{"id":2099,"date":"2026-01-19T11:54:55","date_gmt":"2026-01-19T08:54:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/?p=2099"},"modified":"2026-01-19T12:01:52","modified_gmt":"2026-01-19T09:01:52","slug":"tmo-raporu-urun-deseni-arpaya-ve-ekmeklik-bugdaya-kayiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/01\/19\/tmo-raporu-urun-deseni-arpaya-ve-ekmeklik-bugdaya-kayiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"TMO raporu: \u00dcr\u00fcn deseni arpaya ve ekmeklik bu\u011fdaya kay\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"

TMO\u2019nun fenolojik de\u011ferlendirmesine g\u00f6re girdi maliyetleri, su k\u0131s\u0131t\u0131 ve baz\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnlerde fiyat belirsizli\u011fi; ekili\u015flerde arpa ve ekmeklik bu\u011fday\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. G\u00fcneydo\u011fu\u2019da k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 mercimekte belirgin geni\u015fleme, pamukta ise sert daralma sinyali verildi.<\/p>\n

TMO\u2019nun yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cFenolojik De\u011ferlendirme \u2013 Hububat ve Bakliyatta Ya\u011f\u0131\u015f, Ekili\u015f ve Geli\u015fim Analiz\u201d raporu, 2026 sezonu i\u00e7in ekili\u015f tercihleri ve arz beklentilerine dair dikkat \u00e7ekici bir y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015fimine i\u015faret etti. Rapora g\u00f6re meteorolojik kurakl\u0131k, su k\u0131s\u0131t\u0131, girdi maliyetleri ve baz\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnlerdeki fiyat belirsizli\u011fi<\/strong>, \u00fclke genelinde arpa ve ekmeklik bu\u011fday lehine<\/strong> belirgin bir y\u00f6nelimi h\u0131zland\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Raporda, ay\u00e7i\u00e7e\u011fi, pamuk ve m\u0131s\u0131rdan bu\u011fday ve arpaya ge\u00e7i\u015fin<\/strong> Marmara, Ege, Akdeniz ve G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Anadolu\u2019da yayg\u0131n \u015fekilde g\u00f6zlendi\u011fi kaydedildi. Makarnal\u0131k bu\u011fdaydan ekmeklik bu\u011fday ve arpaya ge\u00e7i\u015f<\/strong> ise \u00f6zellikle \u0130\u00e7 Anadolu, Ege ve Akdeniz\u2019de \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Do\u011fu Anadolu\u2019nun baz\u0131 illerinde yem bitkilerine y\u00f6nelimin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131, Kars\u2019ta ise yem bitkilerinden bu\u011fdaya s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

Pamukta daralma, baklagilde y\u00fckseli\u015f<\/h3>\n

TMO\u2019nun b\u00f6lgesel de\u011ferlendirmesinde G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Anadolu\u2019da pamuk ekili\u015flerinde \u201c\u00e7ok belirgin\u201d bir daralma<\/strong> ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 vurguland\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k mercimek ve nohut gibi baklagillerde<\/strong>, m\u00fcnavebe ve maliyet avantaj\u0131 nedeniyle baz\u0131 kesimlerde art\u0131\u015f e\u011filimi bulundu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n

Raporda \u00f6zellikle k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 mercimek<\/strong> i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir art\u0131\u015f sinyali verildi. G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Anadolu B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 mercimek ekili\u015f alanlar\u0131n\u0131n %97\u2019sini<\/strong>, \u00fcretiminin ise %98\u2019ini<\/strong> olu\u015fturdu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekilen de\u011ferlendirmede; Diyarbak\u0131r y\u00f6resinde fiyatlar\u0131n di\u011fer \u00fcr\u00fcnlere g\u00f6re y\u00fcksekli\u011fi ve m\u00fcnavebe uygulamalar\u0131 nedeniyle bu\u011fday ve arpadan k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 mercime\u011fe ciddi kay\u0131\u015f<\/strong> ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 bildirildi. \u015eanl\u0131urfa\u2019da pamuk ve arpadan k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 mercime\u011fe toplam %10\u2019luk<\/strong>, Batman\u2019da ise bu\u011fday ve arpadan k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 mercime\u011fe %10\u2019luk<\/strong> kay\u0131\u015f ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

