{"id":15822,"date":"2026-03-31T22:49:28","date_gmt":"2026-03-31T19:49:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/?p=15822"},"modified":"2026-03-31T22:49:28","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T19:49:28","slug":"imfden-savas-uyarisi-kuresel-buyume-yavasladi-enflasyon-baskisi-artti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/03\/31\/imfden-savas-uyarisi-kuresel-buyume-yavasladi-enflasyon-baskisi-artti\/","title":{"rendered":"IMF\u2019den sava\u015f uyar\u0131s\u0131: k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme yava\u015flad\u0131, enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 artt\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu, Ortado\u011fu\u2019da devam eden sava\u015f\u0131n k\u00fcresel ekonomi \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. IMF\u2019ye g\u00f6re \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltirken b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi yava\u015flat\u0131yor, g\u0131da g\u00fcvenli\u011fi riskini art\u0131r\u0131yor ve \u00f6zellikle enerji ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkeleri daha k\u0131r\u0131lgan hale getiriyor.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu, Ortado\u011fu\u2019da s\u00fcren sava\u015f\u0131n d\u00fcnya ekonomisine etkilerine ili\u015fkin dikkat \u00e7ekici bir analiz yay\u0131mlad\u0131. Kurum, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n yaln\u0131zca b\u00f6lgesel g\u00fcvenlik sorununa yol a\u00e7mad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ayn\u0131 zamanda enerji, ticaret ve finans kanallar\u0131 \u00fczerinden k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi de bask\u0131lad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi.<\/span><\/p>\n

IMF ekonomistlerinin haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cOrtado\u011fu\u2019daki Sava\u015f, Enerji, Ticaret ve Finans\u0131 Nas\u0131l Etkiliyor?\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmede, sava\u015f\u0131n farkl\u0131 senaryolarda farkl\u0131 \u015fiddette etkiler yaratabilece\u011fi ancak t\u00fcm olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n ortak noktas\u0131nda y\u00fcksek enflasyon ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn bulundu\u011fu vurguland\u0131.<\/span><\/p>\n

Enerji maliyetleri sava\u015fla birlikte y\u00fckseldi<\/span><\/h2>\n

IMF\u2019nin analizine g\u00f6re, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ekonomiye en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc etkisi enerji piyasalar\u0131 \u00fczerinden hissediliyor. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki se\u00e7ici ablukas\u0131 nedeniyle enerji maliyetlerinin h\u0131zla y\u00fckseldi\u011fi belirtilirken, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n Ortado\u011fulu \u00fcreticilerden gelen g\u00fcnl\u00fck yakla\u015f\u0131k 20 milyon varillik petrol arz\u0131ndan mahrum kald\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekildi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bu durum, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k ve \u00fcretim maliyetlerinde de yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu. Enerji piyasalar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan daralma, sadece petrol\u00fc de\u011fil, k\u00fcresel lojistik ve sanayi \u00fcretim zincirlerini de etkileyen bir geli\u015fme olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>\n

H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki daralma ticareti vurdu<\/span><\/h2>\n

Sava\u015f\u0131n etkilerinin en g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr alanlar\u0131ndan biri de H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 oldu. ABD ve \u0130srail\u2019in 28 \u015eubat\u2019ta \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 hava harekat\u0131 ba\u015flatmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan b\u00f6lgedeki gerilim h\u0131zla t\u0131rmand\u0131. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u0130srail\u2019e ve ABD \u00fcslerine y\u00f6nelik misillemeleriyle birlikte sava\u015f daha geni\u015f bir co\u011frafyaya yay\u0131ld\u0131.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bu gerilim, k\u00fcresel enerji ve deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik \u00f6nemdeki H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda sert bir trafik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne yol a\u00e7t\u0131. 1-23 Mart tarihleri aras\u0131nda bo\u011fazdan yaln\u0131zca 144 geminin ge\u00e7ebildi\u011fi belirtildi. Bu tablo, k\u00fcresel enerji ak\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ve tedarik zincirinde k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131n ciddi \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koydu.<\/span><\/p>\n

