{"id":12466,"date":"2026-03-13T11:48:20","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T08:48:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/?p=12466"},"modified":"2026-03-13T11:51:21","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T08:51:21","slug":"yil-sonu-enflasyon-beklentisi-martta-yuzde-2538e-yukseldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/03\/13\/yil-sonu-enflasyon-beklentisi-martta-yuzde-2538e-yukseldi\/","title":{"rendered":"Y\u0131l sonu enflasyon beklentisi martta y\u00fczde 25,38\u2019e y\u00fckseldi"},"content":{"rendered":"

T\u00fcrkiye <\/span>Cumhuriyet <\/span>Merkez <\/span>Bankas\u0131 (<\/span>TCMB), <\/span>Mart <\/span>2026 <\/span>d\u00f6nemine <\/span>ili\u015fkin <\/span>Piyasa <\/span>Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 <\/span>Anketi <\/span>sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 <\/span>yay\u0131mlad\u0131. <\/span>Reel <\/span>sekt\u00f6r <\/span>ve <\/span>finansal <\/span>sekt\u00f6r <\/span>temsilcilerinden <\/span>olu\u015fan <\/span>67 <\/span>kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n <\/span>yan\u0131tlar\u0131yla <\/span>haz\u0131rlanan <\/span>ankette, <\/span>cari <\/span>y\u0131l <\/span>sonu <\/span>t\u00fcketici <\/span>enflasyonu <\/span>beklentisi <\/span>bir <\/span>\u00f6nceki <\/span>anket <\/span>d\u00f6nemindeki <\/span>y\u00fczde <\/span>24,11 <\/span>seviyesinden <\/span>y\u00fczde <\/span>25,38\u2019<\/span>e <\/span>\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. <\/span>12 <\/span>ay <\/span>sonras\u0131 <\/span>T\u00dcFE <\/span>beklentisi <\/span>y\u00fczde <\/span>22,10\u2019<\/span>dan <\/span>y\u00fczde <\/span>22,17\u2019<\/span>ye, <\/span>24 <\/span>ay <\/span>sonras\u0131 <\/span>beklenti <\/span>ise <\/span>y\u00fczde <\/span>17,11\u2019<\/span>den <\/span>y\u00fczde <\/span>17,30\u2019<\/span>a <\/span>y\u00fckseldi.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Anketin <\/span>ikinci <\/span>sayfas\u0131ndaki <\/span>grafikler, <\/span>piyasan\u0131n <\/span>enflasyonda <\/span>k\u0131sa <\/span>vadede <\/span>daha <\/span>temkinli <\/span>bir <\/span>g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm <\/span>benimsedi\u011fine <\/span>i\u015faret <\/span>etti. <\/span>Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n <\/span>beklentilerinin <\/span>ima <\/span>etti\u011fi <\/span>enflasyon <\/span>patikas\u0131nda <\/span>2026 <\/span>y\u0131l <\/span>sonu <\/span>i\u00e7in <\/span>beklenti <\/span>y\u00fczde <\/span>25,4 <\/span>seviyesinde <\/span>\u015fekillenirken, <\/span>sonraki <\/span>d\u00f6nemde <\/span>kademeli <\/span>gerileme <\/span>\u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. <\/span>Yine <\/span>ayn\u0131 <\/span>sayfadaki <\/span>da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m <\/span>tablolar\u0131na <\/span>g\u00f6re, <\/span>12 <\/span>ay <\/span>sonras\u0131 <\/span>enflasyon <\/span>beklentilerinde <\/span>a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k <\/span>y\u00fczde <\/span>20,00-<\/span>22,99 <\/span>ve <\/span>y\u00fczde <\/span>23,00-<\/span>25,99 <\/span>aral\u0131klar\u0131nda <\/span>topland\u0131. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Faiz <\/span>beklentilerinde <\/span>de <\/span>yukar\u0131 <\/span>y\u00f6nl\u00fc <\/span>revizyon <\/span>dikkat <\/span>\u00e7ekti. <\/span>Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n <\/span>B\u0130ST <\/span>Repo <\/span>ve <\/span>Ters-<\/span>Repo <\/span>Pazar\u0131\u2019nda <\/span>olu\u015fan <\/span>cari <\/span>ay <\/span>sonu <\/span>gecelik <\/span>faiz <\/span>oran\u0131 <\/span>beklentisi <\/span>bir <\/span>\u00f6nceki <\/span>ankette <\/span>y\u00fczde <\/span>36,95 <\/span>iken <\/span>mart <\/span>anketinde <\/span>y\u00fczde <\/span>40,00 <\/span>oldu. <\/span>Mart <\/span>ay\u0131 <\/span>Para <\/span>Politikas\u0131 <\/span>Kurulu <\/span>toplant\u0131s\u0131na <\/span>ili\u015fkin <\/span>politika <\/span>faizi <\/span>beklentisi <\/span>ise <\/span>y\u00fczde <\/span>37,00 <\/span>olarak <\/span>ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. <\/span>Ankette <\/span>politika <\/span>faizinin <\/span>y\u0131l <\/span>sonunda <\/span>y\u00fczde <\/span>30,63\u2019<\/span>e, <\/span>12 <\/span>ay <\/span>sonras\u0131nda <\/span>y\u00fczde <\/span>28,48\u2019<\/span>e <\/span>gerileyece\u011fi <\/span>tahmin <\/span>edildi.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