\u00dcretim beklentisini ya\u011f\u0131\u015f belirleyecek<\/h3>\n

TMO, nihai verim ve \u00fcretim miktarlar\u0131n\u0131n \u015fekillenmesinde Ocak\u2013Mart d\u00f6neminde al\u0131nacak ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131n miktar\u0131 ve da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n<\/strong>, kar \u00f6rt\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn s\u00fcreklili\u011fi ve bahar ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n zamanlamas\u0131n\u0131n belirleyici olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydetti. Raporda, G\u00fcneydo\u011fu\u2019da al\u0131nan ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131n etkisiyle verim beklentisinin \u00f6nceki y\u0131la k\u0131yasla daha olumlu<\/strong> g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc de vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u00dcr\u00fcn deseni nereye gidiyor: Arpa ve ekmeklik bu\u011fday \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n
Raporda; meteorolojik kurakl\u0131k, su k\u0131s\u0131t\u0131, girdi maliyetleri ve baz\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnlerdeki fiyat belirsizlikleri nedeniyle arpa ve ekmeklik bu\u011fday lehine belirgin bir y\u00f6nelim<\/strong> oldu\u011fu tespiti yer ald\u0131. Buna g\u00f6re:<\/p>\n
    \n
  • Ay\u00e7i\u00e7e\u011fi, pamuk ve m\u0131s\u0131rdan bu\u011fday ve arpaya ge\u00e7i\u015f<\/strong> Marmara, Ege, Akdeniz ve G\u00fcneydo\u011fu\u2019da yayg\u0131n g\u00f6zleniyor.<\/li>\n
  • Makarnal\u0131k bu\u011fdaydan ekmeklik bu\u011fday ve arpaya ge\u00e7i\u015f<\/strong> \u00f6zellikle \u0130\u00e7 Anadolu, Ege ve Akdeniz\u2019de \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/li>\n
  • Do\u011fu Anadolu\u2019nun baz\u0131 illerinde yem bitkilerine y\u00f6nelim<\/strong> artarken, Kars\u2019ta yem bitkilerinden bu\u011fdaya s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f<\/strong> kaydediliyor.<\/li>\n
  • G\u00fcneydo\u011fu ve \u0130\u00e7 Anadolu\u2019nun baz\u0131 kesimlerinde mercimek ve nohut gibi baklagillerde art\u0131\u015f e\u011filimi<\/strong> bulunuyor.<\/li>\n
  • \u0130\u00e7 Anadolu\u2019da ya\u011f\u0131\u015f belirsizli\u011fi ve su k\u0131s\u0131t\u0131 nedeniyle nadas alanlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f<\/strong> ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

    B\u00f6lgesel de\u011ferlendirmede ise Marmara ve Ege\u2019de hububat geli\u015fiminin genel olarak iyi seyretti\u011fi, Akdeniz\u2019de toprak neminin yeterli oldu\u011fu, G\u00fcneydo\u011fu\u2019da ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131n etkisiyle verim beklentisinin ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re daha olumlu g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc; buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k G\u00fcneydo\u011fu\u2019da pamuk ekili\u015flerinde \u00e7ok belirgin daralma<\/strong> ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

    TMO, saha g\u00f6zlemlerine dayanarak T\u00fcrkiye genelinde ekili\u015f alanlar\u0131 bak\u0131m\u0131ndan arpa ve ekmeklik bu\u011fday a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131<\/strong>, makarnal\u0131k bu\u011fday ile pamuk ve m\u0131s\u0131r gibi \u00fcr\u00fcnlerde g\u00f6receli daralma<\/strong> g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc bildirdi.<\/p>\n

    Verimi belirleyecek d\u00f6nem: Ocak\u2013Mart ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131<\/h3>\n

    Rapora g\u00f6re nihai verim ve \u00fcretim miktarlar\u0131n\u0131n \u015fekillenmesinde; Ocak\u2013Mart d\u00f6nemindeki ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131n miktar\u0131 ve da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131<\/strong>, kar \u00f6rt\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn s\u00fcreklili\u011fi<\/strong> ve bahar ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n zamanlamas\u0131<\/strong> belirleyici olacak.<\/p>\n

    Bakliyatta dikkat \u00e7eken ba\u015fl\u0131k: \u201cK\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 mercimekte ciddi art\u0131\u015f\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

    TMO\u2019nun bakliyat de\u011ferlendirmesinde G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Anadolu B\u00f6lgesi, k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 mercimek a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik bir merkez olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor: B\u00f6lgenin, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 mercimek ekili\u015f alanlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 97\u2019sine<\/strong>, \u00fcretiminin ise y\u00fczde 98\u2019ine<\/strong> sahip oldu\u011fu hat\u0131rlat\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

