131 haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor?\u201d sorusunu g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n

Siyasi tabloya bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u00d6zg\u00fcr \u00d6zel\u2019in, k\u0131sa vadede \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019ndan a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a vazge\u00e7mesi kolay g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc CHP, \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019nu yaln\u0131zca parti y\u00f6netiminin karar\u0131yla de\u011fil, \u00f6n se\u00e7im s\u00fcreciyle cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 aday\u0131 olarak ilan etti. Bu nedenle parti y\u00f6netiminin \u201c\u0130mamo\u011flu defteri kapand\u0131\u201d mesaj\u0131 vermesi, hem CHP taban\u0131nda hem de muhalefet se\u00e7meninde ciddi k\u0131r\u0131lmalara yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n

Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019nun devam eden hukuki s\u00fcreci, CHP y\u00f6netimini alternatif senaryolar \u00fczerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmeye zorluyor. Diploma iptaline ili\u015fkin idari s\u00fcre\u00e7 ve ceza davas\u0131 hen\u00fcz nihai olarak sonu\u00e7lanm\u0131\u015f de\u011fil. Bu durum, \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019nun adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131 etraf\u0131ndaki belirsizli\u011fi canl\u0131 tutarken, \u00d6zel\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 da \u201cvazge\u00e7me ilan\u0131\u201dndan \u00e7ok, \u201cCHP adayl\u0131ks\u0131z kalmaz\u201d mesaj\u0131 olarak okunuyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130mamo\u011flu dosyas\u0131nda s\u00fcre\u00e7 hangi a\u015famada?<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0130mamo\u011flu, \u201czincirleme \u015fekilde resmi belgede sahtecilik\u201d su\u00e7lamas\u0131yla \u0130stanbul 59. Asliye Ceza Mahkemesi\u2019nde yarg\u0131lan\u0131yor. \u0130ddianamede 2 y\u0131l 6 aydan 8 y\u0131l 9 aya kadar hapis cezas\u0131 ve TCK 53 kapsam\u0131nda belli haklardan yoksun b\u0131rakma talep ediliyor.<\/p>\n

Son duru\u015fmada mahkeme, diploma iptaline kar\u015f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131lan idari davadaki karar\u0131n kesinle\u015fmesini bekleme karar\u0131 ald\u0131. Duru\u015fma 6 Temmuz 2026 saat 11.00\u2019e ertelendi.<\/p>\n

Diploma iptaline kar\u015f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131lan idari davada ise \u0130stanbul 5. \u0130dare Mahkemesi, 23 Ocak 2026\u2019da davay\u0131 reddetti. \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019nun avukatlar\u0131n\u0131n istinaf ba\u015fvurusu da \u0130stanbul B\u00f6lge \u0130dare Mahkemesi 7. \u0130dari Dava Dairesi taraf\u0131ndan 13 May\u0131s 2026\u2019da oy birli\u011fiyle reddedildi. Bu karar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan dosyan\u0131n Dan\u0131\u015ftay\u2019a ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Bu tablo, CHP a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan siyasi oldu\u011fu kadar hukuki bir zamanlamay\u0131 da zorunlu hale getiriyor. Ceza davas\u0131 idari yarg\u0131daki karar\u0131n kesinle\u015fmesini beklerken, \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019nun adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131 etraf\u0131ndaki belirsizlik muhalefetin se\u00e7im stratejisine do\u011frudan yans\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6zel\u2019in mesaj\u0131: \u0130mamo\u011flu sahipleniliyor ama alternatif kap\u0131s\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k tutuluyor<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00d6zg\u00fcr \u00d6zel\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir siyasi mesaj i\u00e7eriyor. Bir taraftan CHP y\u00f6netimi, \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019nun ma\u011fduriyet alg\u0131s\u0131 \u00fczerinden muhalefet se\u00e7menini konsolide etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Di\u011fer taraftan ise yarg\u0131 s\u00fcreci nedeniyle \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019nun adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131 fiilen imk\u00e2ns\u0131z hale gelirse, parti taban\u0131n\u0131 ve kamuoyunu alternatif bir adaya haz\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle \u00d6zel\u2019in \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131, \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019ndan g\u00f6n\u00fcll\u00fc bir kopu\u015f olarak de\u011fil, hukuki risklere kar\u015f\u0131 al\u0131nan siyasi pozisyon olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir. CHP lideri, hem \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019nun adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 sahipleniyor hem de \u201cCHP\u2019nin kaderi tek bir isme ba\u011fl\u0131 de\u011fil\u201d mesaj\u0131 veriyor.<\/p>\n