IMF: En \u00e7ok enerji ithalat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 etkilenecek<\/span><\/h2>\n

IMF, \u00f6zellikle Asya ve Avrupa\u2019daki b\u00fcy\u00fck enerji ithalat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n bu s\u00fcre\u00e7ten en a\u011f\u0131r etkilenen kesimler aras\u0131nda yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi. Artan petrol ve enerji maliyetlerinin; \u00fcretim, ula\u015ft\u0131rma, \u0131s\u0131nma ve t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinde do\u011frudan bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011fu de\u011ferlendirildi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Petrol ithalat\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 Asya ve Afrika \u00fclkelerinin ise daha a\u011f\u0131r bir tabloyla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011fu ifade edildi. Bu \u00fclkelerin, ihtiya\u00e7 duyduklar\u0131 enerji kaynaklar\u0131na y\u00fcksek fiyatlarla dahi eri\u015fmekte zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi. Bu durumun hem ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme hem de kamu maliyesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yeni bask\u0131lar do\u011furabilece\u011fi vurguland\u0131.<\/span><\/p>\n

G\u0131da ve g\u00fcbre fiyatlar\u0131 da alarm veriyor<\/span><\/h2>\n

IMF\u2019nin dikkat \u00e7ekti\u011fi bir di\u011fer risk ise g\u0131da ve tar\u0131msal girdi maliyetleri oldu. Kurum, sava\u015f\u0131n etkisiyle artan g\u0131da ve g\u00fcbre fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkeyi etkilemeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00d6zellikle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelirli ekonomiler i\u00e7in g\u0131da g\u00fcvenli\u011fi riskinin b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulunan IMF, enerji krizinin tar\u0131msal \u00fcretimi ve temel t\u00fcketim maddelerine eri\u015fimi de zorla\u015ft\u0131rabilece\u011fine i\u015faret etti. B\u00f6ylece sava\u015f\u0131n ekonomik etkisinin yaln\u0131zca petrol piyasas\u0131yla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, do\u011frudan halk\u0131n ya\u015fam maliyetine de yans\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 vurguland\u0131.<\/span><\/p>\n

B\u00fcy\u00fcme yava\u015fl\u0131yor, enflasyon kal\u0131c\u0131la\u015f\u0131yor<\/span><\/h2>\n

IMF\u2019nin analizinde, sava\u015f\u0131n k\u00fcresel ekonomi \u00fczerinde \u00e7ift y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir bask\u0131 kurdu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bir yandan enerji ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fckselirken di\u011fer yandan \u00fcretim ve ticaret ak\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ya\u015fanan aksama b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekiyor. Bu tablo, klasik anlamda stagflasyon riskini yeniden g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kurum, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n s\u00fcresine, hangi alanlara yay\u0131laca\u011f\u0131na ve altyap\u0131 ile tedarik zincirlerinde ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde hasar b\u0131rakaca\u011f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn daha da bozulabilece\u011fini belirtiyor. IMF\u2019ye g\u00f6re k\u0131sa vadede y\u00fcksek fiyatlar, orta vadede ise daha zay\u0131f b\u00fcy\u00fcme d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin temel sorunu haline gelebilir.<\/span><\/p>\n

Diplomasi trafi\u011fi piyasalardaki gerilimi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmedi<\/span><\/h2>\n