    Saha kontrollerine g\u00f6re b\u00f6lgede k\u0131\u015fl\u0131k ekili\u015fler kas\u0131m\u0131n ikinci haftas\u0131nda ba\u015flad\u0131; Batman\u2019da 6 Aral\u0131k<\/strong>, Kahramanmara\u015f\u2019ta 20 Aral\u0131k<\/strong>, Gaziantep ve Mardin\u2019de 25 Aral\u0131k<\/strong>, Diyarbak\u0131r\u2019da 26 Aral\u0131k<\/strong> itibar\u0131yla tamamland\u0131. \u015eanl\u0131urfa\u2019da 28 Kas\u0131m<\/strong>, Ad\u0131yaman\u2019da 10 Aral\u0131k<\/strong> ba\u015flayan ekili\u015flerin ise baz\u0131 alanlarda s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc aktar\u0131l\u0131yor. Erken ekim yap\u0131lan alanlarda bitki boylar\u0131n\u0131n 4-5 cm<\/strong> seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131; Ad\u0131yaman\u2019da kar ve don nedeniyle ekili\u015flere ara verildi\u011fi, \u015eanl\u0131urfa\u2019da ya\u015fanan zirai donun ise b\u00fcy\u00fck bir zarar olu\u015fturmad\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong> belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
    En \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 e\u011filim ise \u00fcr\u00fcn kaymalar\u0131:<\/p>\n

    \u00b7\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Diyarbak\u0131r<\/strong> y\u00f6resinde fiyatlar\u0131n g\u00f6rece y\u00fcksekli\u011fi ve m\u00fcnavebe nedeniyle bu\u011fday ve arpadan k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 mercime\u011fe ciddi kay\u0131\u015f<\/strong> bildiriliyor.<\/p>\n

    \u00b7\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u015eanl\u0131urfa<\/strong> y\u00f6resinde %5 pamuk + %5 arpadan<\/strong> k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 mercime\u011fe %10\u2019luk kay\u0131\u015f<\/strong> oldu\u011fu ifade ediliyor.<\/p>\n

    \u00b7\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Batman<\/strong> y\u00f6resinde m\u00fcnavebe uygulamas\u0131 nedeniyle bu\u011fday ve arpadan k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 mercime\u011fe %10\u2019luk kay\u0131\u015f<\/strong> kaydediliyor.<\/p>\n

    \u00b7\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Gaziantep<\/strong> y\u00f6resinde baraj doluluklar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve ya\u011f\u0131\u015f yetersizli\u011fi nedeniyle sulama deste\u011fi k\u0131s\u0131tlar\u0131n\u0131n (bostan \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ve ikinci \u00fcr\u00fcnler) k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 mercime\u011fe y\u00f6nelimi art\u0131rabilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

    Nohutta art\u0131\u015f beklentisi<\/strong><\/p>\n

    TMO, G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Anadolu B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde (T\u00fcrkiye nohut ekili\u015f alanlar\u0131n\u0131n %9\u2019u<\/strong>, \u00fcretiminin %12\u2019si<\/strong>) nohut ekili\u015flerinin 15 Aral\u0131k\u2019ta Diyarbak\u0131r\u2019da<\/strong>, 20 Aral\u0131k\u2019ta Ad\u0131yaman ve Mardin\u2019de<\/strong> ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131; di\u011fer illerde de ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fini aktard\u0131. Ad\u0131yaman\u2019da kar ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131 nedeniyle ekili\u015flerin ertelendi\u011fi, Mardin\u2019de lokal \u00e7imlenmelerin ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131, Diyarbak\u0131r\u2019da ise \u00e7imlenme a\u015famas\u0131nda oldu\u011fu kaydedildi. M\u00fcnavebe ve maliyet avantaj\u0131 nedeniyle nohut ekili\u015flerinde bir miktar art\u0131\u015f<\/strong> olabilece\u011fi; ancak nihai tablonun ekili\u015fler tamamland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda netle\u015fece\u011fi de\u011ferlendirildi.<\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    TMO\u2019nun \u201cFenolojik De\u011ferlendirme\u201d raporuna g\u00f6re su y\u0131l\u0131 ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131 t\u00fcm b\u00f6lgelerde normallerin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131; \u00fcr\u00fcn deseninde arpa ve ekmeklik bu\u011fdaya y\u00f6nelim g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken, G\u00fcneydo\u011fu\u2019da k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 mercimek ekili\u015flerinde belirgin art\u0131\u015f bekleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2100,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2099","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tarim"],"yoast_head":"\nTMO raporu: \u00dcr\u00fcn deseni arpaya ve ekmeklik bu\u011fdaya kay\u0131yor - Merceknet Haber<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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