B plan\u0131nda en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc isim Mansur Yava\u015f<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019nun aday olamamas\u0131 halinde CHP\u2019de ilk g\u00fcndeme gelecek isimlerden biri Ankara B\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehir Belediye Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Mansur Yava\u015f olacakt\u0131r. Yava\u015f\u2019\u0131n \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n temel nedeni, CHP se\u00e7meninin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra milliyet\u00e7i, merkez sa\u011f ve muhafazak\u00e2r se\u00e7men nezdinde de kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 olan bir profile sahip olmas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

CHP a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olas\u0131 bir aday de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi yaln\u0131zca parti i\u00e7i denge meselesi de\u011fildir. Muhalefetin yeni adaydan beklentisi, hem CHP taban\u0131n\u0131 tutmas\u0131 hem de ikinci tur denkleminde daha geni\u015f se\u00e7men k\u00fcmelerine ula\u015fmas\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. Bu noktada Mansur Yava\u015f, \u201cse\u00e7ilebilirlik\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 alt\u0131nda en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc alternatiflerden biri olarak masaya gelebilir.<\/p>\n

\u00d6zg\u00fcr \u00d6zel\u2019in adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131 neden riskli?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bir di\u011fer ihtimal ise CHP Genel Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u00d6zg\u00fcr \u00d6zel\u2019in bizzat aday olmas\u0131d\u0131r. Ancak bu se\u00e7enek siyasi a\u00e7\u0131dan daha riskli g\u00f6r\u00fcnmektedir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00d6zel, mevcut denklemde kampanyay\u0131 y\u00f6neten, parti i\u00e7i koordinasyonu sa\u011flayan ve \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019nun adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunan lider konumundad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\u00d6zel\u2019in \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019nun yerine kendisini adayla\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131, parti i\u00e7inde ve muhalefet kamuoyunda \u201c\u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019nun yerine kendini koydu\u201d ele\u015ftirisine neden olabilir. Bu nedenle \u00d6zel\u2019in, zorunlu bir aday de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi durumunda kendi isminden \u00f6nce ba\u015fka bir aday\u0131 \u00f6ne s\u00fcrmesi daha muhtemel g\u00f6r\u00fcnmektedir.<\/p>\n

\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc hat: Kriz ve denge aday\u0131 aray\u0131\u015f\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0130mamo\u011flu, Yava\u015f ve \u00d6zel d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bir isim g\u00fcndeme gelirse, bu aday\u0131n \u201cdo\u011fal favori\u201d olmaktan \u00e7ok \u201ckriz ve denge aday\u0131\u201d olmas\u0131 beklenir. B\u00f6yle bir aday\u0131n \u0130mamo\u011flu se\u00e7menini k\u00fcst\u00fcrmemesi, CHP \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fc toparlamas\u0131 ve muhalefetin ortak hareket etmesini sa\u011flamas\u0131 gerekir.<\/p>\n

Bu tabloda CHP\u2019li b\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehir belediye ba\u015fkanlar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir. \u00d6zellikle Mersin B\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehir Belediye Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Vahap Se\u00e7er, yerel y\u00f6netim tecr\u00fcbesi, merkez se\u00e7mene daha yumu\u015fak gelen profili ve sert kutupla\u015fman\u0131n do\u011frudan taraf\u0131 olmamas\u0131 nedeniyle \u201cdenge aday\u0131\u201d olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n