Sava\u015f sahas\u0131nda ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmeler kadar, diplomatik a\u00e7\u0131klamalar da piyasalarda etkili oldu. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, 21 Mart\u2019ta \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 yok etmekte olduklar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyerek ate\u015fkes istemedi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. 22 Mart\u2019ta ise \u0130ran\u2019a H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 gemi trafi\u011fine a\u00e7mas\u0131 i\u00e7in 48 saat s\u00fcre vermi\u015f, aksi durumda enerji altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 vurmakla tehdit etmi\u015fti.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ard\u0131ndan 23 Mart\u2019ta \u0130ran\u2019la \u201cd\u00fc\u015fmanl\u0131klara kesin \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u201d amac\u0131yla yap\u0131c\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klayan Trump, bu nedenle \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n enerji altyap\u0131s\u0131na y\u00f6nelik t\u00fcm sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 be\u015f g\u00fcn erteledi\u011fini duyurmu\u015ftu. Ancak \u0130ranl\u0131 yetkililer, ABD ile herhangi bir m\u00fczakere yap\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunarak bu a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 yalanlad\u0131 ve konunun finans ile petrol piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 manip\u00fcle etmek amac\u0131yla kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/span><\/p>\n

24 Mart\u2019ta da aktif m\u00fczakerelerin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ileri s\u00fcren Trump, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n anla\u015fmay\u0131 \u00e7ok istedi\u011fini savundu. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k \u0130ran Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 Ordusu Hatemul Enbiya Merkez Karargah\u0131, ABD ile m\u00fczakere yap\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 duyurdu. 25 Mart\u2019ta ise ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019a bir ayl\u0131k ate\u015fkes i\u00e7eren 15 maddelik plan sundu\u011fu iddia edildi. \u0130ran bu plan\u0131 reddetti\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klarken, ate\u015fkes i\u00e7in tazminat ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kontrol\u00fc dahil ABD\u2019ye be\u015f \u015fart ileri s\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/span><\/p>\n

IMF\u2019nin mesaj\u0131 net: Risk yaln\u0131zca b\u00f6lgesel de\u011fil<\/span><\/h2>\n

IMF\u2019nin son analizi, Ortado\u011fu\u2019daki sava\u015f\u0131n art\u0131k yaln\u0131zca b\u00f6lgesel bir g\u00fcvenlik meselesi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k bi\u00e7imde ortaya koydu. Enerji arz\u0131, deniz ticareti, g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131, enflasyon ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131 \u00fczerinden t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyay\u0131 etkileyen bu s\u00fcre\u00e7, \u00f6zellikle k\u0131r\u0131lgan ekonomiler i\u00e7in daha a\u011f\u0131r sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furma potansiyeli ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kurumun verdi\u011fi mesaj net: \u00c7at\u0131\u015fmalar uzad\u0131k\u00e7a d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde fiyat bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcrecek, b\u00fcy\u00fcme daha da yava\u015flayacak ve enerjiye ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 \u00fclkeler ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok ekonomi yeni bir k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131k dalgas\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalacak.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu, Ortado\u011fu\u2019da s\u00fcren sava\u015f\u0131n enerji, ticaret ve finans kanallar\u0131ndan k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi bask\u0131lad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi. IMF\u2019nin analizine g\u00f6re \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n uzamas\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki aksaman\u0131n derinle\u015fmesi halinde d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde y\u00fcksek enflasyon ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme tablosu daha da belirginle\u015fecek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":15823,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[115,1838,5983,581,3530],"class_list":["post-15822","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-enflasyon","tag-imf","tag-kuresel-ekonomi","tag-ortadogu","tag-savas"],"yoast_head":"\nIMF\u2019den sava\u015f uyar\u0131s\u0131: k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme yava\u015flad\u0131, enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 artt\u0131 - Merceknet Haber<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/03\/31\/imfden-savas-uyarisi-kuresel-buyume-yavasladi-enflasyon-baskisi-artti\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"IMF\u2019den sava\u015f uyar\u0131s\u0131: k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme yava\u015flad\u0131, enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 artt\u0131 - Merceknet Haber\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu, Ortado\u011fu\u2019da s\u00fcren sava\u015f\u0131n enerji, ticaret ve finans kanallar\u0131ndan k\u00fcresel ekonomiyi bask\u0131lad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi. 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