D\u00f6viz <\/span>kuru <\/span>beklentilerinde <\/span>ise <\/span>s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 <\/span>bir <\/span>de\u011fi\u015fim <\/span>g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. <\/span>Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n <\/span>y\u0131l <\/span>sonu <\/span>dolar\/<\/span>TL <\/span>beklentisi <\/span>bir <\/span>\u00f6nceki <\/span>anket <\/span>d\u00f6nemindeki <\/span>51,09 <\/span>seviyesinden <\/span>50,97\u2019<\/span>ye <\/span>gerilerken, <\/span>12 <\/span>ay <\/span>sonras\u0131 <\/span>d\u00f6viz <\/span>kuru <\/span>beklentisi <\/span>52,39 <\/span>TL\u2019den <\/span>52,70 <\/span>TL\u2019ye <\/span>y\u00fckseldi. <\/span>Cari <\/span>ay <\/span>sonu <\/span>dolar <\/span>kuru <\/span>beklentisi <\/span>ise <\/span>44,4943 <\/span>TL <\/span>olarak <\/span>kayda <\/span>ge\u00e7ti. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

B\u00fcy\u00fcme <\/span>taraf\u0131nda <\/span>ise <\/span>daha <\/span>s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 <\/span>bir <\/span>revizyon <\/span>yap\u0131ld\u0131. <\/span>Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n <\/span>2026 <\/span>y\u0131l\u0131 <\/span>GSYH <\/span>b\u00fcy\u00fcme <\/span>beklentisi <\/span>y\u00fczde <\/span>3,9\u2019<\/span>dan <\/span>y\u00fczde <\/span>3,8\u2019<\/span>e <\/span>inerken, <\/span>2027 <\/span>y\u0131l\u0131 <\/span>b\u00fcy\u00fcme <\/span>beklentisi <\/span>y\u00fczde <\/span>4,3 <\/span>seviyesinde <\/span>sabit <\/span>kald\u0131. <\/span>Y\u0131ll\u0131k <\/span>cari <\/span>i\u015flemler <\/span>dengesi <\/span>beklentisi <\/span>ise <\/span>2026 <\/span>y\u0131l\u0131 <\/span>i\u00e7in <\/span>eksi <\/span>31,6 <\/span>milyar <\/span>dolar, <\/span>2027 <\/span>y\u0131l\u0131 <\/span>i\u00e7in <\/span>eksi <\/span>32,3 <\/span>milyar <\/span>dolar <\/span>olarak <\/span>a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. <\/span>Bu <\/span>veriler, <\/span>piyasan\u0131n <\/span>enflasyon <\/span>ve <\/span>faiz <\/span>g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcnde <\/span>yukar\u0131 <\/span>y\u00f6nl\u00fc <\/span>riskleri <\/span>\u00f6ne <\/span>\u00e7\u0131kar\u0131rken <\/span>b\u00fcy\u00fcme <\/span>beklentilerinde <\/span>daha <\/span>ihtiyatl\u0131 <\/span>bir <\/span>tablo <\/span>\u00e7izdi\u011fini <\/span>g\u00f6sterdi.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

TCMB, <\/span>Mart <\/span>2026 <\/span>Piyasa <\/span>Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 <\/span>Anketi\u2019nin <\/span>9-<\/span>11 <\/span>Mart <\/span>2026 <\/span>tarihleri <\/span>aras\u0131nda <\/span>uyguland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 <\/span>belirtirken, <\/span>sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n <\/span>kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131 <\/span>beklentilerini <\/span>yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, <\/span>Merkez <\/span>Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n <\/span>resmi <\/span>g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f <\/span>ve <\/span>tahminleri <\/span>olarak <\/span>de\u011ferlendirilmemesi <\/span>gerekti\u011fini <\/span>vurgulad\u0131.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n mart ay\u0131 Piyasa Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Anketi\u2019ne g\u00f6re, y\u0131l sonu enflasyon beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki aya k\u0131yasla y\u00fckselirken, 12 ay ve 24 ay sonras\u0131 enflasyon beklentilerinde de s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Ankette politika faizi beklentisi y\u00fczde 37, dolar\/TL y\u0131l sonu beklentisi ise 50,97 olarak kaydedildi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":6685,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[721,1701,1700,4623,432],"class_list":["post-12466","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-dolartl","tag-enflasyonbeklentisi","tag-piyasakatilimcilarianketi","tag-politikafaizi","tag-tcmb"],"yoast_head":"\nY\u0131l sonu enflasyon beklentisi martta y\u00fczde 25,38\u2019e y\u00fckseldi - Merceknet Haber<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.merceknet.com\/tr\/2026\/03\/13\/yil-sonu-enflasyon-beklentisi-martta-yuzde-2538e-yukseldi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Y\u0131l sonu enflasyon beklentisi martta y\u00fczde 25,38\u2019e y\u00fckseldi - Merceknet Haber\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n mart ay\u0131 Piyasa Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Anketi\u2019ne g\u00f6re, y\u0131l sonu enflasyon beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki aya k\u0131yasla y\u00fckselirken, 12 ay ve 24 ay sonras\u0131 enflasyon beklentilerinde de s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. 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