Adana B\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehir Belediye Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Zeydan Karalar da CHP\u2019nin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc yerel fig\u00fcrlerinden biri olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131ksa da, T\u00fcrkiye geneli se\u00e7men denkleminde Mansur Yava\u015f kadar geni\u015f bir kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k \u00fcretip \u00fcretemeyece\u011fi tart\u0131\u015fmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Kemal K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu ihtimali ise teorik olarak konu\u015fulsa da pratikte zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fcnmektedir. 2023 se\u00e7im yenilgisi sonras\u0131 CHP\u2019de liderlik de\u011fi\u015fimi ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131, K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu\u2019nun yeniden adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131 halinde muhalefet se\u00e7meninde eski tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n canlanmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n

CHP\u2019nin temel hedefi: \u0130mamo\u011flu enerjisini da\u011f\u0131tmadan alternatif \u00fcretmek<\/strong><\/p>\n

Gelinen noktada CHP\u2019nin temel hedefi, \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019nun olu\u015fturdu\u011fu siyasi enerjiyi da\u011f\u0131tmadan, hukuki risklere kar\u015f\u0131 alternatif bir siyasi hat kurmak olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019nun adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131 hukuken s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir kal\u0131rsa CHP\u2019nin ana plan\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fmeyebilir. Ancak yarg\u0131 s\u00fcreci adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131 fiilen imk\u00e2ns\u0131z hale getirirse, Mansur Yava\u015f en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc alternatif olarak masaya gelecektir. Daha ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc bir kriz senaryosunda ise Vahap Se\u00e7er gibi yerel y\u00f6netim tecr\u00fcbesi olan, sert kutupla\u015fman\u0131n merkezinde bulunmayan isimler \u201cdenge aday\u0131\u201d olarak g\u00fcndeme gelebilir.<\/p>\n

K\u0131sa form\u00fclle CHP\u2019de mevcut tablo \u015f\u00f6yle okunabilir: Ana plan \u0130mamo\u011flu, zorunlu B plan\u0131 Mansur Yava\u015f, kriz ve denge hatt\u0131 ise Vahap Se\u00e7er gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehir belediye ba\u015fkanlar\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\u00d6zg\u00fcr \u00d6zel\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 da tam bu nedenle yaln\u0131zca bir adayl\u0131k de\u011ferlendirmesi de\u011fil, CHP\u2019nin olas\u0131 hukuki ve siyasi geli\u015fmelere kar\u015f\u0131 se\u00e7menini haz\u0131rlama hamlesi olarak de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n

Bu konular\u0131n tamam\u0131, normal \u015fartlar alt\u0131nda ge\u00e7erli, e\u011fer CHP i\u00e7in mahkeme mutlak butlan karar\u0131 verirse, tabi o zaman ise bamba\u015fka senaryolar konu\u015fulmaya ba\u015flanacak, zira CHP y\u00f6netimi tamamen de\u011fi\u015fmi\u015f olacak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

CHP Genel Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u00d6zg\u00fcr \u00d6zel\u2019in Ekrem \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019nun adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin s\u00f6zleri, muhalefette \u201cB plan\u0131\u201d tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019nun hukuki s\u00fcreci belirsizli\u011fini korurken, olas\u0131 aday de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi senaryosunda Mansur Yava\u015f en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc alternatif, Vahap Se\u00e7er ise kriz ve denge aday\u0131 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":25917,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[203,710,1289,244,8795,4397],"class_list":["post-25916","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politika","tag-chp","tag-ekremimamoglu","tag-mansuryavas","tag-ozgurozel","tag-siyasethaberleri","tag-vahapsecer"],"yoast_head":"\n\u00d6zg\u00fcr \u00d6zel\u2019in \u0130mamo\u011flu \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 | \u0130mamo\u011flu aday olamazsa ne olur? 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